Joe Musgrove made San Diego Padre’s history last night when he threw the first no-hitter in franchise history, blanking the Texas Rangers and writing his name into the history books. It was the headline of the day for Major League Baseball, and while a no-hitter is never something you can predict, we gave you the Padres on the run line yesterday and expected Musgrove to dominate the weak-hitting Rangers, and that is just what happened.
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) April 10, 2021
Did we predict the no-hitter? Nope. But it didn’t matter, because we cashed a dog money ticket on the Friars as they won the game by multiple runs, covering the run line and getting us paid. We have a full slate of action on tap today for Major League Baseball, and we are on the hunt for value with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-137)
Ian Anderson is a straight up gangster. This kid was the 3rd overall pick in the 2016 MLB draft, and after getting his first taste of the show last season, he has quickly emerged as a potential Cy Young Award candidate. I know it’s likely way too early to start all that talk about a guy that had 7 career starts in the majors, but he has a lifetime ERA of 1.93 and a K/9 ratio of 11.6 in that limited action. The Braves have a bevy of young talented starters with Kyle Wright, Max Fried, and Mike Soroka combining with Anderson for a Maddux, Glavine, and Smoltz-esque staff for a new generation, and for my money, Anderson is the best of the group, and that is saying a lot as all of these guys are really good.
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) April 10, 2021
Philly will try and match Anderson with a talented youngster of their own in Zach Eflin. Eflin has been around a lot longer than Anderson, but he is still just 27 years old, and his ability to take a big step up this year is going to be a major key to the Phillie’s success. Eflin impressed in his first start of the year, tossing 7 innings of 1-run ball against these very same Braves last week, but picked up a no-decision in a game the Phillies went on to win. The Braves came out of the gates slow, losing their first 4 games of the year, but they have turned things around recently as they are riding a 3-game winning streak. The bats are finally waking up for the Braves as they have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 5 games, after scoring just 3 runs in their first 3 games. I will back Atlanta in this one, powered by a strong performance from Ian Anderson on the mound.
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (-180)
What a brutal start to the schedule it has been for the Detroit Tigers. Detroit opened up with a series against the Indians, then had to play Minnesota, before heading out on the road for a trip to Cleveland and then they head to Houston next. All of those teams rate out as playoff teams this year, and that tough schedule is starting to take its toll as the Tigers have lost 4 out of their last 5 games. Detroit will try to get things turned around today with Tarik Skubal getting the start. Skubal was shaky last year in his first year pitching in the Big Leagues, with a 5.78 ERA in 8 appearances. He had a nice spring, with a 3-0 record, and looked decent against the Indians in his first start this year, pitching into the 6th inning and giving up just a couple of earned runs.
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) April 10, 2021
For Cleveland, their bats have been light to start the year, but what else is new for Cleveland? The Indians just haven’t been able to score many runs in the last couple of seasons, and it has really hurt their ability to go deep in the postseason. But as long as Cleveland continues to pitch at an elite level, they are going to be hard to beat. The Tribe will start Aaron Civale today, and he will look for back-to-back winning decisions over Detroit. Civale shut down the Tigers to the tune of 7 innings pitched, allowing 3-runs in his last outing. It’s a little more wood than I would like to lay in a game, but I feel that Civale doesn’t get as much respect as he deserves from the betting markets, so I will lay some juice on the Indians and expect a lower scoring win for Cleveland.
Chicago Cubs (-150) at Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pittsburgh Pirates were expected to be the worst team in the National League, and they have lived up to those expectations so far this season, as they are tied with the Miami Marlins for the worst record in the NL, and their -27-run differential is the worst in the league. After a win on Opening Day, the Pirates have now lost 6-straight games, with all but one of them coming by multiple runs. At this point, the Pirates are just trying to stay competitive in games and not get blown out, as winning isn’t going to be a major part of the equation this year for Pittsburgh.
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) April 9, 2021
I can’t imagine the Pirates are going to have much success today against the Cub’s Zach Davies. Davies was always a serviceable arm for the Milwaukee Brewers, but he really impressed last year in a one-year stint with the San Diego Padres, posting a 2.73 ERA for the Padres in 11 starts. Davies has hit the ground running this year with Chicago, as he is 1-0, with a win over the Pirates. I think he runs that record to 2-0 today, and this line feels very undervalued. The Cubs are 3-1 against Pittsburgh this year, and they are just the far superior team in this matchup. I would love to see Chicago wake up at the plate a little bit as the bats have been cold, but that hasn’t stopped them from owning the Pirates so far, and it won’t stop them now.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Atlanta Braves -137
- Cleveland Indians -180
- Chicago Cubs -150
$100 Bet Wins $349
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Under 8 Runs (-110)
We already touched on this game a little bit, and you know how I feel about these two starters. And as good as these lineups are on paper, both of these teams are struggling to score runs right now. The Braves rank 20th in the majors in runs scored, and Philly hasn’t been much better, ranked 17th. In a spot where we have great starting pitching on the mound and both teams are struggling to hit the baseball, the under seems like the clear side to be on.
San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers Under 9 Runs (-110)
The Rangers were scoring runs at a breakneck pace to start the season, but that production has dropped off of a cliff as of late, as they have scored 2-runs or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. Last night they couldn’t even manage a single hit off of Joe Musgrove, and while I am sure they are going to get at least one knock in this game, they might not score.
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) April 10, 2021
Chris Paddack was briefly the ace of this Padres staff before they decided to go out and grab every available starter on the planet in the last two years, and while he wasn’t great last year, he is still very young and likely to be getting better. Throw in the fact that the Padres haven’t scored a lot of runs without Fernando Tatis Jr in the lineup, and I am shocked to see the total this high.
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Under 9 Runs (-110)
Two teams that can’t score runs playing each other, and the total is 9 runs? Huh? Why? Aaron Civale is going to get deep into this game, and he isn’t going to allow many runs. And while the Tiger’s pitching staff is certainly not great, the Indians are 25th in the majors in runs scored. Indians games have combined for 7 runs or fewer in 5 of their 6 games this season, and the Indians have held opposing teams to 3-runs of fewer in every game but one. Yesterday’s final score was 4-1, and today’s game should finish somewhere right around that same score, with the game coming in well under the total.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Under 8 Runs -110
- San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers Under 9 Runs -110
- Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Under 9 Runs -110
$100 Bet Wins $600
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Milwaukee Brewers (+102) at St. Louis Cardinals
This is an interesting matchup on the mound as both of these guys are trying to transition from bullpen roles to starting roles. Both guys have bounced around in their careers between relief and starting, and while they have both had times where they have been very good, they have also had times where they have struggled. In 2019 Houser posted a sub-4-run ERA and had a K/9 ratio of nearly double digits. He wasn’t able to recreate those stats last year, and Milwaukee needs him to regain that level of production if they want to truly compete in the stacked NL Central this season.
Here's how we line up today against St. Louis.
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) April 10, 2021
St. Louis will start Carlos Martinez, a guy that has electric stuff and is a multi-time All-Star that has lost his way recently. The Cards decided to move Martinez into a closer’s role in 2018, and he was solid late in games for the Red Birds. St. Louis had a hole in their rotation last season and moved Martinez back to being a starter, and he was awful, getting blasted for a 9.90 ERA in 5 starts.
This year, St. Louis is giving Martinez another shot at pitching every 5th day, and it hasn’t gone well, as he got lit up by the Cincinnati Reds for 4 earned runs in just 5 innings worked. Martinez is on my auto-fade list right now, and I love that I can back the Brewers as underdogs. St. Louis is the better overall team, but Martinez just hasn’t been able to find his groove as a starter, and I want to be on the other side when he pitches.
Oakland Athletics (+138) at Houston Astros
If you have been reading my daily parlay of the day picks this season, you will know how I feel about the Oakland Athletics. I have bet against the A’s in basically every single game they have played this season, and they are getting me paid, as they have been awful. With my consistent fading of the A’s, some of you might be surprised that I actually like them in this game today against Houston. Frankie Montas is a solid top of the rotation type of guy. He got hammered in his first start this year, but in his last full season of work, coming in 2019, he was 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA. Montas has to be better than he was his last time out, and as a significant dog, he shows nice value against Houston’s 4th starter. Back the A’s? Even saying it out loud makes me puke in my mouth just a little bit, but it’s the right play, so I will hold my nose and fire on Oakland.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles (+116)
Who would have thought that this game would be for 1st place in the AL East Division? It’s obviously super early in the year, but whichever team wins this game will stand alone atop the standings in one of baseball’s toughest divisions, after both teams have had surprising starts to the year. Baltimore swept Boston in the first series of the year between these squads, and while Boston got revenge last night in game one of this set, this feels like a nice spot for a bounce-back performance from the O’s. Neither of these teams are any good, and this ride at the top will be short-lived for both teams, but after seeing Baltimore smash Garret Richards for 6 runs in just 2 innings a week ago, they show a lot of value as home dogs in the rematch.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Milwaukee Brewers +102
- Oakland Athletics +138
- Baltimore Orioles +116
$100 Bet Wins $939
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs (-109) at Texas Rangers
There is a major gap between these two teams, and after seeing what Joe Musgrove did to them last night, I can’t imagine the Rangers are going to break out today against Chris Paddack. The bats have gone cold for Texas, and they aren’t going to be scoring a lot of runs in this game. The Padre’s run production has certainly been underwhelming without Tatis, but they have covered the run line in 4 of their 5 wins this year, and at this price, it is well worth a play to see if they can do it again.
Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays (-118)
The Los Angeles Angels are playing great baseball right now, and they will look for the series win today in game 3 against Toronto, after winning each of the first 2 games of this series. The Halos have taken care of business by plating a bunch of runs against Toronto, scoring 14 runs so far against the Jays. But I have a feeling they aren’t going to have nearly as much success in this one, against Blue Jays starter Steven Matz.
As we get set for our Home Opener in Dunedin, we're still thinking of our fans at home 💙
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) April 8, 2021
Matz was a serviceable arm for the New York Mets for several seasons but struggled last year before making the move to Toronto. If his first start in the American League was any indication of things to come for Toronto, the Blue Jays might have found a great addition to their rotation. Matz threw 6.1 innings against the Texas Rangers in his first start of the year, striking out 9 and allowing just 1 run on only 2 hits. I think Toronto tightens this series up today with a win at home.
Cincinnati Reds (-136) at Arizona Diamondbacks
How can you not love what the Cincinnati Reds are doing right now? The Reds weren’t expected to do much this season after losing their ace, Trevor Bauer, in the offseason, but you don’t need good starting pitching when you lead the Major Leagues in scoring. The Reds have 10 more runs than any other team in the game has does right now, and they are pounding teams. Cincy has yet to score fewer than 5 runs in any game this season, and they have the best record in all of baseball at 6-1 and an absurd run differential of +37.
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) April 10, 2021
At some point, this hot hitting is likely to slow down for the Reds, but it’s probably not going to be in this game against Riley Smith and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Until the Reds cool down at the plate, I’ll keep backing them, and this one feels like free money against a 2-6 DBacks team that can’t win for losing, as they are currently on their 2nd 3-game losing streak of the year already.
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants (-180)
Are the San Francisco Giants going to find a way to stay competitive in the NL West this year? The Dodgers and Padres are going to be tough to beat, but seeing the Giants make a run for a wild card spot in the NL is not out of reach for the upstart G-Men. Buster Posey has found the fountain of youth this year as the former NL MVP is hitting .333, and Donovan Solano is hitting a blistering hot .346 for a Giant’s team that has a lot of pop. I think the Giants are probably quite a bit better than most people are giving them credit for, and I see them picking up their 2nd straight win over Colorado tonight at home.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs -109
- Toronto Blue Jays -118
- Cincinnati Reds -136
- San Francisco Giants -180
$100 Bet Wins $857
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!