It is Sunday, and you know what that means, a full day of Major League Baseball action! There are 15 games on the schedule today in what is sure to be a great day of betting on Big League baseball. Yesterday was an off day, where wins were hard to find, but the day wasn’t a total loss as we did find several winners, despite not hitting a parlay bet. We found winners on the Phillies (-125), Brewers run line (-110), Twins (-109), Indians (+106), and Rays (-159), as well as sneaking in the under in the Giants/Cubs game by a half a run.
— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) June 5, 2021
Today, with so many games on the board, we have plenty of action on tap and are ready to deliver max value. Highlights of the day include the Dodgers and Braves battling in Atlanta, the Astros playing against the Blue Jays in Buffalo, and the Cubs playing in the Bay Area against the San Francisco Giants. Everything wraps up for the week this evening with your Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Week between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox, renewing what is the best rivalry in all of baseball. We will be right there with you today, in search of value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Cleveland Indians (-118) at Baltimore Orioles
Yesterday I expected a pitcher’s duel between John Means and Aaron Civale. Instead, Means got hurt in the 1st inning and was pulled from the game after collecting just 2 outs, and while Civale was decent, working 6 innings and allowing 4 earned runs, the game didn’t really go as planned. We still won our bet, but the game went a different direction than expected. With Means out of the game so early, the Orioles were forced to go to their bullpen for basically the entire game, and that went understandably awful, as Cleveland ended the game by posting a 10 spot on the scoreboard. The teams wrap up this 3-game series today in the rubber match, and after seeing what the Tribe did to the Orioles bullpen yesterday, they are certainly going to be exhausted today. And with Jorge Lopez getting the nod for Baltimore, the O’s may need to lean on that relief staff heavily again today, as Lopez has pitched less than 6 innings in 9 of his 11 starts.
— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) June 6, 2021
Cal Quantrill will get the chance to start today for Cleveland, making just his 2nd start of the year. Quantrill was the big piece that Cleveland got in exchange for Mike Clevinger from the San Diego Padres, and he is one of the most promising young pitchers in the game. Quantrill has made 26 appearances for the Indians, mostly in relief, and has been fantastic with a 2.00 ERA. I think Quantrill cruises today against this Orioles team that is 13th in the AL in runs scored, and it wouldn’t shock me if Jorge Lopez gets blown up, as he has been super inconsistent, which has led Baltimore to lose 8 of his 11 starts, including his last 4 straight. The Indians are the side to back here, and they are shockingly undervalued in a great spot.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-127)
It was hard to expect the Cincinnati Reds to come into St. Louis this weekend and sweep the Cardinals, but that is where we are at, as the Reds have taken each of the first 3 games of this series. But today in the series finale, I think the Red Birds are going to stop the bleeding and salvage a game in this 4-game set, with John Gant on the mound. Gant isn’t a household name just yet, and he does tend to get overshadowed in this Cardinal’s rotation by the likes of Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright, but Gant is having a breakout season for St. Louis, and his 1.60 ERA is one of the best in the National League. Gant hasn’t allowed a single run in either of his last 2 starts, coming against the Chicago White Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers, both on the road no less, against teams that you can argue have the best lineups in their respective leagues. That was a mighty impressive run, and I expect him to again be stellar today at home.
This view 🙌 pic.twitter.com/4a4Q3huyWV
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) June 5, 2021
The Reds will send Wade Miley to the mound in search of the sweep, and it’s hard to know what to expect from the veteran hurler. Miley has ranged from being unhittable, literally, as he tossed his first-ever career no-hitter earlier this season, to absolutely awful, this year for the Reds. The low point for Miley was his next start following his no-no, where he got hammered for 8 earned runs in just 3 innings against the Colorado Rockies. These pitchers squared off earlier this season in St. Louis, with Gant outdueling Miley and the Cardinals picking up a 2-0 victory. I expect more of the same today as Gant has just been far too good this year not to love being able to back him at this price.
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals (-141)
So far, I have nailed this series, as every bet I have made on it, I have cashed. I will look for the clean sweep today in the series finale from Kansas City. Brady Singer hasn’t been very good this year, but he likely won’t have to be overly sharp today, as the Twins are starting rookie Bailey Ober, who has just 1 career start in the show. That start came last month in a spot start for Minnesota, and Ober got pounded by the Chicago White Sox for 4 earned runs in just 4 innings pitched and was promptly sent right back to the minors.
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) June 6, 2021
Minnesota has recalled him to start today, and while he has pitched fairly well in triple-A, we all know that triple-A isn’t the majors, and after seeing the Royals light up this Minnesota pitching staff for 18 total runs in the first 2 games of this series, I think Ober gets another nasty taste of medicine today on the road. Right now, the Twins are tied for the 2nd most losses in the league, and with an untested rookie needing to carry the load today against these upstart Royals, it is going to be a long day for Twin’s fans.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Cleveland Indians -118
- St. Louis Cardinals -127
- Kansas City Royals -141
$100 Bet Pays $565
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Under 9.5 Runs (-110)
What if I told you that the New York Yankees were dead last in the American League in runs scored per game this season? I know it might be hard to believe that a team so chalked full of sluggers could be so bad at the plate, but right now, no team in the league has scored fewer runs per game than the Bronx Bombers. When you take that into account and also see that Garrett Richards has been really good on the road, and Domingo German has been great at home, it is hard to understand why this game will have to hit double-digits to go over the total. I don’t fully understand this number, but I don’t have to get it to get paid. I am taking the under.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Under 8.5 Runs (-110)
We already talked about this game a bit above, and we have a sneaky good starting pitching matchup on our hands between John Gant and Wade Miley. Miley is enjoying one of his best seasons ever in what has turned out to be a long and successful career, and the decision to move John Gant back into the Cardinal’s rotation after St. Louis worked him exclusively out of the bullpen the last 2 seasons is looking like a genius move right now, with Gant pitching out of his mind. Some of the advanced metrics might tell you that John Gant has been a little bit “lucky” to post his 1.60 ERA, but until that luck runs out, I can’t do much else than expect him to continue to dominate. The last time these teams played in St. Louis with this identical pitching matchup, the game only saw 2 total runs scored, and I don’t see anything compelling to make me think this game will play out much differently than that one did. The Cardinals win this one 3-2, and we never have to even sweat the under.
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Over 9.5 Runs (-110)
This series has been a slobber knocker, as we have already seen a whopping 39 runs hit the board, and with a couple of weak starters on the mound today, I see more fireworks today in Kansas City. The Royals have been swinging a heavy bat in the last couple of weeks, as they have averaged 7.5 runs per game in their last 8 games. Not surprisingly, they are 6-2 in those games, and against a rookie starter that probably shouldn’t even be in the Big Leagues right now, the Royals could send this game over all by themselves. In game 2 of this 4-game set, KC blasted Twin’s starter Matt Shoemaker for an absurd 9 runs in the 1st inning, and that guy was at least an established Major League level pitcher! It could get ugly today, and this over might already be in the bag before the start of the 5th inning.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Under 9.5 Runs -110
- Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals Under 8.5 Runs -110
- Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Over 9.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Houston Astros (+100) at Toronto Blue Jays
Steven Matz started out this season looking he was going to be an All-Star for Toronto, as through his first 4 starts, he was a perfect 4-0 with a solid 2.31 ERA. But after that hot start, things have gotten tougher for Matz as of late, as the Blue Jays have lost 5 of his last 7 starts, and he has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 6 of his last 8 outings. At home this year, he has an ERA north of 5 runs, and the Astros aren’t a team you want to play when you are going through a rough patch, as they can hit off of anybody, with their powerful lineup that leads the American League in runs scored.
— Houston Astros (@astros) June 6, 2021
You aren’t hearing much about Astros starter Luis Garcia, but the kid has been fantastic for Houston with a 2.89 ERA. The Astros have won each of Garcia’s last 4 starts, and he has been great, working a combined 23 innings and allowing just 5 total earned runs. The Astros haven’t been great on the road, but Toronto hasn’t been very good at home either, so in a game that could go either way, I’ll back the side getting the juice, not laying it. Give me the Houston Astros as road dogs today in the Blue Jays adopted home of Buffalo.
Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants (-104)
Betting on the San Franciso Giants at home has been one of my favorites plays this season. I am not sure even Giant’s fans expected the G-Men to be hanging near the top of the crowded NL West Division standings this late into the season, and the fact that most people keep expecting San Franciso to regress has kept the lines on them very reasonable. We can actually back them as home dogs today, which at this point is basically a blind bet for me. Yeah, the Cubs have been playing well recently, but they are actually pretty terrible on the road, with an 11-16 record away from the Windy City, and Kyle Hendricks has been all over the place for the Cubs and can’t be trusted. Johnny Cueto missed 3 weeks with an injury, and after a rough first outing after coming off of the IL, he has been sharp as of late, allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in 3 of his last 4 starts. San Franciso is 6-2 when Cueto gets the start, and I love being able to bet on the Giants at home, where they are 10 games above .500, and to be able to pick up dog money to do it, shows insane value.
Boston Red Sox (+134) at New York Yankees
Above, we talked about how this is actually a really nice starting pitching matchup. Garret Richards hasn’t been very good at Fenway Park, but everywhere else, this guy has been a rock star, with a 2.59 ERA in 7 road starts. Only the Tampa Bay Rays have more road wins in 2021 in the AL than the Red Sox do, and earlier this week, when we backed Boston as road dogs against the Houston Astros and cashed the ticket, I noted that Boston has been elite in terms of their road winning percentage as underdogs. Boston has a .688 winning percentage as road dogs, 3rd best in the majors, and I can’t resist being able to take them at this price. Throw in the fact that Domingo German, who has been really strong on the road, has an inflated home ERA of 4.68, and Boston is the clear side to be on today in the Bronx.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Houston Astros +100
- San Francisco Giants -104
- Boston Red Sox +134
$100 Bet Pays $918
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Los Angeles Dodgers (-134) at Atlanta Braves
It is super rare that you can back a team as great as the Los Angeles Dodgers, with a starter like Trevor Bauer on the mound, at this type of price. Bauer is the reigning Cy Young Award winner in the NL and has mostly pitched great for LA this season, with a 2.24 ERA. Only Max Scherzer and Zack Wheeler have more K’s in the NL this year than Bauer’s 96 punchouts, and that doesn’t bode well for a Brave’s team that, while having a lot of power, does more than their fair share of swinging and missing. When you compare Bauer to Brave’s starter, Max Fried, Bauer is clearly the better side on the matchup on the mound. I want to preface this by saying I am a huge Max Fried fan, but it is hard to ignore the fact that he is 1-3 with a 5.06 ERA at home this season for Atlanta. The Braves are 1-4 at Truist Park when Fried gets the start, with the lone winning coming against the last place Pittsburgh Pirates. The Dodgers are the best team in the NL, and with their ace getting the nod, I have no choice but to lay a little wood and back the Boys in Blue.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs (-109)
I took the Brewers in game 1 of this series on the run line and won the bet. I followed that up yesterday by taking the Brewers on the run line and again won the bet. In game 3, what do I do? Well, yeah, I am going to take the Brewers on the run line yet again! Prior to this series, I am sure you can count on 1 hand how many times I have taken home teams on the run line this season. But this series has been a prime spot to dust off the home run line play out of my playbook, and we have gotten paid. I have been preaching much of the season that the Arizona Diamondbacks are the worst team in the majors, and I almost feel bad for them today against Brewer’s stud Corbin Burnes. Arizona is a must-fade right now, and on the road, they have more losses than any other team in the game. I smell blowout again in Milwaukee as the DBacks are struggling to even stay competitive right now.
Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers (+110)
This is another series that I have been able to crush on this weekend, as I took the Rangers as home dogs in game 1 and then the Rays as road favorites in game 2 and cashed both tickets. I will again back Texas as home dogs today, with their ace, Dane Dunning getting the start. Dunning has a 2.33 ERA in Arlington this season, and despite the Rangers being an absolute embarrassment away from home, in Texas, they are actually respectable, with a 14-14 record.
Sunday Funday! pic.twitter.com/khZx6u2vbk
— Texas Rangers (@Rangers) June 6, 2021
Michael Wacha has bounced around between the bullpen and the rotation for Tampa Bay this season, and I have always hated that strategy. Starters need to get into a routine to be at their best, and when a guy never knows what to expect, it can really hurt his production. The Rays seem to get away with these types of moves more than any other team, but it is going to burn them today as I see Wacha struggling and Dane Dunning dazzling.
Oakland Athletics at Colorado Rockies (-120)
Similar to the Texas Rangers, the Colorado Rockies are a joke on the road, but at home, they are actually pretty good. Only the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs have more home wins than Colorado does this season, and I like them today as home favorites. Pop quiz, which team has the best record this year as home favorites? The Giants? White Sox? Maybe the Mets? Nope, it’s the Colorado Rockies. Colorado has a steaming hot .818 winning percentage when they are favored at home, and that is a trend that is impossible to deny. German Marquez is one of the few pitchers that doesn’t mind pitching at Coors Field, as he has been solid at home much of the year, and in his last 2 home starts, he has been really great, with a combined 14 innings pitched and giving up just a single earned run, on just 6 hits, while striking out 15.
Seattle Mariners (+138) at Los Angeles Angels
Oh, these poor Seattle Mariners. We backed the M’s yesterday and had to suffer through seeing them blow a big lead and losing yet another player to the IL, as Yusei Kikuchi went down with an injury. And while the Mariners are certainly banged up, this is still a hard to understand line, as the Angels are terrible and should not be laying this kind of wood against just about anybody right now. Logan Gilbert is a prized prospect for Seattle, and he has improved in each of his 4 Big League starts. In his last outing, he was actually pretty good, working 6 innings and allowing just 2 earned runs. Angel’s starter Patrick Sandoval is another one of those guys that has to work both as a starter and out of the bullpen, and I love fading those pitchers, as they can be a mess. Seattle doesn’t have many bodies left on the field at this point, but I enjoy betting against the Angels far too much not to want to fade them as big favorites.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Los Angeles Dodgers -134
- Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs -109
- Texas Rangers +110
- Colorado Rockies -120
- Seattle Mariners +138
$100 Bet Pays $3,067
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!