Major League Baseball has a nice slate of day baseball games on getaway day for many series. As we hit the one-week mark of the Major League Baseball season, we are starting to see some strong trends emerge. The A’s are awful, the Orioles are in 1st place, Houston looks nearly unbeatable, and the Phillies and the Reds are both upstart squads that are surprising a lot of people. With Oakland’s win yesterday, every team now has at least one win on the board after a wild week of MLB action. We will dig deep today in search of value on everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Chicago Cubs (-150) at Pittsburgh Pirates
Last week I backed the Chicago Cubs with Jake Arrieta on the mound as I have this weird feeling that Arrieta is going to find the fountain of youth this year in Chicago. Arrieta was a perennial Cy Young Award candidate in his time with the Cubs, and while he never could recapture that dominance with Philadelphia, he was decent in Philly. He returns to Chicago hoping he can regain his former form on the North Side, and after seeing how he pitched in his first start, that just might end up being the case.
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) April 8, 2021
Arrieta worked 6 innings, allowing just 1-run on 6 scattered hits, and picked up the win for his efforts against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He gets a 2nd chance to pitch against Pittsburgh today, this time on the road, and I expect him to again be very good against this weak-hitting Pirate’s lineup. The Pirates haven’t won since opening day and are currently riding a Major League long 5-game losing streak. They have lost 4 of those 5 games by multiple runs, and in the last two games, they lost with a combined score of 25-5. Right now, for Pittsburgh, it’s less about trying to win games and more about trying not to get embarrassed. Chicago wins this one, and it could get ugly.
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox (-180)
It has been a bit of a sluggish start to the season for the Chicago White Sox. Most people expect Chicago to be the class of the AL Central Division this year, and after losing their 1st series of the year 3 games to 1 to the Los Angeles Angels, they lost again last night against the Seattle Mariners, when they had a shot at sweeping the M’s. It hasn’t been a dreadful start for Chicago by any means, but White Sox fans are letting out a collective yawn when they look at their current 3-4 record. Chicago heads home for their home opener today as they host the Kansas City Royals for a 3-game set.
Back at home. 🏡 pic.twitter.com/WM0YhPmv5g
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) April 8, 2021
The Royals will start their Opening Day pitcher, Brad Keller, with the hopes that he can be much better than he was in his last outing. On Opening Day, Keller got hammered by the Texas Rangers to the tune of 6 runs, all earned, on a whopping 9 hits and 2 walks in just 1.1 innings pitched. It was the worst outing of his career and had to be a humbling night against what has been a poor hitting Ranger’s team ever since.
Brad Keller is actually a pretty good pitcher, and he is certainly a lot better than he looked against Texas, but this is just a tough spot for him. He stands opposite Lance Lynn, a guy that has been pitching at a Cy Young Award level in the American League over the course of the last couple of years, and while he wasn’t overly sharp in his 1st start of the year, he did manage to not allow an earned run over 4.2 innings against the Los Angeles Angels. We are laying a bit of wood here, but Chicago is the side to be on in this one.
Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros (-155)
All Oakland can hope for is that last night’s 1st win of the season does something to wake this team up. The A’s were off to a borderline historically bad start to their season before last night’s breakthrough win, as they were 0-6 with a run differential of -43. Many of those beatdowns came at the hands of these very same Houston Astros as Houston swept Oakland in four games, blowing them out in every contest with a combined score of 35-9. Oakland will start Cole Irvin tonight looking to build on last night’s momentum, but the last time he faced the Astros, it didn’t go well, as he got blasted for 4 earned runs in 4.1 innings, and the A’s got blown out.
— Houston Astros (@astros) April 8, 2021
For Houston, they will go with budding ace Cristian Javier. I wrote up Javier’s last start and told everyone how big of a fan I was of Javier and his nasty swing and miss stuff. This kid is a breakout candidate this year, and it wouldn’t at all shock me to see him emerge as one of the best pitchers in the AL, he is that good. Against Oakland, he was a bit shaky and saw his pitch count swell early, causing him to work just 3.2 innings before getting pulled. I expect a much better performance out of him tonight in this game and see Houston once again dominating the A’s. I have bet against Oakland a lot already this year, and until they can show me that they can stay competitive on a regular basis against solid teams, I will continue to look for ways to fade them profitably.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Chicago Cubs -150
- Chicago White Sox -180
- Houston Astros -155
$100 Bet Wins $327
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Los Angeles Angels (+102) at Toronto Blue Jays
The Los Angeles Angels have impressed early on this season, despite their lack of pitching. And it’s not like their pitching woes haven’t been an issue, as they are allowing nearly 5 earned runs per game, but their powerful offense has more than made up for it, and they have been winning games, with a 4-2 record on the year. LA will start Griffin Canning tonight, and they really need him to take a big step up this year on the mound if they are going to truly compete in the AL West Division. Canning was a former top prospect for LA, and he is looking to build on last season, where he posted a sub-4-run ERA and took home his first Golden Glove.
How are we spending our off day?
Definitely being productive and *not* staring at photos from the homestand all day. pic.twitter.com/X5BEhkXytP
— Los Angeles Angels (@Angels) April 7, 2021
Canning faces a Blue Jay’s team that has plenty of pop. They are 5th in the majors in home runs, but they haven’t been able to do much else at the plate, as they are hitting just .215 as a team, and they are 20th in runs scored. The Jays will turn to Ross Stripling for his 2nd start of the season in hopes that he can find his bearings in the AL after a slow start pitching in the hitter-heavy league. Stripling was a stud in his time in the NL with the Dodgers, but since being traded last year to Toronto, he just hasn’t been very good.
In the AL, Stripling has a 6.63 ERA in 6 appearances. In his lone start of the season, he lasted just 3.1 innings and got pummeled for 3 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks. I think Canning has caught the Blue Jays at just the right time for the upset, and while the Halos bullpen can’t be trusted whatsoever, they do offer significant value as underdogs in this matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals (+132)
Corbin Burns was electric in his 1st start of the season, striking out 11 hitters in 6.1 innings and allowing only 1 run on just 1 hit, a solo shot home run. But, despite his terrific stats, the Brewers lost the game, and he was charged with a hard-luck loss. Burns is one of the best young pitchers in the National League and exploded onto the scene last year in a big way for the Brewers. Unfortunately for Burns, that lack of run support is something that he should get used to, as the Brewers just don’t have the bats going this year, and they may never end up being a team that can reliably score runs. Milwaukee is hitting a dismal .177 as a team, and they have been suffering from a complete power outage as they are slugging .276, the worst in the National League.
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) April 8, 2021
Milwaukee will try and turn things around at the plate today against veteran starter Adam Wainwright. Wainwright got rocked in his 1st start of the year by the upstart Cincinnati Reds, who shockingly lead the Major Leagues in home runs and runs scored right now. I expect that Wainwright will be much better tonight against this noodle bat swinging Brewer’s team. Wainwright is getting up there in age, but we haven’t seen his production fall off as of yet, and I see him leading his team to the win against the Brewers as home dogs in their home opener.
Seattle Mariners (+165) at Minnesota Twins
Marco Gonzalez couldn’t keep the ball in the park against the San Francisco Giants on Opening Day and was saved from getting charged with the loss when his Mariners came from behind late to steal the game in extra innings. Marco was one of the stingiest pitchers in the game last year for Seattle, as he led the majors in WHIP and W/9. He doesn’t allow a ton of baserunners and serves as the ace of this Mariner’s team trying desperately to stay in contention. He will do his best to try and slow down a Twin’s team led by slugger Nelson Cruz, who is tearing the cover off of the ball right now.
Hitting the road happy 🤙 pic.twitter.com/BkXnp2LHp8
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) April 8, 2021
Cruz missed most of the first series for Minnesota, as they played in a National League ballpark, and he can’t play the field anymore, so all he did was pinch-hit. But once they let Nelson swing the bat, he has been smashing the baseball. Cruz hit safely in each game of the series against the Detroit Tigers, and he is hitting a sizzling hot .471 with 3 homers and 7 RBI. The ageless Cruz will try to lend some support to Twin’s starter Jose Berrios tonight. Berrios was unhittable in his 1st start of the year, literally, as he didn’t allow a hit in 6 innings of work. He racked up 12 Ks in the no-hit effort, and it stands as likely the best start of his career. You hate to fade a guy like Jose Berrios when he is pitching this well, but that performance has inflated this line, and I will fade Minnesota.
The Twins are the better overall team, but Marco Gonzalez is a legit ace at this point of his career, and he shouldn’t be such a massive underdog. This is one of those high variance, high risk, high reward plays, that has a ton of long-term value. Minnesota probably wins this game tonight, but Seattle doesn’t have to win this game very often to show value as huge underdogs. Let’s go upset hunting as Seattle shocks the Twins on the road.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Los Angeles Angels +102
- St. Louis Cardinals +132
- Seattle Mariners +165
$100 Bet Wins $1,142
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!