Yesterday the day started out with some frustration, as we got walked off on in the 10th inning in our first 2 bets of the day. There is no more painful of a way to lose a bet than to see the other team walk it off to end the game, but what can you do, those beats are going to happen, it just seems that right now, we are taking more than our fair share of late-inning losses. But the day turned around after the rough start, as we picked up dog money winners on the Seattle Mariners (+145) and the Texas Rangers (+105).
Shutout complete! #SeaUsRise
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) April 29, 2021
We also found wins on the Oakland Athletics, Chicago White Sox, and Arizona Diamondbacks on what was an up and down day of baseball bets. All 30 teams are going to be in action today, giving us a full board to bet on, and we will take advantage of it with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
New York Mets (-148) at Philadelphia Phillies
The NL East was supposed to be one of the best divisions in baseball this season. Instead, the entire division has a losing record, and all of the teams are disappointing their fans right now. Both the Mets and the Phillies are struggling at the plate, and that has led to a lot of losses. Neither team is hitting very well, but at the least the Mets are able to pitch, with the 4th best team ERA in MLB. The Phillies can’t say the same thing, as they are 22nd in team ERA, and Chase Anderson is one of the big reasons why. Anderson has made 4 starts this year for Philly, and he has an 0-3 record and 6.48 ERA. The Phillies have lost every time he has started this year, and they have a run differential of -17 with Anderson on the mound. This will be the 3rd start of the season for Anderson against the Mets, and even against this weak-hitting Met’s lineup that is last in the majors in runs scored, he hasn’t pitched well, and the Phillies lost both games.
— New York Mets (@Mets) April 30, 2021
Marcus Stroman got roughed up some in his last outing, but he started out his season by going 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA through 3 starts. On the road this season, Stroman is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA. The Phillies have been forced to face Marcus Stroman twice already this year, and he has completely shut them down, working 12 innings and allowing just a single earned run. I don’t trust the Mets bats as far as I can throw them, but we have seen this song and dance already this year. Anderson stinks against the Mets, Stroman is elite against Philly, and the Mets feel supremely undervalued here. I will expect more of the same and back the Mets to win this one powered by another strong performance from Marcus Stroman and Chase Anderson doing Chase Anderson things.
Miami Marlins (-132) at Washington Nationals
We just talked about how disappointing the NL East Division has been in 2021, and the Washington Nationals currently sit in the basement of the division, so take that for what it’s worth. Nobody thought the Nats would be world beaters this season, but I am not sure anybody saw them finishing in last place either. Only the Mets have scored fewer runs than Washington this year, and they are going to struggle tonight against Miami’s Pablo Lopez. Lopez has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 4 out of his 5 starts and has racked up some impressive stats, with 32 Ks to just 8 walks in 27.1 innings pitched. In his last 2 starts, he has pitched 12 innings and has given up just 1 earned run.
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) April 28, 2021
Washington is hoping they can match Lopez today with veteran starter Jon Lester, who will be making his 1st start of the season. Lester has had a long and successful Big League career, but at age-37 and coming off of an injury, you have to wonder if he has anything left in the tank. Lester has seen his production drop off significantly in the last couple of seasons, and last year, he posted the highest ERA and lowest K/9 ratio of his career. Washington is a mess right now, and I don’t think they are going to score many runs off of Pablo Lopez tonight, and with Jon Lester being a complete gamble at this point, I am going to back Miami.
Boston Red Sox (-157) at Texas Rangers
This game is a mismatch. The Boston Red Sox are tied for the best record in the American League, and the Texas Rangers are in last place in the AL West Division. Neither starter in this matchup has been very consistent, so I will call it a wash, but it is hard to argue that the Red Sox aren’t the far superior team in this matchup. Texas won game 1 last night, but that was an upset we saw coming, as Kyle Gibson has been lights out this year. The Red Sox have won 4 of their last 6 games, while Texas is 2-5 in their last 7. Boston has been a road warrior this season with an 8-2 record away from home, and I like them to even this series up today in game 2.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- New York Mets -148
- Miami Marlins -132
- Boston Red Sox -157
$100 Bet Wins $382
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics Under 8 Runs (-110)
John Means has been absolutely filthy this year for Baltimore. He has a 1.50 ERA in 5 starts, and in his last 2 starts, he has worked 13.2 innings and has allowed just 1 earned run on only 5 hits. Mike Fiers gets the nod for the A’s and will make his season debut. Fiers has had a lot of success in his 3 years with Oakland, with a 26-9 record and a 4.00 ERA. Neither Fiers nor Means are household names, but they are both great pitchers, and this game should be low-scoring and tightly contested. I am jumping on the under.
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Under 8 Runs (-110)
The Minnesota Twins are an embarrassment right now. Their 8 wins are tied for the lowest in all of baseball, and they are 3-13 in their last 16 games. With the exception of a couple of isolated games where Minnesota scored double digits, runs have been very hard to come by on a game-by-game basis for the Twins. During this 16-game stretch, the Twins have scored fewer than 4 runs 13 times, and they have scored 3 runs or less 11 times. Brady Singer has given up just 2 earned runs in his last 3 starts combined, working 18 innings and striking out 20 batters. With Michael Pineda and his 2.42 ERA going for the Twins, this should be a 3-2 type of game that stays well under the total.
Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers Over 8.5 Runs (-110)
The Boston Red Sox have been amongst the highest scoring teams in the majors all season long, and with Kohei Arihara getting the start for Texas coming off of his worst outing on the year, where he got pummeled by the Chicago White Sox for 5 earned runs in just 2 innings, I think he gets lit up again tonight. The Red Sox couldn’t get anything going against Kyle Gibson in yesterday’s game, and I think they take that out on poor Kohei Arihara tonight in game 2. The fact the Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi has gotten hammered for 9 earned runs in his last 2 starts as well, is just a cherry on top of what should be a no sweat winner on the over.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics Under 8 Runs -110
- Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Under 8 Runs -110
- Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers Over 8.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Wins $600
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Chicago Cubs (+108) at Cincinnati Reds
I don’t know what to think about these Chicago Cubs right now. They have been super inconsistent, but at times, they look great. Like yesterday when they blew out the Atlanta Braves 9-3, pounding out 16 hits against Atlanta. But other times, they are awful, like when they got shutout in 3 of their previous 4 games before last night’s breakout victory. One guy who has been consistent for Chicago, though, has been starting pitcher Jake Arrieta. Arrieta has a 2.57 ERA for Chicago and is seemingly getting better each time out.
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) April 30, 2021
And while Wade Miley has pitched great for the Reds this season, his results are starting to lag, as he has picked up losing decisions in each of his last 2 outings. The dip in Miley’s results has been representative of the Red’s struggles as a whole, as they came out of the gates hot to start the season with wins in 6 of their first 7 games but have now lost 8 of their last 10. Cincinnati managed to take advantage of a suddenly slumping Dodgers team in their last series, taking 2 of 3 against the Boys in Blue at Dodger Stadium, but I expect a letdown game tonight at home. The Cub’s bats scare me quite a bit, and they probably aren’t going to score many runs against Wade Miley, but the Reds shouldn’t be favored in this one, so I will back the data and take Chicago as underdogs.
Atlanta Braves (+108) at Toronto Blue Jays
I thought that the Atlanta Braves were going to finish off the sweep of the Chicago Cubs yesterday, as they were playing some really quality baseball in the last week or so. Instead, the Braves laid an egg and got blown out. Atlanta was 8-4 in their previous 12 games before losing the series finale yesterday, and I think they get right back on track against Toronto. That being said, I completely understand why the Jays are the favorites in this game. Drew Smyly has been bad for Atlanta, and Robbie Ray has shockingly pitched really well. But we have seen short spurts of dominance from Robbie Ray before, and my gut says that these hard-hitting Braves are going to get to him. And when you look back at Ray’s record this season, he has certainly pitched well, with a 2.81 ERA, but he has played with fire a ton with 13 hits and 9 walks in just 16 innings pitched. Oh, and did I mention that the Jays are 0-3 in his 3 starts? I am taking the Braves in a mild upset.
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (+125)
We backed the Seattle Mariners yesterday as fairly large underdogs, and they cashed our ticket for us when they gutted out a 1-0 win over the Houston Astros. The injury bug has bitten the Mariners hard recently, losing both James Paxton and Marco Gonzalez to injuries, but the M’s 14 wins are still 4th best in the AL, and they are finding ways to win without the top of their rotation. The expectations weren’t very high for Chris Flexen coming into this season, as he was last seen pitching in the KBO, but he has really impressed for Seattle this year. Flexen is 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA, and he has done a great job of trying to replace Paxton in the Seattle 6-man rotation. Flexen has been really good in last 2 starts, allowing just 2 total earned runs in 13 innings of work, with a 10-1 K/W ratio.
Seattle will need Flexen to be good again today if they want to knock off this Angels team that can run up the score in a hurry. The Angels lead the American League in home runs, but their putrid pitching staff has kept them from winning too many games. Los Angeles has won 3 of 4, and this modest winning streak comes on the heels of a span where they lost 7 of 9. LA will call on Andrew Heaney to make the start today in the series opener in Seattle, and he has been much better recently than he was in his 1st start of the season, where he got smashed by the Chicago White Sox. I am going to stick with the hot hand and back Chris Flexen and the Seattle Mariners as home dogs. Home dogs are always a personal favorite of mine, and I especially like home dogs in divisional games.
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) April 29, 2021
The starting pitching matchup is close to even, but once those guys both leave the game, the Mariners have a huge advantage in the bullpen department, as their staff has a 2.38 ERA, 3rd best in the majors, compared to the Angels, who have posted a 4.36 ERA, 22nd in the game. No team in baseball has more wins as home underdogs this year than the Mariners 6, and I will back the M’s and expect them to add another home dog win to their resume tonight at home.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Chicago Cubs +108
- Atlanta Braves +108
- Seattle Mariners +125
$100 Bet Wins $874
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-112)
I keep telling myself over and over again that the Pittsburgh Pirates can’t be for real, and they keep proving me wrong, as they are playing quality baseball and winning games. One guy that is absolutely for real is Pittsburgh starting pitcher JT Brubaker. Brubaker is really starting to come into his own in this, his 2nd year pitching in the show, and he has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in any of his 4 starts this season. Brubaker hasn’t walked a batter in his last 2 outings, and he has forced a lot of ground balls while still racking up respectable strikeout numbers. That is a great combination for a young pitcher, and if he keeps pitching efficiently, he is going to have a lot of success for the Pirates. John Gant has been solid for St. Louis, but the Cardinals have still lost 2 out of his last 3 starts anyway, and I like JT Brubaker to lead his team to a win at home at even money.
Houston Astros (-122) at Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays have been treading water for the past week or so, as they are just 3-5 in their last 8 games. The bats have cooled considerably for Tampa Bay, as they are scoring fewer than 2 runs per game in their last 5 games. I can’t imagine that the Rays are going to snap out of that funk today against hard-throwing Lance McCullers Jr. A quick glance at McCullers stats might lead you to believe he hasn’t pitched that well this season with an ERA of 4.58. But in reality, that was just one bad outing, as he has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 3 of his 4 starts this season for Houston. I like him to shut down the Rays and for Houston to continue their recent run, where they are 6-2 since the heart of their lineup returned from a COVID-19 outbreak.
Cleveland Indians (-134) at Chicago White Sox
Well, I guess I just can’t resist being able to back Shane Bieber at a reasonable price. Bieber is striking out guys at a rate we haven’t seen in a generation, and despite the lack of run production, the Indians have still won 3 of his last 4 starts. Bieber has pitched into the 7th inning or deeper in each of those 4 starts, and even against these high-scoring White Sox, I can’t expect anything less than another dominating performance out of the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner. Bieber faced these very same White Sox on April 13th, and all he did in that one was throw a complete game shutout with 11 Ks. No disrespect to Dallas Keuchel, as he has pitched well this year for Chicago, and he is coming off of his best start of the season, but he ain’t no Shane Bieber. You can pencil in Bieber for another double digit strikeout day as he once again shows people why he is the best pitcher in the American League.
Kansas City Royals (+115) at Minnesota Twins
I have been betting against the Minnesota Twins with regularity this year and getting paid, as they just haven’t been able to win very many games. I guess the books haven’t taken a look at the league standings lately, as Minnesota seems to still be favored way too much for a team with the fewest wins in the league. No team has been worse as favorites this year than the Twins, and their 7-12 record, when they are betting favorites, is a joke. I will take advantage of the public’s refusal to admit that Minnesota is bad right now and fade them in a nice spot, with Brady Singer on a heater, for a Royals team that sits alone atop the standings in the AL Central Division.
Baltimore Orioles (+115) at Oakland Athletics
I try really hard not to put too much emphasis on the starting pitching matchup in a game. While starters do mean a lot in a game, you have to take into account the talent of both teams as a whole when evaluating a baseball game. But I am going to break my own rule today in this one, as John means has been too good not take want to back as an underdog. The Orioles certainly aren’t great, but John Means is. Means just pitched against the A’s in his last start and held them to 1 run on only 2 hits in 6.1 innings, and the O’s blew that game out 8-1. Mike Fiers has always been a decent starter, but with this being his 1st start of the year, it won’t be shocking if he is a bit rusty. As great as Oakland has been this season, they had lost 3 of 4 before winning their last game, so they have cooled off since that 13-game winning streak earlier this month.
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (-125)
If all you have done is bet against the Colorado Rockies every time that they have played on the road this year, you are getting rich. The Rockies have been the worst road team in the majors this year, with a 1-9 record away from Coors Field. They aren’t a whole lot better at home, as they do have the worst record in the National League overall, but on the road, fading the Rockies has been basically free money. I took Arizona yesterday in game 1 of this series and won the bet when Arizona won the game 5-3, and I will take them again tonight, as I see them making it back-to-back victories over the Rockies tonight at home. Arizona is starting to sneak up the standings in the NL West Division, and they are currently the hottest team in the NL, with wins in 8 of their last 10 games. The DBacks roll as Colorado continues their road futility.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Pittsburgh Pirates -112
- Houston Astros -122
- Cleveland Indians -134
- Kansas City Royals +115
- Baltimore Orioles +115
- Arizona Diamondbacks -125
$100 Bet Wins $4,905
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!