Yesterday was a bit of an up and down day that had the potential to be another huge moneymaker, but fizzled out late. We just missed a couple of different parlays, as we came up 1 bet short on our money line parlay and our daily dog parlay. But we did grind out a decent profit on the day with our straight bet action, finishing with an 8-6 overall record, with multiple underdog winners helping us stay in the black for the day.
It's great to be back home. pic.twitter.com/BvKGelLkj0
— Texas Rangers (@Rangers) June 5, 2021
We picked up dog money winners on the Rangers (+116), Red Sox (+105), Nationals (+100), and the Brewers run line (+110) and found money line winners on the Royals (-124), White Sox (-162), and Pirates (-110) as well as hitting a totals bet. Remember, I always encourage you to follow all of my plays as straight bets, as well as our parlay of the day bets. Parlays are a lot of fun and can offer some quick hit jumbo payouts, but straight money line bets can be very profitable as well and usually have less variance. We will take our small win to the bank and get back on the grind today, in search of max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Houston Astros (-112) at Toronto Blue Jays
Despite playing a particularly nasty stretch of games, the Houston Astros have been playing very well as of late. Houston has played their last 4 series against the Dodgers, Padres, Red Sox, and Blue Jays. Those are some of the best teams in all of baseball, and Houston has more than held their own with a 6-4 record, including wins in 5 of their last 6 games. Things ease up for Houston in the 2nd half of the month as they have upcoming series against the Orioles, Tigers, and Twins, and I like Houston to stay hot today in Buffalo, against the Blue Jays. The Astros embarrassed Toronto last night in the series opener, blowing out the Blue Jays 13-1, behind a complete game from starting pitcher Zack Greinke. Jose Urquidy gets the nod for Houston today, with the Astros looking to win his 6th consecutive start.
— Houston Astros (@astros) June 5, 2021
Toronto will try and match Urquidy with Ross Stripling, who has had some significant struggles at home this season. Stripling looked great in his last home start, but prior to that nice outing, he had worked a combined 13 innings across 3 home starts and had gotten blasted for a whopping 12 runs. Stripling has made 1 start against Houston this year, and it did not go well for the veteran right-hander, as he lasted just 3.2 innings and got lit up for 3 earned runs on 6 hits and 3 walks. In Urquidy’s lone start this season against Toronto, he worked 7 stellar innings, allowing just 2 earned runs, and picked up a win for his efforts. This starting pitching matchup is a mismatch, and when you look at how well Houston has been playing in the last week, despite the tough competition, they feel undervalued here. I’ll back Houston as small road favorites and hope that somebody packed the trash can lids for the Astros!
Tampa Bay Rays (-159) at Texas Rangers
Yesterday I backed the Texas Rangers as home underdogs and picked up a juicy win. As bad as Texas has been on the road this season, and they have been absolutely awful as they ride an active 14-game losing streak on the road, they have actually been decent at home. But yesterday’s bet was all about Kyle Gibson, as the guy had been quite literally unhittable at home for Texas. Gibson continued his home field dominance, working 5.2 shutout innings, and even though the Rangers bullpen tried to blow the game for us, they didn’t, and we cashed a ticket. Today, without Gibson to carry them, I think Texas gets beaten up by the Tampa Bay Rays, who just happen to have the best road record in the American League. Kolby Allard has mostly worked out of the Ranger’s bullpen this year, and while he has been solid in relief, it is hard to expect him to stay in this game for very long, as his longest outing of the season was just 4 innings.
Ready to fight our way back into the win column pic.twitter.com/0IsAs2Qg28
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) June 5, 2021
Rich Hill will start for Tampa Bay, and he has been outrageously good in the last month for the Rays. I was quick to bury Hill early in the season, as he looked old and washed up in the month of April when he posted a 7.25 ERA. As John Wayne once famously said, the news of my demise has been greatly exaggerated, and Hill proved me dead wrong in May, as he took home the AL Pitcher of the Month honors, with a 3-1 record and 0.78 ERA in 6 starts. The Rangers snuck in a win yesterday, but they just aren’t good enough to beat the Rays in back-to-back games, especially with Rich Hill finding the fountain of youth in the last month. The juice is a bit heavy, but this is one of those low hanging fruit spots where you just snatch up some free cash.
Los Angeles Dodgers (-129) at Atlanta Braves
The Los Angeles Dodgers reminded everybody last night that if you make a mistake against them, they will punish you for it. Brave’s starter Ian Anderson was cruising, as he had a shutout going heading into the 5th inning. But then 3rd baseman Austin Riley made a throwing error when Chris Taylor tried to come home, hitting Taylor with the ball and plating the 1st Dodgers run of the night. That flub opened the floodgates for LA, and by the time the smoke cleared, they had scored 8 times in the inning, and the game was essentially over. Charlie Morton is going to have his hands full tonight at home against this hard-hitting Dodgers wrecking crew, and when you look at some of the struggles he has had in Atlanta this season, this one could get ugly.
How about an eight-run inning? pic.twitter.com/iAtGELvHwZ
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) June 5, 2021
Morton has allowed at least 3 runs in 5 of his 7 home starts, and he has gotten beaten up for 5 or more runs at Truist Park 3 times. The Dodgers showed us last night that there is very little margin of error when you pitch against them, and I think these LA bats are going to hammer Charlie Morton. And with future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw on the mound for the Boys in Blue, it’s hard to see Atlanta being able to keep up. Kershaw isn’t as consistent as he has always been, but when he is on his game, he can still shut a team down. Kershaw has made 6 starts this season where he has worked at least 6 innings and allowed 2 earned runs or less. I think the Dodgers ride last night’s momentum, and Clayton Kershaw ends up being much better than Charlie Morton, as the Dodgers take game 2 against the Braves.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Houston Astros -112
- Tampa Bay Rays -159
- Los Angeles Dodgers -129
$100 Bet Pays $548
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants Under 7.5 Runs (-110)
Kevin Gausman has been a straight gangster this year for the San Franciso Giants. Gausman has thrown his name into the Cy Young Award conversation in the National League with a 6-0 record and 1.40 ERA. Gausman hasn’t allowed even a single run in his last 3 starts combined, and in his last 8 starts, he has worked a total of 51 innings and has given up only 4 total earned runs. He has only had 1 start this year where he gave up more than 1 earned run, and to see this total so high with him on the mound is shocking. Kohl Stewart doesn’t have a lot of Big League experience, but he made his season debut last week and was fantastic, holding the hard-hitting San Diego Padres to 1 unearned run, on only 3 hits, in 5 innings of work. The Cubs have been blazing hot recently, and the Giants almost never lose at home, so I will stay away from picking a side and instead take the higher value play on the under 7.5 runs in what is sure to be a tightly contested and low scoring game.
Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Under 8 Runs (-110)
If you are a regular reader of my daily parlay of the day betting picks, you will know that one of my favorites plays this season has been taking the over in the Angels games. The Angels had a high scoring lineup and an awful pitching staff that led to a lot of high scoring games. But with Albert Pujols playing his home games across the freeway for the Dodgers and Mike Trout nursing an injury, the bats have gone cold for LA. Seattle will start Yusei Kikuchi, who has really found his stride in the last several weeks, as he has made 6 consecutive quality starts. The Mariners have struggled at the plate much of the season, and I don’t expect much out of them tonight against Alex Cobb, who has been one of the lone bright spots for LA, with a 2.25 ERA at Angel’s Stadium. Yesterday’s game between the M’s and Halos finished up with a 3-2 score, and I expect more of the same tonight in a game that stays under the total.
Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Under 8.5 Runs (-110)
This is a sneaky good starting pitching matchup today in Baltimore, as both John Means and Aaron Civale are budding stars for their respective teams. Civale has a career ERA of just 3.54, and he is currently tied for 3rd in the majors in wins with 7 and looks well on his way to making his first-ever All-Star team. John Means has been even better for Baltimore, as he is 4-1 and his 2.05 ERA is good for 6th best in baseball. The public hasn’t caught on just yet that these guys are studs, and that allows us to take the under on what is certainly an inflated total.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants Under 7.5 Runs -110
- Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Under 8 Runs -110
- Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Under 8.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Oakland Athletics at Colorado Rockies (+108)
Backing the Colorado Rockies at home has been a very profitable play this season, as their 10 wins as home dogs so far in 2021 is 4th best in the majors. The Rockies’ awful road record has distracted people from noticing that Colorado is actually pretty good at home, with a 19-13 record. Only the Padres and the Cubs have more home wins than Colorado does, so to see them as home dogs against Oakland today feels like a high value spot. Cole Irvin had a nice start to his season, but the wheels have fallen off for him in the last month, as he has gotten beaten up for 13 earned runs in his last 3 starts. Oakland has lost 8 of Irvin’s 10 starts, including his last 5 straight, and he shouldn’t be laying wood at Coors Field, where the Rockies are great, and he is likely to get hammered. Home dogs are my jam, and I will back the Rockies as home dogs today as a fade of Cole Irvin.
Seattle Mariners (+130) at Los Angeles Angels
No team in baseball has won more times this season as underdogs than the Seattle Mariners. Now, to be fair, not many teams have been underdogs in as many games as Seattle has been either, but wins are wins, and if you have been backing Seattle as dogs a lot this season, you are crushing the game. On the flip side, the Angels are 26th in MLB in winning percentage when favored, at an abysmal .448. So, you are telling me that I can back a Mariner’s team that is great at winning as dogs against an Angels team that rarely ever wins when they are favorites? Yeah, sign me up for some of that. The fact that Yusei Kikuchi has been pitching so well recently is just the cherry on top of what is a high value spot.
New York Mets at San Diego Padres (-105)
A couple of weeks ago, I said that I would take the San Diego Padres as home underdogs against any team in the game, no matter who was getting the start for the opposing team. The books decided to put me to the test today, though, as the Padres are forced to face the best pitcher in baseball, in Jacob deGrom. deGrom has been stupid good and is on pace to finish with his lowest ever ERA and his highest ever K rate, which is saying something for the multi-time Cy Young Award winner. That being said, there is no pitcher in baseball that gets unluckier than deGrom, as he has never won more than 15 games in a single season, and the Mets just love to hang him out to dry and score him zero runs of support.
Have we mentioned it spins pic.twitter.com/o4swY9Z8Wk
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) June 5, 2021
Joe Musgrove isn’t Jacob deGrom, but he is having a very nice season himself, with a more than respectable 2.08 ERA. In his last 4 outings, Musgrove has pitched a total of 21.2 innings and has allowed only 1 earned run. The Padres are currently tied for the most wins in the majors, and they have been elite at home all season long. Betting against Jacob deGrom scares me, a lot, but being able to back the Friars with Joe Musgrove on the mound, who hasn’t allowed an earned run in his last 3 starts, is too much value to pass up on. I’ll bank on the Mets doing what the Mets do when deGrom pitches, and that is no-show at the plate, and back the Padres as home underdogs.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Colorado Rockies +108
- Seattle Mariners +130
- San Diego Padres -105
$100 Bet Pays $935
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Miami Marlins (-150) at Pittsburgh Pirates
Fading the Miami Marlins on the road has been a regular play of mine, and I did just that yesterday and got paid. But the one time that I almost never fade the Fish, is when Trevor Rogers pitches. Rogers is having a breakout season for Miami, with a 6-3 record and 1.87 ERA. He has been great on the road, which is rare for such a young pitcher, with a 1.94 ERA. Miami is 4-3 in his 7 road starts, which is actually really impressive when you consider how bad they have been away from home this year overall. Chase De Jong looked pretty good last week in his 1st start of the season against the Colorado Rockies, but pitching against Colorado when they are on the road is basically a bye game, so I won’t give him too much credit for the decent showing. De Jong has a career ERA approaching 7 runs, and I just don’t trust him, even against these weak hitting Marlins. The Pirates have the 2nd worst record in the National League, and even though Miami stinks on the road, I will lay a little wood and back them today as Trevor Rogers is my secret weapon starter.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (-125)
The Phillies do almost all of their winning at home this season, and even with a scrub of a starter like Spencer Howard getting the start today for Philly, I still like them to take care of business against the Washington Nationals. Washington has underachieved much of the year, and they play particularly bad away from home. Joe Ross has gotten smashed for 16 earned runs in his last 3 road starts combined, and in the month of May, Ross made 4 road starts for Washington, and the Nationals went 0-4. This bet is a fade of Washington and Joe Ross, and being able to position myself on the other side of that dumpster can fire of a combination at this price is extra juicy.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs (-105)
Yesterday I made a play that I almost never make, as I took the Milwaukee Brewers on the run line at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Home team run lines are super risky, and while I don’t go to that well very often, it was the play yesterday, and it came in, and we cashed our ticket. I will take a bite of that forbidden fruit again today, as the DBacks are a joke on the road, and with Brandon Woodruff and his 1.27 ERA going for Milwaukee, I doubt Arizona is going to even score a run today. Woodruff hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in a game since his 1st start of the year, and in his last 4 starts, he has worked into the 7th inning or later in each game and has allowed just 2 total earned runs. DBacks starter Merrill Kelly is 1-4 with a 6.15 ERA on the road, and this game has blowout written all over it.
Minnesota Twins (-109) at Kansas City Royals
I took the Royals yesterday in their game with the Minnesota Twins, and they didn’t make me sweat it out very long, as they dropped a 9-spot on the Twins in the 1st inning of what turned into a 14-5 slaughtering of Minnesota. The Royals have won 6 of their last 7 games, powered by an explosion at the plate. But today, I think that they hit a roadblock in the form of Twins ace Jose Berrios. Berrios has a 2.27 ERA on the road, and even though wins have been really hard to come by for Minnesota this season, the Twins went 5-1 in May when Berrios pitched. If the Royals are going to stay hot and win tonight at Kaufman Stadium, they are going to have to touch up Berrios as Mike Minor has been awful at home with a 5.82 ERA. The Royals won the last time that Minor pitched in Kansas City, but previous to that, they had lost his last 4 home starts. I don’t back the Twins very often, but they are the side to be on in this one at even money.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-124)
I love to pick on Eduardo Rodrigeuz, as the guy has somehow managed to make a name for himself as a top of the rotation type of pitcher, despite not having very good stuff. E-Rod has made a career out of being super mediocre and letting the heavy-hitting Red Sox bats carry him to gaudy win totals. But that house of cards is starting to crumble for Rodriguez, as the Red Sox have lost 5 out of his last 6 starts. Jameson Taillon falls on the other end of that spectrum, as the New York media has been awfully tough on the guy this season, and while his road stats are bad, he has actually been great in the Big Apple, with a 2.90 ERA in the Bronx. Betting the Red Sox as dogs has been a favorite play of mine this season, but I will fade them today as Eduardo Rodriguez might be the worst “ace” in the game.
Cleveland Indians (+106) at Baltimore Orioles
Our final bet of the day comes to us from Baltimore as the Orioles host the Indians. We already touched on how great of a starting pitching matchup this is today, and while I absolutely hate to bet against John Means, I don’t think I have much of a choice today. Means has allowed more runs in his last 3 starts than he did in his first 9 starts of the season. He has still been pitching well, but now that he isn’t out there completely shutting teams down, the O’s can’t win when he pitches, as they have lost his last 4 starts. Cleveland has found ways to win a lot of games when Aaron Civale pitches with an 8-3 record in his 11 starts. Getting him with dog money against this Orioles squad that has the worst record in the American League feels too good to be true. Give me the Tribe.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Miami Marlins -150
- Philadelphia Phillies -125
- Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs -105
- Minnesota Twins -109
- New York Yankees -124
- Cleveland Indians +106
$100 Bet Pays $4,180
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!