Opening Day is finally here! While the day has started out on a bit of a somber note with the game between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals getting canceled due to COVID-19 issues, I won’t let that ruin what is a glorious day of Major League Baseball! In this daily column, we are going to bring you high-value parlay bet picks each and every day for MLB and give you all the sharp advice that you need to make money betting on baseball, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay. Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Chicago White Sox (-115) at Los Angeles Angels
A lot of people out there seem to think that the Los Angeles Angels aren’t going to be a complete dumpster can fire this season. I am not one of them. While it is exciting to see what a healthy Shohei Ohtani looks like and Mike Trout is probably still the best player in baseball, the Angels are still a joke on the mound. Dylan Bundy was much better in his first season in LA last year than he ever was with Baltimore, but even then, the former first-round draft pick is still nowhere near the level of White Sox starter Lucas Giolito, who has finished in the top-10 of the AL Cy Young Award voting in each of the last two seasons.
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) April 1, 2021
And when you look at eth overall strength of these two teams, you can tell this is just a bad number. The White Sox are going to compete at the top of the AL this year, and even with Eloy Jimenez getting shut down for the season with an injury, they are the far superior team in this matchup against an Angels team that will struggle just to be in the wild card conversation. Every year the Angels come into the season with a bunch of hype, and every year they disappoint. I will take advantage of that early-season hype train on the Halos and back the White Sox at an attractive price.
Tampa Bay Rays (-141) at Miami Marlins
What the Miami Marlins did last season was absolutely impressive. But despite seeing Miami make the postseason and actually even win a playoff series in 2020, most everyone is picking the Marlins to finish in the basement of the loaded NL East this season. Looking back, Miami making the postseason certainly looks like it was a bit fluky. Miami finished 21st in the Majors in both runs sacred and ERA. They gave up a lot of runs, and they didn’t score very many. Their record was inflated by a great record in close games, and they are prime candidates for regression this season.
Starting 9 pic.twitter.com/JbURwlqn3e
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) April 1, 2021
The Marlins get a tough draw to start the year with the reigning AL champs, the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays lost a lot from last year as well, as both Blake Snell and Charlie Morton are gone, and they will call on Tyler Glasnow to take over as the ace of the staff. You hate to see players like Morton and Snell leave town, but the Rays were always powered by their elite bullpen, and they will have another good relief staff this year. I don’t normally like to lay a lot of wood on the road in MLB games, but a couple of months from now, when the Rays are in the playoff hunt, and the Marlins are in last place, this line will look silly in retrospect.
Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals (-159)
You probably don’t know his name just yet, but Brad Keller is one of the most talented pitchers in the American League. Keller has been pitching in the black hole that is Kansas City, since the Royals gutted the team after a couple of trips to the World Series, but he remains a major part of the Royal’s rebuilding plans. Last year in the abbreviated 2020 season, Keller impressed with a 2.47 ERA in 9 starts. Keller is still just 25 years old, and with a lifetime ERA of only 3.50, he could have a breakout season this year for KC.
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) April 1, 2021
Keller gets to pitch against a Rangers team that couldn’t hit water if they fell out of a boat last year. The Rangers finished last in the AL in runs scored in 2020, and while a healthy Joey Gallo in 2021 tells me that they should be somewhat better than they were last year, the Rangers have a last place roster, and they are in full rebuild mode. Texas won’t score many runs this season, and against a guy like Keller that has huge upside, I can’t imagine they are going to plate many runs in this one. Throw in the fact that the Ranger’s “ace” is a guy that went 2-6 with a 5.35 ERA last year in Kyle Gibson, and this game could get ugly.
Point Spread Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Chicago White Sox -115
- Tampa Bay Rays -141
- Kansas City Royals -159
$100 Bet Wins $421
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies Over 11 Runs (-110)
Coors Field is a beautiful place to open up the 2021 MLB season, as the ball loves to jump out of the ballpark in the rarified air of Denver, and we should see plenty of action today. Normally I wouldn’t suggest taking over a double-digit game total in a game where Clayton Kershaw is going to pitch, but Kershaw isn’t the same guy he used to be, now at 33 years old, and I would be shocked to see him pitch more than 4 or 5 innings in this game as the Dodgers are going to ease him along early in the season. And when you look at the absurd murderer’s row of a lineup the Dodgers are going to trot out against German Marquez, a guy that loves to give up home runs, he gave up 78 in his last 3 full seasons of work, LA might send this one over on their own. The Dodgers led all of baseball in runs scored in 2020, and they are near mortal locks to do it again in 2021, take the over.
San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners Over 8 Runs (-110)
The San Francisco Giants are closer to finishing their rebuild than most people seem to think. The G-Men were respectable last season, and they ended up scoring the 5th most runs in the National League. They are stuck in the NL West with the Dodgers and the Padres, which tells me that the Giants aren’t going to make the playoffs this year, but they aren’t going to be awful either. But with Kevin Gausman as their Opening Day starter, it shows you that the Giants are weak on the mound, and that really limits their upside. The Mariners have a lot of young guys all coming up at the same time, and even with Kyle Lewis starting the season on the DL, I expect the Mariners to be improved at the plate, and I think they get to Gausman in this one and send the game over the total.
Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Under 7.5 Runs (-110)
We already touched on this game as I see the Rays winning it and backed Tampa Bay, but I also see some nice value on the under 7.5 runs. Tampa will start Tyler Glasnow, and despite the fact that he was a bit inconsistent last year, he has some of the best swing and miss stuff in the American League. Glasnow posted an elite K/9 ratio of 14.3 in 2020, and he is just a couple of years removed from posting a 1.73 ERA in 2019. With Glasnow starting and the Rays unconventional use of their bullpen, where they start to shrink the game down as early as they can, I don’t see the Marlins plating many runs, and with Tampa Bay’s lineup looking typically weak as well, I wouldn’t expect them to get much off of Sandy Alcantara either. This game feels a lot like a 3-2 game, with Tampa Bay taking home the Opening Day win.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies Over 11 Runs -110
- San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners Over 8 Runs -110
- Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Under 7.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Wins $600
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically everyday betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Minnesota Twins (+100) at Milwaukee Brewers
I don’t know what to think of the NL Central this season, but for whatever reason, I just don’t think Milwaukee is going to have a lot of success. Christian Yelich is going to bounce back to his normal MVP level self this year, but the starting rotation for Milwaukee leaves a lot to be desired. You can say some nice things about their Opening Day starter Brandon Woodruff, and maybe Corbin Burnes and Adrian Houser step up this season and live up to their potential, but I just have this weird feeling the Brewers are going to be mired in mediocrity this season. Woodruff looked great last season, but I am not going to put too much credence into the bizarro world 2020 stats for anybody, and the guy was working out of the bullpen not that long ago and has never made more than 22 starts in a single season. Maybe last year was the year he turned the corner, or maybe he got hot for a couple of weeks and will regress this year, who knows.
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) April 1, 2021
One guy that I do expect big things out of this season is the Twin’s Kenta Maeda. Maeda was always overshadowed in LA behind Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler, and the rest of the Dodger’s pitching staff, but in Minnesota, Maeda is the man. In his first season with Minnesota, Maeda posted a 6-1 record with a 2.70 ERA and nearly took home the AL Cy Young Award, finishing runner up to the Indian’s Shane Bieber. And while I just mentioned that I am not going to put too much into 2020 stats, Maeda’s results last year were no fluke as he has a lifetime 53-36 record with a 3.75 ERA. The Twins are the better team, and Maeda is the better starter. I love backing the Twins as underdogs in a spot where I feel like they easily could be favored.
Atlanta Braves (+106) at Philadelphia Phillies
I think both of these teams are going to be really good this year. A lot of people out there are sleeping on the Phillies, but I am surely not one of them. Aaron Nola is amongst the top pitchers in the NL, and with Philly resigning JT Realmuto and getting Andrew McCutchen back from injury, the Phillies are going to be right in the NL playoff conversation all year long. I like this Philadelphia team, but I am shocked to see them as favorites in this game against an Atlanta Braves team that could win 100 games this season.
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) April 1, 2021
The Braves have the 2nd best roster in the NL behind only the Dodgers. Sorry Padres fans, but the Braves are better, and once this Braves rotation gets fully healthy, I don’t see the rest of the NL East hanging with them. Max Fried is their incumbent ace, and the former first-round draft pick is on the shortlist for the NL Cy Young this year. Fried won 17 games in 2019, and in 2020 he went 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA. Fried has a 24-6 record in the last two seasons, and I am going to want to back him as an underdog no matter what team he is pitching against. The Braves and Fried are just too good not to love getting them at this price.
St. Louis Cardinals (+100) at Cincinnati Reds
It was nice to see the Cincinnati Reds breakthrough last year with their first playoff appearance since 2013. But in true Cincinnati fashion, they followed up that successful season by letting their best player leave, as starting pitcher Trevor Bauer signed with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The loss of Bauer leaves Luis Castillo as the ace of the staff in Cincinnati, and that isn’t all that bad of a thing as Castillo has been solid over the course of the last several seasons. Castillo always brings nasty stuff with a lifetime K/9 ratio of double-digits and a more than respectable 3.62 ERA, but the Reds just don’t win very often when he pitches, despite his stellar production. Castillo has a lifetime losing record at 32-33, and even last year when the Reds won more games than they almost always do, Cincinnati just 5-8 in his 13 starts.
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) April 1, 2021
For St. Louis, they turn to their best hurler in Jack Flaherty. 2020 just wasn’t a great season for Flaherty as he never could quite get things going. But I still see him as one of the top young pitchers in the National League. As a rookie in 2018, Flaherty posted a 3.34 ERA and finished in the top-5 of the NL Rookie of the Year voting. In 2019, he was even better, finishing the year with a 2.75 ERA and he nearly took home the Cy Young Award honors with a 4th place finish. I expect Flaherty to get back to dominating this year after a rough season last year, and it is laughable to see the Cardinals as underdogs against a Reds team that probably finishes in last place in their division.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Minnesota Twins +100
- Atlanta Braves +106
- St. Louis Cardinals +100
$100 Bet Wins $724
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often, but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs (-114)
They say you can never go home again, and Madison Bumgarner wishes he could go back to being the World Series hero and fan-favorite that he was in his long tenure with the San Francisco Giants. Maddy Bums left San Fran and headed to the desert and was downright awful with the Arizona Diamondbacks last season. I have mentioned several times that I won’t count last year against people too much, but Bumgarner looked worn out and uninspired last year for the DBacks, and it’s hard to think he is going to be much better this year.
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) April 1, 2021
Yu Darvish had never really looked at home in the National League until last season when he broke out for a light’s out campaign for the Chicago Cubs. A lot was made of Darvish’s struggles for Chicago, but after a 3-year stint with the North Siders, he finished up his Cubs career 15-14 record, with a 3.60 ERA, and a K/9 ratio of 11.3. That’s the awful performance that Cub’s fans were complaining about? Darvish is going to love pitching in pitcher-friendly San Diego, and with one of the best lineups in baseball behind him, he is going to rack up a gaudy win total by the end of the year. This game is a mismatch, and I’ll take the Padres on the run line.
Houston Astros (-106) at Oakland Athletics
I know the Athletics always seem to find a way to be decent even when they let all of their best players leave, but with Khris Davis and Marcus Semien both gone and replaced by guys like Elvin Andrus and Mitch Morland, it feels like a down year is on the way for Oakland. The Astros are going to be down as well, with George Springer’s departure leaving a huge hole at the top of their lineup, but the Astros are going to be 20-games better than the A’s this year, and you want to be on Houston in this game.
San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners (+106)
Marco Gonzalez has been the next big thing in Seattle for a long time, and last year the Mariner’s ace had a coming out party. Gonzalez led the Majors in WHIP, as he was super stingy giving up base hits and walks, and he is still on the right side of thirty, so after steadily increasing his production in every season with the M’s, it seems that the Mariners have finally gotten the ace they have waited for. I am shocked to see Marco as a dog in this matchup with Kevin Gausman, and I love a play on the upstart Mariners as home dogs.
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs (-139) at Colorado Rockies
We already took the over in this game, and now I am going to back the Dodgers on the run line as well. LA is going to send several balls over the fence in this game, and this is as complete of a mismatch as you can have in baseball. Don’t expect Kershaw to be in the game very long, but the Dodgers bullpen is plenty good enough to hold back the Rockies. It is always easier to cover the run line in a high scoring game, and we could end up seeing the Dodgers score double digits in a blowout win.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (-225)
I’ll keep this last pick short and sweet. The Pirates are the worst team in baseball. End of story. I will fade them a lot this season, and with Kyle Hendricks going for the Cubs, you can expect a long day at the dish for the Pirate’s weak lineup. Chicago is going to be shaky this season, but not against the Pirates. Lay some wood and take the free money on the Cubs.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs -114
- Houston Astros -106
- Seattle Mariners +106
- Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs -139
- Chicago Cubs -225
$100 Bet Wins $1,767
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!