MLB Parlay Pick – Monday, July 15

Los Angeles Dodgers Logo and Philadelphia Phillies Logo With Baseball Field Background

The All-Star break is in the books, and MLB is back in full swing with a packed Friday slate of games. A number of fascinating series get underway this evening, which leaves us with plenty of choices for tonight’s three-game parlay ticket. Here are our selections.

Our first game takes us to Fenway Park for a rematch of the 2018 World Series. The Los Angeles Dodgers will be in Boston for three with the Red Sox. At the midway point of the season, the Dodgers look primed for another deep playoff run while the Red Sox may have to scramble just to get a berth.

The second game on our ticket is a battle of the top two squads in the American League Central. The division-leading Minnesota Twins open up a three-game set in Cleveland with the Indians tonight. The Twins hold a 5.5-game lead as the Indians look to make up some ground over the set.

The final contest we’ll be focusing on takes us out to the West Coast. The National League East leading Atlanta Braves will be in San Diego for the start of a three-game set with the Padres. An interesting pitching matchup is on tap for this one with a veteran hurler squaring off with a young arm.

That’s three interesting tilts to look forward to for a busy night of MLB action. Let’s take a look at all three of our selections in full detail, starting with the battle in Boston.

*Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies, 7:05 PM EST, ESPN

Spread:

  • LA Dodgers -1.5 -117
  • Philadelphia +1.5 -103
Money line:

  • LA Dodgers -171
  • Philadelphia +161
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-108)
  • Under 9.5 (-112)

Dodgers vs. Phillies Pick:

The Dodgers spent the weekend in Boston for a series with the Red Sox. After falling by a score of 8-1 in the opener, they bounced back to win the final two by a combined 18-6. The Phillies were at home losing two of three to the Washington Nationals, picking up a 4-3 victory in the finale.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
LA Dodgers 62-33 W2 6-4 1-NL West 499 365
Philadelphia 48-45 W1 5-5 3-NL East 449 451

Los Angeles closes out a seven-game road swing with this series. For the year, the club checks in with a mark of 25-21 in away games. Philadelphia is wrapping up a seven-game homestand with this set. The team is 28-19 at home on the season.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
LA Dodgers 152 484 .262 .342 .465 23
Philadelphia 118 428 .246 .324 .422 20

The Dodgers get the edge on offense, but the bats on both sides have produced similar results over the last five games. Cody Bellinger leads the way for Los Angeles with a .334 BA, 31 homers, and 73 RBIs. Max Muncy has contributed 23 HRs and 62 ribbies. Cesar Hernandez is batting .287 to lead the Phillies. Rhys Hoskins is tops with 20 homers, while Bryce Harper leads with 62 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Clayton Kershaw-L 7-2 99.0 3.09 1.05 8.27 .666
Zach Elfin-R 7-8 100.0 3.78 1.30 7.47 .769

Kershaw has been great this year, but he has given up four earned runs in two of his last three starts. Last time out, he gave up one over seven innings with nine strikeouts in a no-decision versus the San Diego Padres. Elfin has been roughed up for six earned runs in two of his last three outings. For his last appearance, it was six over three innings in a loss to the Braves.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
LA Dodgers 4.05 27 293.2 .686 1.18 9.19
Philadelphia 4.74 23 307.2 .802 1.46 9.07

The Dodgers have the overall advantage here, most notably on OPS allowed. Kershaw has lasted seven innings for five of his last seven starts. Elfin has pitched five innings or more for five of his last six appearances, leaving early last time out.

The Verdict

Both clubs have matching records of 2-3 over their last five games, but the Dodgers have won their last two while putting 18 runs on the board. Kershaw was stellar last time out, while Elfin was not. Add in the bullpen advantage, and we like Los Angeles for the first game on our ticket.

The Bet
LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 8:10 PM EST, FSWI

Money line:

  • Atlanta -1.5 +146
  • Milwaukee +1.5 -166
Money line:

  • Atlanta -102
  • Milwaukee -108
Total Points:

  • Over 10 (-110)
  • Under 10 (-110)

Braves vs. Brewers Pick:

The Braves were in San Diego this weekend sweeping three over the Padres. Atlanta won all three by a combined score of 16-9. The Brewers were at home losing two of three to the San Francisco Giants. They picked up a 5-4 win in the middle game but lost the other two by a combined 18-10.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
Atlanta 57-37 W4 7-3 1-NL East 507 441
Milwaukee 48-46 L1 3-7 2-NL Central 447 471

Atlanta closes out a six-game road swing with this set. The team is a solid 29-18 in away games on the season. Milwaukee wraps up a six-game homestand with this series. For the year, the team is 28-20 on the home field.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Atlanta 149 490 .262 .336 .462 24
Milwaukee 157 435 .248 .327 .446 22

The Brewers have a slight edge on the long ball, but the Braves have the advantage everywhere else. Freddie Freeman leads the way for Atlanta with a .302 BA, 24 homers, and 71 RBIs. Ronald Acuna Jr. has chipped in with 23 HRs and 55 ribbies. Christian Yelich leads Milwaukee with a .330 BA, 32 dongs, and 68 RBIs. Mike Moustakas has added in 25 homers and 54 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Max Fried-L 9-4 98.2 4.29 1.41 8.85 .773
Adrian Houser-R 2-3 42.2 4.01 1.45 9.91 .796

Over his last 10 appearances, Fried has allowed four earned runs or more three times. Last time out, he gave up five over five innings in a loss to the Miami Marlins. Houser has made 19 total appearances this year with five starts. For his last outing, he gave up five earned runs over four innings in a loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Atlanta 3.68 28 347.0 .733 1.38 9.49
Milwaukee 4.61 26 381.0 .716 1.32 9.97

The Braves have the statistical advantage in the bullpen, but Brewers hurlers have seen more innings of work. Fried has pitched five innings or more for his last four outings in a row. Houser has lasted nine innings combined over his last two games with several short stints prior to that.

The Verdict

Atlanta enters this game smoking and riding a four-game winning streak. These two clubs hooked up for three in Atlanta earlier this year with the Braves taking two of them. For tonight, we’re not sure Houser is the one to cool Atlanta off. We’ll take the Braves for game two on our ticket.

The Bet
ATLANTA BRAVES

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels, 10:07 PM EST, MLBN

Money line:

  • Houston -1.5 +126
  • LA Angels +1.5 -146
Money line:

  • Houston -117
  • LA Angels +107
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-115)
  • Under 9.5 (-105)

Astros vs. Angels Pick:

The Astros were on the road for a four-game set with the Texas Rangers over the weekend. They dropped the first two games in the set but roared back to win the final two by a combined score of 19-10. The Angels were home sweeping three over the Seattle Mariners by a combined score of 28-5.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
Houston 59-35 W2 7-3 1-AL West 485 391
LA Angels 48-46 W3 6-4 4-AL West 485 465

This series will bring an end to an eight-game road trip for the Astros. On the year, the club is 26-21 in away games. The Angels close out a seven-game homestand with this set. For the season, the team is 25-21 on the home field.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Houston 149 474 .269 .345 .472 38
LA Angels 139 463 .261 .338 .444 38

Houston has the overall advantage at the plate, but both clubs have had hot bats recently. Michael Brantley is batting .324 to lead the Astros. Alex Bregman is tops on the team with 24 homers and 58 RBIs. Trout tops the Angels with a .305 BA, 30 HRs, and 75 ribbies, but we’ll have to wait and see if he can go for this series. Kole Calhoun has 21 dongs and 49 RBIs thus far.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Josh James-R 4-0 47.2 4.91 1.32 14.35 .671
Griffin Canning-R 3-5 65.0 4.43 1.09 9.55 .742

James has 35 total appearances this year, but this will be his first start. He has held opponents off the scoreboard in seven of his last 10 outings. Canning has 12 starts under his belt this season, but the last one didn’t go along swimmingly. He gave up six earned runs over 3.1 innings pitched to take the loss versus the Rangers.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Houston 3.89 24 316.2 .687 1.21 9.72
LA Angels 4.45 22 428.2 .751 1.37 9.57

Houston has the clear advantage here, but Los Angeles arms have seen more work this season. Since James has been coming out of the bullpen, it’s tough to anticipate what to expect this evening. Canning has lasted five innings or more in eight of his last 10 games.

The Verdict

The bats on both sides have been lively of late, and the projected run total of 10 suggests we could see some fireworks in Los Angeles tonight. The starting pitching matchup looks like a toss-up, but Houston will have the edge when the relievers get involved. We’re rolling with the Astros for our final game.

The Bet
HOUSTON ASTROS
Chris Feery / author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.