What a day we had betting on Major League Baseball yesterday! We nearly ran the table with a perfect day with a 5-1 record, including 2 money line underdog winners. We nailed our money line parlay of the day and came oh so close to the sweep, with our lone loss coming on the Seattle Mariners as huge underdogs. I mentioned in my article yesterday that the Mariner’s game was always going to be a high variance play, and the variance didn’t go our way. But it was still a very profitable day, and we will get back on the grind today in search of value on everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
New York Yankees (-143) at Tampa Bay Rays
After the first full week of Major League Baseball action, I am guessing that not many of you out there expected the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees to be at the bottom of the AL East Division, and for the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox to be at the top, but that is indeed where they stand right now. In a couple of weeks, that trend is very likely to reverse itself, but I have gone on record this year in saying that I don’t think the Rays are a playoff team this season, after gutting their starting rotation in the offseason. They have just one fewer win than the Yankees do right now, but they have a run differential of -19 to New York’s +10, so they are not the same.
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) April 9, 2021
The Rays are riding a 4-game losing streak, having blown late leads in multiple games, and their historically weak-hitting lineup is living up to that reputation as they are 13th in the American League in runs scored with a .208 batting average and .327 slugging percentage. They will have to find a way to turn things around today against former multi-time All-Star and Cy Young Award winner Corey Kluber. Kluber wasn’t overly sharp in his 1st start of the season, but New York still found a way to win the game and getting Kluber back to his former level of production will be a major key to the Bronx Bomber’s success this season.
Tampa Bay will answer with veteran starter Rich Hill. Hill has been a hired gun for years, as he seemingly always ends up on a contending team and posting decent results. Hill is playing for his 40th team this season, after signing with the Rays in the offseason (estimated team count), and he didn’t have much success in his last outing. Hill got hammered for 4-runs in just 4-innings of work against the Miami Marlins, and it’s hard to expect him to be much better against these hard-hitting Yankees. I see New York getting to Hill early and often and Kluber finding a way to be much better against these weak Ray’s bats. New York is going to win this game, and I don’t mind laying a little wood to back them.
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants (-160)
The San Francisco Giants host the Colorado Rockies today in their home opener and are coming off of a series win over the San Diego Padres in their last series. The Giants have been a bit inconsistent at the plate, but they have shown a lot of power as their 11 home runs are 4th best in the Majors, and all of those team with more homers than them, with the exception of the Cincinnati Reds, have played more games than the G-Men. The Giants are hoping that Johnny Cueto can slow down this Rockies team that has been hitting the ball hard so far this season. Cueto was decent in his start against the Seattle Mariners, as he pitched into the 6th inning, and the Giants won the game.
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) April 9, 2021
Colorado hasn’t had much trouble scoring runs this season as they are 3rd in the NL in runs scored and 2nd in the league in home runs. But all of those bombs haven’t exactly led to many wins, as Colorado has a losing record on the year at 3-4. If Auston Gomber isn’t a lot better than he was against the Dodgers, tonight against the Giants, the Rockies are again going to get blown out. Gomber lasted just 3 innings against LA and walked an absurd 7 batters. Walks are a killer for starting pitchers, especially against a team like the Giants that can hit the long ball, and Gomber’s career W/9 ratio of 4.5 has to scare Rockies fans. Expect Gomber to hand out a bunch of free passes and for the Giants to make him pay for it with some multi-run homers. The Giants win this one in a higher scoring affair.
Cincinnati Reds (-155) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Pop quiz, who is the highest scoring team in the Major Leagues right now? The Dodgers? The Astros? The Yankees? Nope, nope, and nope. If you guessed the Cincinnati Reds, and unless you are a Red’s fan or hit a quick google search, I am sure that wasn’t your guess, you were right! The Reds have been punishing the baseball this year, and they are tied with the Philadelphia Phillies for the best record in the NL at 5-1, with the league’s top run differential at +31. Cincy is on fire right now, with a 5-game winning streak. During this winning streak, they have won each of those games by an average of over 7-runs.
The #Reds are just the 𝗳𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗲𝗮𝗺 𝗶𝗻 𝗠𝗟𝗕 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 to have two players (Tyler Naquin and Nick Castellanos) with at least four homers through the team’s first six games of a season.
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) April 8, 2021
The DBacks are on the opposite side of that spectrum as they just aren’t playing well. Arizona is 2-5 on the year, and they have scored 3-runs or fewer 5 times, and they have already been shut out twice. Taylor Widener has been one of the few bright spots this year for Arizona, as he was light’s out in his 1st start, throwing 6 shutout innings against the San Diego Padres. As good as Widener looked in his last start, which happened to be his first-ever Big League start, it was very fluky, and I will back the hot hand in this one. The Reds are playing too good right now not to want to back them, so that is just what I will do.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- New York Yankees -143
- San Francisco Giants -160
- Cincinnati Reds -155
$100 Bet Wins $355
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8.5 Runs (-110)
You aren’t going to see me taking the over in Tampa Bay Ray’s games very often this year, but in this spot against the Yankees, I think we are going to see some runs hit the board. There is a chance that most of those runs come from New York, as Rich Hill looks to finally be running out of gas after a long career, and when all of the smoke clears, this game has double digits written all over it. I expect Corey Kluber to get better as the season wears on, but after missing nearly all of the last couple of years with injuries, he isn’t going to be at his best either. All signs point to a higher scoring game that coasts to the over.
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Under 9 Runs (-110)
Just like the Tampa Bay Rays, for whatever reason, the Cleveland Indians have never seemed to be able to score many runs over the course of the last several seasons. That has been the case this year as Cleveland is dead last in the AL in runs scored. To be fair to Cleveland, they have only played 5 games, but their team batting average is an anemic .215, so no matter how many games they play, if they can’t start hitting better, they aren’t going to score many runs.
— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) April 8, 2021
The Tigers haven’t been much better in terms of scoring runs and, in this game, where we have two strong starters on the mound, it feels like a low-scoring game. Julio Teheran picked up a win in his first-ever start with Detroit, allowing just a single run in 5 innings worked. And Cleveland starter Zach Plesac posted an elite 2.88 ERA last year in 8 starts. We saw this exact matchup less than a week ago, and that game only saw 7-runs hit the board, and that’s just about where I see this one landing today as well.
Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros Over 9 Runs (-110)
It is hard to be as bad as the Oakland Athletics have been this year. They aren’t just losing games, they are getting completely embarrassed. They have a team ERA of over 7-runs, which is a full run higher than any other team in the American League, and all of their losses have come by multiple runs. They have played the Houston Astros 5 times already, and Houston is scoring over 8 runs a game against them. When you look at Oakland letting the Astros hit off of them like it’s batting practice, this total seems awfully low. The Astros could go over this number by themselves, so I’ll jump on the over and expect more ineptitude out of the A’s tonight.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Over 8.5 Runs -110
- Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Under 9 Runs -110
- Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros Over 9 Runs -110
$100 Bet Wins $600
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays (+102)
I correctly backed the Los Angeles Angels yesterday as underdogs in their game with the Toronto Blue Jays, but I will switch course today and take Toronto to even up the series at a game apiece tonight in game two. Andrew Heaney was dreadfully bad in his 1st start of the season, getting torched by the Chicago White Sox for 7 runs, all earned, on 5 hits and 2 walks in just 3 innings pitched. The Blue Jays aren’t swinging the bats as well as they will later this season, as it’s been somewhat of a slow start for the Jays at the dish, but this team has power up and down the lineup, and they are poised for a breakout.
Vladdy's Start = FUEGO 🔥
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) April 9, 2021
The Angels bullpen is bad, and even if Heaney is better than he was against Chicago, and he almost has to be at least somewhat better, we are going to see Toronto score some runs in this game. I am not sure I can say the same thing about the Angels, though, as Toronto starter TJ Zeuch held the New York Yankees without a run in 4 innings in his last start. The Jays are moving Zeuch along slowly, but the 25-year-old has looked promising in his limited action in the last two seasons. Going back to last year, Zeuch has worked 15.1 innings and has only allowed 2 earned runs. I’ll take a flyer on the Jays today as home dogs, with a nice young arm on the mound and fade this Angel’s pitching staff.
Philadelphia Phillies (+108) at Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves are a very good baseball team, but they sure didn’t play like one in their 1st series of the year against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies swept the Braves in that 3-game set, holding the Brave’s bats to a total of just 3-runs. Atlanta looked better in their last series, taking 2 of 3 against the Washington Nationals, and they are hoping that the change of venue will lead to more success against this red-hot Phillies team.
It's Friday, and we've got a whole weekend full of baseball on tap.
Who's pumped? pic.twitter.com/txCw8icI26
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) April 9, 2021
The Phillies are 5-1 and sitting alone atop the NL East Division standings. Zack Wheeler finally lived up to his lofty potential last year for Philly, posting a 2.92 ERA, and he hit the ground running this year with a 1-0 record, after shutting out the Braves in 7 stellar innings of work last week. He sat down 10 batters via the strikeout and gave up just one hit in the dominating performance. I do think the Braves are the better overall team in this game, but I can’t pass up on backing the hot hand, with a starter that just destroyed this same team less than a week ago, as underdogs. I think we all expect Charlie Morton to be better this year than he was in his debut with the Braves, but at age 37, who knows, he may be finally running out of gas after a long career.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Toronto Blue Jays +102
- Philadelphia Phillies +108
$100 Bet Wins $320
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs (-117) at Texas Rangers
The Padres haven’t look very good without superstar Fernando Tatis Jr in the lineup in the last couple of games, but I see them snapping out of that funk tonight against this bad Ranger’s pitching staff. Yeah, it sucks to have Tatis out with an injury, but the Padres still have guys like Jake Cronenworth, Manny Machado, Eric Hosmer, and Tommy Pham in their lineup. They get to hit against Japanese import Kohei Arihara, who didn’t look good in his first MLB start last week when the Kansas City Royals roughed him up. You can bank on the Padres busting out of their slump against Texas, and if Joe Musgrove can match what he did against the Arizona DBacks last week, working 6-shutout innings, this game could get ugly. This smells like a blowout. I am taking the Padres on the run line.
Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (+115)
We have already talked at length this season about how I feel about the Oakland A’s. They aren’t going to be a good team this year, and right now, they are playing worse than any other team in the game. They are getting blown out basically every time out, and until they can figure things out and stay competitive against good teams, I am going to keep fading them. Oakland has played the Astros 5-times this year, and the closest game was a 4-run blowout. Another day, another bet against the Oakland A’s. Expect more devastation for A’s fans as they are going to get embarrassed again tonight.
Detroit Tigers (+170) at Cleveland Indians
We saw this identical matchup last week. Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians, Zack Plesac vs. Julio Teheran. That game finished with the Tigers winning 5-2 behind a solid outing from Teheran. Baseball is always going to be a sport with an absurd amount of variance, but to see a carbon copy of a game we just saw, and to have the team that won that game by several runs get +170 in the rematch, doesn’t make a ton of sense. The Tigers won that series 2 games to 1, and while Julio Teheran isn’t much more than an innings eater at this point of his career, he looked great against this weak-hitting Indians team his last time out, and I am going to back him as a big dog and hope he can do it again.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs -117
- Houston Astros -1.5 Runs +115
- Detroit Tigers +170
$100 Bet Wins $977
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!