MLB Parlay Pick – Friday, July 5

New York Yankees Logo and Philadelphia Phillies Logo With Baseball Field Background

The Friday night MLB schedule brings us 13 games to consider for our viewing and handicapping pleasure. There’s plenty of different ways we can go for this evening’s three-game parlay ticket, but the games we’ll be zeroing in on look like the best of the bunch.

First up is a meeting of National League East rivals in New York. The Philadelphia Phillies will spend the weekend on the road for three with the Mets. These two squads have already hooked up 10 times this year with the visitors holding a 7-3 edge.

The second game on our ticket takes us down to Houston for a game between a pair of American League West squads. The Los Angeles Angeles will visit the Astros for the opener of a three-game set. Felix Pena heads to the hill for Los Angeles, while Justin Verlander will be on the mound for the hosts.

The final game we’ll be focusing on is a potential fireworks show in Minnesota. The Texas Rangers hit the road for the first of a three-game weekend series with the Twins. The benchmark for total runs has been set at 10.5 for this meeting of two high-powered offenses.

It shapes up to be a fun night on the diamond, and we have three intriguing contests to look forward to. Let’s take a look at all of them in full detail, starting with the battle in the Big Apple.

*Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets, 7:10 PM EST, SNY

Spread:

  • Philadelphia +1.5 -115
  • NY Mets -1.5 -105
Money line:

  • Philadelphia +174
  • NY Mets -185
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-111)
  • Under 8.5 (-109)

Phillies vs. Mets Pick:

The Phillies spent the early part of the week in Atlanta for a series with the Braves. They took the opener by a score of 2-0 but fell in the final two by a combined 21-8. The Mets were home splitting a quick two-game set with the crosstown rival New York Yankees.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
Philadelphia 45-42 L2 6-4 3-NL East 422 429
NY Mets 39-48 L1 2-8 4-NL East 409 446

Philadelphia closes out a nine-game road trip with this series. They’re 2-4 thus far and check in at 18-25 on the road for the year. The Mets are wrapping up a homestand for which they have gone 2-3 so far. The club is 22-17 in home games this season.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Philadelphia 109 401 .244 .324 .420 29
NY Mets 123 398 .255 .327 .432 19

The two offenses are close overall, but the Mets have the edge when it comes to the long ball. Cesar Hernandez is batting .280 to lead the Phillies. Rhys Hoskins leads with 19 homers, while Bryce Harper is tops with 61 ribbies. For New York, Jeff McNeil is batting .349 to lead the way. Pete Alonso is the team leader with 28 HRs and 64 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Vince Velasquez-R 2-5 51.1 4.73 1.42 10.52 .835
Jacob deGrom-R 2-5 51.1 4.73 1.42 10.52 .835

Velasquez has 19 total appearances on the year with nine starts. For his last outing, he gave up four earned runs over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Miami Marlins. Over his last eight starts, deGrom has shown a good amount of consistency. He has 17 starts under his belt for the year. Last time out, he gave up three earned runs over six innings in a loss to the Braves.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Philadelphia 4.90 23 286.2 .819 1.49 9.26
NY Mets 4.90 23 286.2 .819 1.49 9.26

Neither bullpen is great, but Phillies hurlers are doing a better job in keeping runs off the board. Velazquez has thrown 9.1 innings over his last two outings after a slew of brief appearances. For his last six outings, deGrom has pitched six innings or more.

The Verdict

The Mets are really struggling of late, and the Phillies have won the last five games in a row over their rivals to boot. However, deGrom is simply more reliable than Velazquez and has better stuff. We’ll take the Mets for game one on tonight’s ticket.

The Bet
NEW YORK METS

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros, 8:10 PM EST, ATSW

Money line:

  • LA Angels +1.5 +103
  • Houston -1.5 -123
Money line:

  • LA Angels +205
  • Houston -222
Total Points:

  • Over 9 (-106)
  • Under 9 (-114)

Angels vs. Astros Pick:

The Angels were on the road to begin the week taking two of three over the Rangers, dropping the finale by a score of 9-3. The Astros are riding a five-game winning streak heading into tonight’s game, a span which includes a two-game road sweep over the Colorado Rockies.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
LA Angels 44-44 L1 6-4 4-AL West 442 441
Houston 55-32 W5 7-3 1-AL West 439 352

Los Angeles closes out a six-game road trip with this series heading into the All-Star break. The team is 22-23 in away games for the year. Houston has righted the ship since suffering through a seven-game losing streak in the middle of June. The club returns home tonight where they are a stellar 31-13 for the season to date.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
LA Angels 125 422 .259 .336 .435 18
Houston 137 429 .267 .342 .469 27

The two offenses aren’t that far apart, but the advantage goes to the Astros. Tommy La Stella is batting .300 to lead the Angels. Mike Trout is tops on the team with 25 homers and 62 ribbies. Michael Brantley is the team leader for the Astros with a .310 batting average. Alex Bregman leads the way with 23 HRs and 55 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Felix Pena-R 5-2 70.1 4.73 1.22 9.60 .728
Justin Verlander-R 10-3 119.2 2.86 0.79 11.06 .585

Pena has 16 total appearances and four starts under his belt for the year. For his last outing, he gave up three earned runs over five innings in a no-decision versus the Oakland Athletics. Verlander is in the midst of another solid campaign, but opponents have gotten to him for 17 total earned runs over his last five games. Last time out, he gave up four over five innings in a no-decision versus the Seattle Mariners.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
LA Angels 4.45 20 396.2 .751 1.37 9.55
Houston 3.88 23 287.2 .683 1.19 9.54

The Astros have a Top 10 bullpen. The Angels do not, but Los Angeles arms are seeing lots of work. Pena has lasted four innings or more for his last three games. Verlander has pitched five innings or more for 17 of his 18 starts this season.

The Verdict

The Astros are rolling with a perfect 5-0 mark over their last five games, while the Angels are 2-3 over the same span. Verlander will be on the mound tonight, and Houston is stout at home. We’re going with the Astros for the second game on tonight’s ticket.

The Bet
HOUSTON ASTROS

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins, 8:10 PM EST, FSN

Money line:

  • Texas +1.5 -123
  • Minnesota -1.5 +103
Money line:

  • Texas +158
  • Minnesota -168
Total Points:

  • Over 10 (-122)
  • Under 10 (+102)

Rangers vs. Twins Pick:

The Rangers were home earlier this week losing two of three to the Angels, winning the final contest by a score of 9-3. The Twins were out in Oakland for a three-game set with the Athletics. They took the middle game by a score of 4-3 in 12 innings, but dropped the other two tilts.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
Texas 47-40 W1 6-4 3-AL West 471 438
Minnesota 54-32 L1 4-6 1-AL Central 486 379

After being home to start the week, the Rangers hit the road for three before the break. The team is 18-23 in away games on the year. The Twins return home tonight after a 2-4 road trip. The club is 26-14 in home games this season.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Texas 120 445 .254 .329 .446 19
Minnesota 161 465 .270 .335 .493 25

Minnesota has a clear advantage at the plate, but Texas is far from a slouch in that department. Elvis Andrus is batting .308 to lead the Rangers. Joey Gallo is tops on the team with 20 homers, while Nomar Mazara leads with 49 ribbies. Jorge Polanco leads the Twins with a .313 BA. Max Kepler is the team leader with 21 HRs, while Eddie Rosario is tops with 60 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Adrian Sampson-R 6-5 88.2 4.16 1.36 7.41 .821
Martin Perez-L 7-3 89.0 4.15 1.36 8.29 .673

Sampson has been up and down this year. He has losses in two of his last three games. For his last start, he gave up three earned runs over six innings to take the loss against the Tampa Bay Rays. Perez had a recent stretch in which he gave up four earned runs for three straight starts. He settled down last time with two earned runs over seven innings in a no-decision versus the Rays.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Texas 4.70 21 331.1 .803 1.47 8.42
Minnesota 4.26 25 283.0 .732 1.38 9.22

The advantage goes to the Twins, but the Rangers pen is seeing more innings of work. Sampson has lasted five innings or more for eight of his last nine starts. Perez has pitched five innings or more for his last four outings.

The Verdict

A projected run total of 10.5 suggests the scoreboard could be lit up for this affair. Twins bats have been a bit more productive over the last five games, and they have the edge on starter and bullpen too. We’re rolling with Minnesota for the final game on tonight’s ticket.

The Bet
MINNESOTA TWINS
Chris Feery / author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.