It is a bit of a mellow day today for Major League Baseball as there are only 10 games on the schedule. With a couple of those games coming on getaway day, as early morning starts, that means we won’t have nearly as many games to bet on today as normal. That being said, there is still plenty of value on the board, we just won’t be bringing you our normal get rich or die trying home run parlay play today, as we don’t want to push for action just for the sake of having action.
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) June 10, 2021
Betting baseball is all about finding value and exploiting it, and you should never overextend yourself if there isn’t value on the board. If you want action just for the sake of action, go buy a lottery ticket. Long-term winning handicappers are never afraid of a slow day of betting, and the best thing about baseball is that there is always tomorrow! But today, we will be right here in the trenches with you, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Houston Astros (-106) at Boston Red Sox
The Houston Astros have beaten up the Boston Red Sox in the last week or so. The teams matched up in Houston last week, and the Astros took 3 of the 4 games. This week, the team’s rematched, this time in Boston, and Houston has continued to dominate the Red Sox, as they have already locked up the series win by winning each of the first 2 games of this 3-game series, both in blowout fashion. For whatever reason, Houston just has Boston’s number, which makes the fact that we can back the Astros today as underdogs, with their ace, Zack Greinke on the mound, hard to understand. Greinke has been outrageously good on the road, with a 4-0 record and 1.50 ERA in 6 road starts. The Astros have grown accustomed to winning when Greinke pitches, as they have a stellar 10-3 record in his 13 starts this season.
— Houston Astros (@astros) June 10, 2021
The same cannot be said for Boston starter Eduardo Rodrigeuz, as Boston had lost 5 of his previous 6 starts before winning his last outing against the New York Yankees. E-Rod was solid early in the season for Boston, but since May 1st, he has worked a combined 35 innings and has allowed 27 earned runs. Rodriguez has made a career of pitching decent and relying on the strong Boston bats to support him, but that run support has been inconsistent as of late, as the Red Sox have scored him 2 runs or less of support in 4 of his last 7 starts. In his lone start against Houston this season, he had his worst outing of the year, getting hammered for 6 earned runs in just 4.2 innings pitched and getting charged with the loss for his efforts. This is a shockingly bad line when you take into account how great Greinke has been on the road, how bad Rodriguez has been in the last several weeks, and the fact that Houston absolutely owns Boston right now with a +16-run differential against them in 6 games. I’ll back Houston as dogs and feel like I am on the favorites while I do it today in Boston!
Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics (-150)
The Kansas City Royals were taking advantage of a particularly soft spot in their schedule to string together some wins and get back to the right side of .500 on the year. Games against the Tigers (3), Twins (7), and Pirates (2) were nice matchups and despite that soft run continuing recently, with a series against a bad Los Angeles Angels team, playing without Mike Trout, the Royals have hit the skids and have lost 5 straight games. KC is on a 6-game road trip, and after getting blown out in all 3 games by the Angels, they have to head to Oakland for a 3-game set with the 1st place Athletics. It is hard to imagine that things are going to get much better for the Royals in Oakland, as the A’s have won 6 of their 7 games here in the month of June and are playing some quality baseball.
— Oakland A's (@Athletics) June 9, 2021
Royal’s starter Mike Minor has actually pitched pretty well on the road this season, but he has seen his production dip recently, and the losses are starting to really pile up. After going 4-1 in April with Minor on the mound, KC is 2-5 since. Homers have plagued Minor as he has allowed a whopping 11 already this season, including 3 in his last start against the Minnesota Twins. That doesn’t bode well for him tonight against an A’s team that is 4th in the American League in home runs. Frankie Montas does scare me a little bit, as the guy has been all over the place, but being able to back the A’s in a spot where they are the far superior overall team, playing much better in the last couple of weeks, at home no less, at this price, shows some nice value.
New York Yankees (-141) at Minnesota Twins
The New York Yankees have broken out the bats in this series against the Minnesota Twins, battering them for 17 runs through the first 2 games of the 3-game set. New York has racked up 29 hits already against the Twinkies, and today against JA Happ, things could get ugly. Happ was pitching great to start the season, but the wheels have fallen off for him recently, as, in his last 5 starts, he has gotten smashed. Happ has allowed 26 runs in his last 5 starts, a span of just 23 innings pitched. The Yankees have been frustratingly inconsistent at the plate all season long, but they have punished the Twin’s pitching staff in this series, and with JA Happ getting the nod, I see no reason why that won’t continue today in the series finale.
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) June 10, 2021
Michael King hasn’t pitched very well for New York, but he doesn’t stay in the game very long, and while that is normally a bad thing for teams, the Yankees have the top bullpen in the American League in terms of staff ERA, so King pitching just a couple of innings is going to end up being a great thing for our bet. This could end up being a slugfest type of game, and with how New York has been swinging the bat so far in this series, they are the side to be on. One last little tidbit that makes me love a play on New York, is the fact that they have actually been better on the road this season than at home, and the Twins have the 2nd worst home field record in the AL right now at 12-19, better only than the hapless Baltimore Orioles. New York picks up the sweep today in Minneapolis, and I’ll jump on the road team at a reasonable price.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Houston Astros -106
- Oakland Athletics -150
- New York Yankees -141
$100 Bet Pays $554
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics Over 8 Runs (-110)
I think Mike Minor is going to give up at least 1 home run and potentially more tonight in Oakland. The long ball has been a thorn in his side all year, and the A’s have power up and down their lineup. And with Frankie Montas sporting a 5.31 ERA at home this season, this total feels too low. Oakland is averaging 7 runs per game in their 6 wins this month, and if they can score 7 again tonight at home, this total will end up going WAY over, as Montas certainly isn’t going to go out and shut the Royals down either. I could see this game sailing to the over before both of these starters leave the game, and double digit runs seem inevitable.
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Under 9 Runs (-110)
Fenway Park is a tough place to pitch, but with how great Zack Greinke has been on the road, and his ability to force a lot of ground balls, I don’t see Boston scoring many runs tonight at home. Eduardo Rodriguez may end up getting tagged for several runs, but for the most part, these recent games between Houston and Boston have been lower scoring. Last night’s game hit 11 runs, but the previous 4 games between these teams stayed well under this total. The Astros have held Boston to just a single run 3 times this season, and if they do that again tonight, this total has no shot of going over. I’ll take the under and hope that Rodriguez doesn’t get lit up too bad before he gets yanked.
San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals Under 7.5 Runs (-110)
This is a great starting pitching matchup today from the nation’s capital, as Max Scherzer squares off against Anthony DeSclafani. We all know what Mad Max is capable of, and shockingly, he is having one of his best seasons ever at age 38, which is certainly saying something for the multi-time Cy Young Award winner. Scherzer hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in a start since April, and on the season, he has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his 12 starts, and his 104 K’s in just 77 innings pitched puts him near the top of the game in K’s and K/9 rate.
Yee Craw 🤠 pic.twitter.com/ESgLCXRgJZ
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) June 9, 2021
While Anthony DeSclafani certainly isn’t Max Scherzer, he is having a career year for the Giants, with a 5-2 record and 3.51 ERA. In reality, DeSclafani has actually been much better than his 3.51 ERA might lead you to believe, as he had 1 really bad start against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where he got whacked for 10 earned runs that is throwing his numbers off. If you pull that rough day out of the mix, he hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in any other start, and his ERA would be in the low 2-run range. This is going to be a pitcher’s duel today in Washington, and despite this being a low total, I think this game stays well under.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics Over 8 Runs -110
- Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Under 9 Runs -110
- San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals Under 7.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
San Francisco Giants (+150) at Washington Nationals
I know I just talked about how amazing Max Scherzer has been this season, so it might not make a lot of sense that I am going to turn around and fade him, but hear me out here. As amazing as Scherzer has been, the Nats just aren’t supporting him consistently, and they have managed to lose 5 of his last 12 starts. Washington has lost 4 times when Scherzer has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer, which is some awful luck for the future first ballot Hall of Famer. The Giants are the exact opposite, as they do a great job of supporting DeSclafani, and they are 8-4 when he pitches, including wins in 5 of his last 6 outings. The Giants have the best overall record in the National League, and no NL team has more road wins this year than the G-men. San Francisco finds ways to win games that they shouldn’t, and the Nationals are great at clutching defeat from the hands of victory. The Giants are an absurd 13 games up on the Nationals right now, and they shouldn’t be this big of dogs no matter who is pitching.
Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins -1.5 Runs (+100)
I have been playing with fire recently, and so far, I have managed to walk away from it unscathed. I have bet home teams on the run line 5 times in the last week, and I have cashed all 5 bets. But all of those bets were straight fades of the Arizona Diamondbacks, who have been an absolute embarrassment on the road this season. The DBacks road losing streak has hit an almost unimaginably bad 19 straight games, and they are getting blown out on a regular basis. But what if I told you that as bad as the DBacks have been on the road this year, that the Colorado Rockies have been even worse? The Rockies are on pace to be the worst road team in the history of Major League Baseball. There is still a lot of baseball left to be played this season, but with a 5-23 record on the road, Colorado is closing in on all-time ineptitude.
MARLINS WIN CONTENT >>>> pic.twitter.com/rRpBge3S3f
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) June 9, 2021
The Miami Marlins aren’t a great team by any means, but they are a lot better at home than they are on the road, and against a Rockies team that lays down on the road, I like them to win this game by multiple runs. Trevor Rogers is a stud for Miami and has an elite 1.71 ERA at home. In his last 3 home starts, he has given up just a single earned run in each game, and the Marlins won each of those games by at least 3 runs. Chi Chi Gonzalez, like the rest of this Rockies team, is a joke away from home, as he has made 6 road starts so far in 2021 and has an 0-3 record and 6.33 ERA to show for it. The Rockies are 1-5 in those 6 games, and the books are giving us an enormous discount to lay the run and a half, so I will do it. I try to never get out of line with these risky bets, but as long as games against the DBacks and Rockies away from home are basically bye games for the home team, I will keep looking for ways to fade them profitably.
Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox (-104)
The Chicago White Sox are home underdogs today? The White Sox have only been home dogs twice all season long, tied with the New York Yankees as the team with the fewest times being underdogs at home this season, in all of baseball. This scenario doesn’t come up very often, and I won’t let the opportunity to get the 1st place White Sox, getting juice on their own field, pass me by. No team in the majors has a better home record than Chicago, and even with Hyun-jin Ryu getting the start for Toronto, I just can’t support them as favorites. Ryu has been mostly great for Toronto this season, but he is coming off his worst outing of the season, where he got lit up by the Houston Astros for 7 runs in 5.2 innings.
Our guys have a lot of fight in them. pic.twitter.com/6N1KDeDmA8
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) June 9, 2021
Dallas Keuchel has been serviceable for the White Sox, as he can be counted on for 5ish innings of decent work, and he gives his team a chance to win games every time that he pitches. The White Sox are 8-4 with Keuchel getting the start, and they have won in 4 of his last 5 starts. It is easy to win games when your team scores a bunch of runs, and the White Sox love to run up the score with Keuchel on the mound, as they have scored 7 runs or more when he pitches 5 times, including hitting double digits 3 times. During this recent stretch, where they have won 4 of his last 5 starts, they are averaging just under 10 runs per game of support. I’m probably blind betting Chicago as home dogs at this point, as they are just too good in the Windy City to not want to back them getting juice, but even as I break this one down, Chicago seems like the clear side to be on today.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- San Francisco Giants +150
- Miami Marlins -1.5 Runs +100
- Chicago White Sox -104
$100 Bet Pays $1,013
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have three different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!