Major League Baseball Parlay Of The Day 4-5-21

Our sizzling hot start to the Major League Baseball season continued yesterday as we nailed our underdog 2-team parlay yesterday when we picked up wins on the Toronto Blue Jays (+150) and the Houston Astros (-105). Backing underdogs is the most profitable type of play when betting on MLB, and when you parlay them together, the payouts can get really big, really fast! We are back on the hunt for more value today with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!

Money Line Parlay

Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.

Toronto Blue Jays (-150) at Texas Rangers

It is hard to look too much better in a series than the Toronto Blue Jays just did with the New York Yankees. The Jays took two out of three from New York, including winning against ace starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Domingo German. Only time will tell if Toronto will be able to hang with the Bronx Bombers all season long, but right now, Toronto couldn’t be happier with their start to the season. The Jays will look to ride that momentum as they continue their road trip with a trip to Arlington, Texas, to play the Rangers.

Texas salvaged a win last night in the series finale against the Kansas City Royals after getting spanked in the first two games of the set to the tune of a combined final score of 25-14. Toronto will go with the newly acquired Steven Matz on the mound, and the Blue Jays really need Matz to pitch better than he did last year, as he was awful in 2020. The Jays are hoping Matz can get back to being a solid middle of the rotation type of arm like he was in 2018 and 2019, and his ability to do so is going to go a long way into seeing the Blue Jays back in the postseason.

The Rangers are hoping the same for their new guy, Mike Foltynewicz, as he lasted just one start in 2020 before being released by Atlanta. I will back the hot hand in this one and take the Blue Jays. They played great against New York, and I see them handling Texas relatively easily in this series. Toronto is going to enjoy hitting against Mike Foltynewicz much more than they did against Gerrit Cole, and you can expect the Blue Jays to cruise in this one.

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-135)

We just talked about the beating the Royals put on the Rangers in their first series, but KC is going to come crashing back down to earth in this series with Cleveland. The Indians had one of the best pitching staffs in the majors last season, and they are expected to be stellar again this year as well. Logan Allen was a big piece moved in the 3-team deal that saw Trevor Bauer get traded to Cincinnati a couple of years ago, and the Indians are hoping he can step into Mike Cleavinger’s role in the rotation at 23 years old. Allen has been great in limited work with the Indians, and he was light’s out in the spring with a 0.64 ERA in two appearances.

The Royals will answer with veteran starter Danny Duffy. Duffy used to be a solid top half of the rotation pitcher for the Royals, but after a decade of pitching for KC, he has started to see his production really dip. In his last three seasons, Duffy had had a losing record and an ERA approaching five runs. He isn’t bad by any means, but his days of being elite are long gone. The Indian’s bats have been quiet, and they are poised for a breakout, and I think they get that today. This line looks to be an overreaction to how great Kansas City looked against Texas, so I will fade the Royals at a very reasonable price.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds (-150)

I can’t imagine that the Cincinnati Reds are actually anywhere near as good as they looked in their last two games against the Cardinals, when they hammered St. Louis for 21 total runs and blew them out in both games. But in this series, they draw what I see as the worst team in the National League, the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates have looked anemic at the plate so far this season, and I see the Reds staying hot and handing the Pirates their 3rd loss in a row. This line is tight as Reds starter Jose De Leon is a wild card with just 10 innings pitched in the Big Leagues since 2017. But he has an impressive 17 Ks in those 10 innings, and the Reds are looking for big things out of him now that he has his first-ever shot at being an everyday starter.

Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Toronto Blue Jays -150
  • Cleveland Indians -135
  • Cincinnati Reds -150

$100 Bet Wins $384

Game Total Parlay

The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Over 9.5 Runs (-110)

There probably wasn’t a more surprising outcome this weekend than the Baltimore Orioles sweeping the Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox aren’t going to be very good this year, but to see them get hammered at home, on opening weekend no less, was shocking. Cedric Mullins exploded for 9 hits in the series, including 3 for extra bases, as Baltimore plated 18 runs in the 3-game set. The O’s will look to rough up Yankee’s starter Jordan Montgomery today in the series opener, and if Montgomery’s results in the past couple of years are any indication, they are going to do just that. Montgomery just hasn’t been good for New York, and he is going to get knocked around some in this one.

This game has slugfest written all over it as Baltimore turns to Jorge Lopez to try and slow down this powerful Yankee’s lineup. Lopez has a career ERA of over 6 runs, and New York is going to enjoy lighting him up. The Yankees are likely going to win this game, but the price is too high to profitably back them, so instead, I will take the higher value play and take the over 9.5 runs in a game where runs are going to be easy to come by.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Under 9.5 Runs (-110)

Both of these teams are struggling at the plate out of the gates. The Cubs only averaged 4 runs on 4 hits per game against a bad Pittsburgh Pirates team, and the Brewers only scored a total of 2 runs in their last 2 games combined. Brett Anderson and Trevor Williams will get the start for their respective teams, and while neither of those guys are all that great, they both face lineups that just aren’t hitting right now. A game total of 9.5 runs seems awfully high considering how bad these teams have been hitting, and I’ll jump on the under and expect a lower scoring affair.

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians Over 9 Runs (-110)

We already touched on this game a little bit, and I expect lots of runs to hit the board today in Cleveland. Danny Duffy is all but washed up at this point in his career, and Logan Allen doesn’t have enough Big League innings under his belt to be trusted either. Cleveland is going to win the game, but the Royals are going to plate some runs along the way too. I am taking the over.

Game Total Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Over 9.5 Runs -110
  • Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Under 9.5 Runs -110
  • Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians Over 9 Runs -110

$100 Bet Wins $600

The Daily Dog

Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.

St. Louis Cardinals (+102) at Miami Marlins

This game features a couple of teams that didn’t play very well in their opening series, as the Marlins and the Cardinals both hit game one of this set with losing records. The Cardinals looked pretty bad against the Reds, but I don’t quite understand how they are underdogs against the Marlins with Trevor Rogers starting. Rogers was a first-round draft pick back in 2017 and is one of the Marlin’s top prospects, but he has only made 7 MLB level starts in his career, and he has a 6.43 ERA to show for it. Maybe if the Marlins were smoking hot, I could see them as home favorites, but they looked just as bad as the Cards did in their series, dropping two out of three to the Tampa Bay Rays. I smell upset in Miami.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (+170)

Jacob deGrom is the best pitcher in the Major Leagues. He doesn’t get as much attention as guys like Kershaw, Scherzer, or Cole, but when you look at the raw numbers, nobody is better than deGrom. But even with deGrom being the best of the best, the Mets just don’t seem to win nearly as much as they should when he pitches. In 2019 the Mets lost 18 of his 28 starts before winning the last 5 of the year, and that was a year that he won the NL Cy Young. In 2018, another year that deGrom took home the Cy Young Award honors, the Mets had a 15-18 record in deGrom starts.

When you look at this line through that lens, it feels like the Phillies are well worth a play as huge dogs. The Phillies swept the Atlanta Braves in their first series of the year, and they are riding a lot of momentum into this series with New York against a Mets team that hasn’t gotten to even play a game as COVID-19 canceled their first series of the season. I completely understand why the Mets are heavy favorites, but I will back the Phillies to pick up the big upset, even if deGrom is his usual stellar self.

Houston Astros (-103) at Los Angeles Angels

I bet the Houston Astros is every one of their games so far this season, and they have cashed a ticket for me every time out. Houston has the best record in the majors right now at 4-0, and they posted an absurd run differential against Oakland, beating them by a total of 26 runs. The Astros will start rookie Luis Garcia tonight, trying to stay undefeated. Garcia posted outrageously good K numbers in the minors, including a K/9 ratio of 14.1 in 2019. We didn’t see a lot of that dominant stuff in his late-season call-up for Houston last year, but he did post an impressive 2.92 ERA in 5 appearances.

The Angels also had a nice start to their season, as they beat the Chicago White Sox in 3 out of 4 games. The star of that series was Shohei Ohtani, who now has thrown the fastest pitch in the majors this year and also has the hardest hit home run as well, doing both of those things in the 1st inning yesterday. The Angels and the Astros are expected to battle it out this season for the AL West division title, and this early series just might set the tone in this race for the rest of the year. LA will start Jose Quintana, and I’ll be honest here, I think that he gets lit up this year. Quintana has turned into little more than an innings eater in the last couple of years, and the move from the pitcher-friendly NL to the hitter-heavy AL, doesn’t bode well for him. I am taking Houston in a mild upset.

The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • St. Louis Cardinals +102
  • Philadelphia Phillies +170
  • Houston Astros -103

$100 Bet Wins $975

Get Rich Or Die Trying

In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!

Tampa Bay Rays (-108) at Boston Red Sox

Are the Boston Red Sox really as bad as they looked against the Baltimore Orioles this weekend? If they are, this could be one of the worst Boston teams in recent memory. Michael Wacha gets the start for Tampa Bay, hoping to resuscitate his career after really struggling the last couple of seasons for the St. Louis Cardinals. Wacha is hard to trust, but the Rays always seem to get the most out of their pitching staff, and he could be a breakout candidate for Tampa Bay this year. The Red Sox couldn’t score against the shmucks the Orioles trotted out, and I can’t imagine things are going to get much better against this elite Ray’s bullpen that they have shown they will go to very early in games if they feel the need. The Rays win this one as small favorites.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (-112)

Both of these teams are hitting poorly right now, and this should be a low-scoring and competitive game. You can sign me up as a Brewer’s hater this season as I don’t feel like they did enough to hang in the crowded NL Central. The bats are going to be weak, and with all things being equal, you always want to be on the home team in a close game. I’ll call this one a 4-3 final score with the Cubs winning it late and cashing our ticket.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs (+105) at Oakland Athletics

The Oakland Athletics didn’t even look like they were trying against the Houston Astros, and they sit in dead last in their division with both the worst record in the Major Leagues and the worst run differential in the game as well. If we gave out an award for the worst team of the week, the A’s would take the award in a landslide after their pathetic performance against Houston. And how does Oakland get rewarded for that tough opening weekend? With a series with the best team in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers.

I want to say that the Dodgers haven’t hit their potential yet at the plate, as they left lots of runs on the field at Coors Field, but then I see that they have scored the 2nd most runs in the NL so far this season and quickly realized this team is just stupidly talented. If Houston blew out every game of the series against Oakland, it’s scary to think what the Dodgers might be able to do. The A’s have the better side of the starting pitching matchup with Frankie Montas against Dustin May, but I am taking the best team in baseball to win this one by multiple runs against an Aโ€™s team in freefall.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-159)

The Giants lost their first series of the season against the Seattle Mariners and will look to get back on track tonight in San Diego, against the Padres. San Diego won the first 3 games of the year before losing the series finale last night to the Arizona Diamondbacks, and they feel undervalued in this game. The Padres could win 100 games this year, and the Giants have no realistic path to anything better than a 3rd place finish in the NL West division.

Adrian Morejon is an exciting young pitcher, and at age 22, will get his first shot at pitching every 5th day for the Padres. There is no better way to break into the majors as a starter than to pitch for a team that is going to score you a bunch of runs in support, and that is what I see happening today as the Padres are going to feast on Anthony DeSclafani, a guy who posted a 7.22 ERA last year. San Diego is going to be laying -200 or more in most of their games this season, and in a spot where I can back them at a price this reasonable, I am likely to blind bet it every time.

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners (+105)

The White Sox are going to win a lot of games this season, and they are my pick to win the AL Central crown, but they didn’t look like a very good team this week against the Angels. The White Sox are hoping that Carlos Rodon can stop the bleeding for them, but he has seen his ERA go up in each of the last 3 seasons, and he was downright bad last year, with an 0-2 record and 8.22 ERA.

Seattle overachieved in their first series, beating the Giants two games to one, and they will give Justus Sheffield the ball tonight at home looking to stay hot. Sheffield has been one of the top prospects in the game for several years, and last year he got 10 starts for the Mariners and showed that he belongs in the Big Leagues. Sheffield seemingly got better each time out, and late in the season, with the Mariners fighting for the postseason, he was 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in September, and the Mariners were 4-0 in those starts. We have a team that is underachieving, playing on the road against a team that is overachieving, and the starting pitchers are moving in opposite directions in their careers, with Rodon looking like he could be near the end and Sheffield trying to blossom into an All-Star for Seattle. I’ll take the Mariners as home dogs and look for an upset.

Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay

  • Teams Odds
  • Tampa Bay Rays -108
  • Chicago Cubs -112
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs +105
  • San Diego Padres -159
  • Seattle Mariners +105

$100 Bet Wins $2,396

Wrap Up

Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!

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Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL