It’s getaway day in MLB, and that means we have a condensed evening slate to contend with due to a number of afternoon tilts on the docket. There are just six games on tonight’s schedule. We have already done the heavy lifting and split the schedule in half to find the three best games for this evening’s parlay ticket.
The first contest on our ticket is the last of a three-game set between the visiting Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds. The teams have split the first two, and there’s an interesting pitching matchup set for this evening’s rubber game.
Next up, the Toronto Blue Jays head to Chicago for the start of a four-game weekend series with the White Sox These two clubs squared off last weekend in Toronto with the White Sox winning the last two after dropping the opener on Friday.
The final game on our ticket takes place in Seattle as the Mariners play host to the Minnesota Twins for the first of four. These are two of the more productive offenses in all of MLB, and both clubs enter tonight’s tilt riding two-game winning streaks.
While there’s only a handful of games tonight, it should still be an entertaining evening of baseball action. Let’s break down all three of our selected contests in full detail, starting with the game in Cincinnati.
*Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds, 6:40 PM EST, MLBN
Cubs vs. Reds Pick:
This series opened up on Tuesday with the Cubs picking up a 3-1 win behind a strong showing from starter Kyle Hendricks, who struck out seven batters over eight frames. In last night’s game, extra innings were needed to decide things. An RBI single from Yasiel Puig in the 10th brought the night to a close and gave the Reds a 6-5 victory.
|Chi. Cubs||25-15||L1||7-3||1-NL Central||214||159|
Prior to the series with the Reds, the Cubs took two of three at home over the Milwaukee Brewers. On the road this year, Chicago checks in with a record of 10-9. The Reds have a matching record of 10-9 at home for the season. The team visited the San Francisco Giants last weekend, winning the first two but falling in the finale by a score of 6-5.
The teams are right in line when it comes to the long ball, but that’s where the similarities end. Javier Baez tops the team with a .322 BA and 11 HRs. He’s tied with Anthony Rizzo at 29 RBIs for the team lead. Jose Iglesias is batting .295 to lead the Reds. Eugenio Suarez is the team leader with 13 homers and 29 ribbies.
Outside of being rocked for eight runs in his second start of the year, Quintana has been steady and consistent with three earned runs or less allowed in all other appearances. Last time out, he took the loss versus the Brewers after giving up three earned runs. Castillo is off to an excellent start to the season. In his last outing, he got the win over the Giants with six scoreless innings.
Despite being in last place in the NL Central, the Reds bullpen has been a bright spot for the team. Cubs relievers are solid on an overall basis, but the advantage goes to Cincinnati once the starters leave the game.
While Quintana is off to a solid start to the year, Castillo is off to a great one. That should be enough to make the difference for tonight’s game. We’re going with the Reds to get the win for the first game on our parlay ticket.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox, 8:10 PM EST, NBCSCHI+
Blue Jays vs. White Sox Pick:
Both clubs opened up this week with brief two-game series. For the Blue Jays, it was a pair in San Francisco versus the Giants. After taking the first game by a score of 7-3, Toronto fell in a 4-3 decision on Wednesday. The White Sox were home for two with the Cleveland Indians. They picked up a 5-2 win on Tuesday, but followed that up with a 9-0 loss in the second game.
|Chi. Sox||19-22||L1||5-5||3-AL Central||187||218|
These two clubs hooked up for three last weekend in Toronto. The Blue Jays took the opener by a score of 4-3 on Friday, but it was all White Sox on Saturday and Sunday. Chicago won the final two games by a combined score of 12-3. Toronto is 9-12 in road games this year. For the White Sox, the record in home games stands at 9-11.
As the above numbers demonstrate, the Blue Jays offense has been rather anemic. Freddy Galvis is batting .290 to lead the team, while Randal Grichuk is tops with seven homers. Justin Smoak has the team lead with 20 RBIs. For the White Sox, Tim Anderson is batting .320 to lead the way. Jose Abreu is tops with 10 HRs and 36 RBIs.
Stroman’s overall numbers are good, but he has been tagged for 12 earned runs over his last three starts. In three of his six losses, he did his part by holding opponents to three earned runs or less. Covey has only appeared in four games this year and started two of them. Last time out, he gave up four earned runs over 4.2 innings to the Blue Jays.
Toronto has the statistical edge here, and they’ve done that with more innings of work to boot. That said, the team is struggling with a mark of just 2-8 over its last 10, so it’s tough to assume that the party is over once the relievers get involved.
While Stroman hasn’t had his best stuff over his last few starts, he’s still a more proven commodity than Covey. We like the Blue Jays to get this series started with a victory for the second game on this evening’s parlay ticket.
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners, 10:10 PM EST, MLBN
Twins vs. Mariners Pick:
The Twins hit the road tonight after a seven-game home stretch for which they went 4-3. The club just took two of three over the visiting Los Angeles Angels, including an 8-7 win in the finale on Wednesday. Seattle returned home earlier this week after a dreadful road trip in which they went 2-8. The team wrapped up a two-game home sweep of the Oakland A’s with a 4-3 victory on Tuesday.
Minnesota spent last weekend at home splitting four games with the Detroit Tigers. On the road for the year, the team stands at 12-7. Seattle burst out of the gates this year with a record of 13-2, but they have fallen back to earth since that point. They were in Boston last weekend, losing three straight to the Red Sox. At home on the season, the club checks in at 9-11.
Both squads have little trouble sending the ball out of the yard on a regular basis. Dee Gordon leads the Mariners with a .304 BA. Edwin Encarnacion and Jay Bruce are tied for the team lead with 12 homers each. For the Twins, Jorge Polanco leads with a .334 BA. Eddie Rosario is tops on the team with 13 HRs and 34 RBIs.
Pineda has started eight games this year and been rather hit-or-miss. In five of his starts, he has allowed three earned runs or less. He had a rough stretch at the end of April in which he was tagged for 15 earned runs over three starts. Swanson has been rocked in two of his last three games. Last weekend, he gave up seven earned runs over 4.2 innings in a loss to the Red Sox.
While the Twins bullpen hasn’t been great this year on a statistical basis, it’s still better than what the Mariners have to offer. A 5.33 combined ERA for the Seattle pen helps to explain why the team wasn’t able to sustain its red-hot start to the year.
A projected run total of 9.5 suggests we could be in for some fireworks in Seattle this evening. Both offenses have been productive through the early part of the year, and neither will be exactly facing a shutdown pitcher.
Pineda is a proven commodity who has returned to form after a rough patch, while Swanson has had a rough time in two of his last three. We like the visitors to get the win for the final game on tonight’s ticket.