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MLB Parlay Pick – Thursday, May 16

MLB Parlay Pick May 16th - Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

It’s getaway day in MLB, and that means we have a condensed evening slate to contend with due to a number of afternoon tilts on the docket. There are just six games on tonight’s schedule. We have already done the heavy lifting and split the schedule in half to find the three best games for this evening’s parlay ticket.

The first contest on our ticket is the last of a three-game set between the visiting Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds. The teams have split the first two, and there’s an interesting pitching matchup set for this evening’s rubber game.

Next up, the Toronto Blue Jays head to Chicago for the start of a four-game weekend series with the White Sox These two clubs squared off last weekend in Toronto with the White Sox winning the last two after dropping the opener on Friday.

The final game on our ticket takes place in Seattle as the Mariners play host to the Minnesota Twins for the first of four. These are two of the more productive offenses in all of MLB, and both clubs enter tonight’s tilt riding two-game winning streaks.

Must Read

While there’s only a handful of games tonight, it should still be an entertaining evening of baseball action. Let’s break down all three of our selected contests in full detail, starting with the game in Cincinnati.

*Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds, 6:40 PM EST, MLBN

Spread:

  • Chi. Cubs +1.5 (-170)
  • Cincinnati -1.5 (+150)

Money line:

  • Chi. Cubs +128
  • Cincinnati -138

Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-111)
  • Under 8.5 (-109)

Cubs vs. Reds Pick:

This series opened up on Tuesday with the Cubs picking up a 3-1 win behind a strong showing from starter Kyle Hendricks, who struck out seven batters over eight frames. In last night’s game, extra innings were needed to decide things. An RBI single from Yasiel Puig in the 10th brought the night to a close and gave the Reds a 6-5 victory.

The Matchup

Record Streak L10 Standings RS RA
Chi. Cubs 25-15 L1 7-3 1-NL Central 214 159
Cincinnati 19-24 W1 5-5 5-NL Central 178 149

Prior to the series with the Reds, the Cubs took two of three at home over the Milwaukee Brewers. On the road this year, Chicago checks in with a record of 10-9. The Reds have a matching record of 10-9 at home for the season. The team visited the San Francisco Giants last weekend, winning the first two but falling in the finale by a score of 6-5.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Chi. Cubs 61 207 .255 .346 .448 14
Cincinnati 62 175 .216 .291 .392 24

The teams are right in line when it comes to the long ball, but that’s where the similarities end. Javier Baez tops the team with a .322 BA and 11 HRs. He’s tied with Anthony Rizzo at 29 RBIs for the team lead. Jose Iglesias is batting .295 to lead the Reds. Eugenio Suarez is the team leader with 13 homers and 29 ribbies.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Jose Quintana-L 4-2 46.1 3.50 1.25 8.94 .703
Luis Castillo-R 4-1 56.1 1.76 0.99 11.18 .503

Outside of being rocked for eight runs in his second start of the year, Quintana has been steady and consistent with three earned runs or less allowed in all other appearances. Last time out, he took the loss versus the Brewers after giving up three earned runs. Castillo is off to an excellent start to the season. In his last outing, he got the win over the Giants with six scoreless innings.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Chi. Cubs 3.92 8 137.2 .709 1.41 9.68
Cincinnati 3.23 11 150.2 .685 1.24 9.50

Despite being in last place in the NL Central, the Reds bullpen has been a bright spot for the team. Cubs relievers are solid on an overall basis, but the advantage goes to Cincinnati once the starters leave the game.

The Verdict

While Quintana is off to a solid start to the year, Castillo is off to a great one. That should be enough to make the difference for tonight’s game. We’re going with the Reds to get the win for the first game on our parlay ticket.

The Bet
CINCINNATI REDS

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox, 8:10 PM EST, NBCSCHI+

Spread:

  • Toronto -1.5 (+129)
  • Chi. Sox +1.5 (-149)

Money line:

  • Toronto -124
  • Chi. Sox +114

Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-108)
  • Under 9.5 (-112)

Blue Jays vs. White Sox Pick:

Both clubs opened up this week with brief two-game series. For the Blue Jays, it was a pair in San Francisco versus the Giants. After taking the first game by a score of 7-3, Toronto fell in a 4-3 decision on Wednesday. The White Sox were home for two with the Cleveland Indians. They picked up a 5-2 win on Tuesday, but followed that up with a 9-0 loss in the second game.

The Matchup

Record Streak L10 Standings RS RA
Toronto 17-25 L1 2-8 4-AL East 151 182
Chi. Sox 19-22 L1 5-5 3-AL Central 187 218

These two clubs hooked up for three last weekend in Toronto. The Blue Jays took the opener by a score of 4-3 on Friday, but it was all White Sox on Saturday and Sunday. Chicago won the final two games by a combined score of 12-3. Toronto is 9-12 in road games this year. For the White Sox, the record in home games stands at 9-11.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Toronto 40 142 .219 .286 .360 17
Chi. Sox 52 181 .254 .318 .416 20

As the above numbers demonstrate, the Blue Jays offense has been rather anemic. Freddy Galvis is batting .290 to lead the team, while Randal Grichuk is tops with seven homers. Justin Smoak has the team lead with 20 RBIs. For the White Sox, Tim Anderson is batting .320 to lead the way. Jose Abreu is tops with 10 HRs and 36 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Marcus Stroman-R 1-6 52.0 3.12 1.29 7.79 .664
Dylan Covey-R 0-2 10.2 5.91 1.88 4.22 .831

Stroman’s overall numbers are good, but he has been tagged for 12 earned runs over his last three starts. In three of his six losses, he did his part by holding opponents to three earned runs or less. Covey has only appeared in four games this year and started two of them. Last time out, he gave up four earned runs over 4.2 innings to the Blue Jays.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Toronto 3.32 10 165.1 .649 1.14 9.69
Chi. Sox 4.02 9 143.1 .727 1.41 8.98

Toronto has the statistical edge here, and they’ve done that with more innings of work to boot. That said, the team is struggling with a mark of just 2-8 over its last 10, so it’s tough to assume that the party is over once the relievers get involved.

The Verdict

While Stroman hasn’t had his best stuff over his last few starts, he’s still a more proven commodity than Covey. We like the Blue Jays to get this series started with a victory for the second game on this evening’s parlay ticket.

The Bet
TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners, 10:10 PM EST, MLBN

Spread:

  • Minnesota -1.5 (+137)
  • Seattle +1.5 (-157)

Money Line:

  • Minnesota -109
  • Seattle -101

Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-124)
  • Under 9.5 (+104)

Twins vs. Mariners Pick:

The Twins hit the road tonight after a seven-game home stretch for which they went 4-3. The club just took two of three over the visiting Los Angeles Angels, including an 8-7 win in the finale on Wednesday. Seattle returned home earlier this week after a dreadful road trip in which they went 2-8. The team wrapped up a two-game home sweep of the Oakland A’s with a 4-3 victory on Tuesday.

The Matchup

Record Streak L10 Standings RS RA
Minnesota 27-15 W2 7-3 1-AL Central 222 170
Seattle 22-23 W2 4-6 2-AL West 240 252

Minnesota spent last weekend at home splitting four games with the Detroit Tigers. On the road for the year, the team stands at 12-7. Seattle burst out of the gates this year with a record of 13-2, but they have fallen back to earth since that point. They were in Boston last weekend, losing three straight to the Red Sox. At home on the season, the club checks in at 9-11.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Minnesota 76 213 .262 .331 .495 27
Seattle 83 236 .242 .322 .462 18

Both squads have little trouble sending the ball out of the yard on a regular basis. Dee Gordon leads the Mariners with a .304 BA. Edwin Encarnacion and Jay Bruce are tied for the team lead with 12 homers each. For the Twins, Jorge Polanco leads with a .334 BA. Eddie Rosario is tops on the team with 13 HRs and 34 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Michael Pineda-R 2-3 40.0 5.85 1.45 7.88 .895
Erik Swanson-R 1-4 28.1 6.35 1.27 6.67 .790

Pineda has started eight games this year and been rather hit-or-miss. In five of his starts, he has allowed three earned runs or less. He had a rough stretch at the end of April in which he was tagged for 15 earned runs over three starts. Swanson has been rocked in two of his last three games. Last weekend, he gave up seven earned runs over 4.2 innings in a loss to the Red Sox.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Minnesota 4.16 13 129.2 .719 1.44 9.44
Seattle 5.33 13 155.1 .809 1.60 10.02

While the Twins bullpen hasn’t been great this year on a statistical basis, it’s still better than what the Mariners have to offer. A 5.33 combined ERA for the Seattle pen helps to explain why the team wasn’t able to sustain its red-hot start to the year.

The Verdict

A projected run total of 9.5 suggests we could be in for some fireworks in Seattle this evening. Both offenses have been productive through the early part of the year, and neither will be exactly facing a shutdown pitcher.

Pineda is a proven commodity who has returned to form after a rough patch, while Swanson has had a rough time in two of his last three. We like the visitors to get the win for the final game on tonight’s ticket.

The Bet
MINNESOTA TWINS
Author Details
Chris Feery

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.