MLB Parlay Pick – Wednesday, July 3

Chicago Cubs Logo And Pittsburgh Pirates Logo With Baseball Field Background

Wednesday brings us another full docket of MLB games to consider for our handicapping and viewing pleasure. So many choices can seem overwhelming on a weeknight, but we have done the heavy lifting to find the best games of the bunch. Here are our choices for tonight’s three-game parlay ticket.

For our first game, we’ll head out to Pittsburgh for the third of three between the visiting Chicago Cubs and the Pirates. The hosts have dominated the first two games of the series as the bats have come to life, while the visitors continue to struggle with just one victory in their last five games.

Next up is the finale of a quick two-game set for National League West squads out in Los Angeles. The Dodgers will welcome the Diamondbacks to town once again tonight. All-Star Walker Buehler heads to the hill for Los Angeles, while Arizona will respond by sending Merrill Kelly to the mound.

The final game on tonight’s ticket is an interleague battle out in Seattle. The Mariners will welcome the St. Louis Cardinals for the second of a three-game set. The hosts got the victory in last night’s opener to snap a four-game skid, while the Cardinals have just one win over their last five as well.

Another busy night on the diamond leaves us with plenty of games to consider, but we’re quite pleased with our selections. Let’s take a look at all three contests in full detail, starting with the NL Central battle in Pittsburgh.

*Betting odds provided by: Sportsbetting.ag

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, 7:05 PM EST, ATPT

Spread:

  • Cubs -1.5 +117
  • Pittsburgh +1.5 -137
Money line:

  • Cubs -132
  • Pittsburgh +122
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-120)
  • Under 9.5 (+100)

Cubs vs. Pirates Pick:

This series opened up on Monday with a huge 18-5 win for the Pirates. Josh Bell was among the offensive heroes with a three-homer night. Yesterday, Pittsburgh picked up a 5-1 win behind a three-run, three-RBI game from Adam Frazier.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
Cubs 45-41 L3 4-6 2-NL Central 432 385
Pittsburgh 41-43 W2 7-3 4-NL Central 399 438

Chicago is in the midst of a nine-game road trip for which they have gone 1-4 thus far. The club is 16-25 in away games for the year. Pittsburgh is on a seven-game homestand heading into next week’s All-Star break. The team is 19-19 in home games on the season.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Cubs 132 415 .253 .335 .447 21
Pittsburgh 91 392 .268 .325 .432 28

The Cubs have the overall offensive edge, but the Pirates have outscored them 23-6 in this series through two games. Kris Bryant is batting .285 to lead Chicago. Javier Baez is tops on the team with 21 homers and 57 RBIs. Josh Bell leads the way for Pittsburgh with a .306 BA, 25 HRs, and 78 ribbies. Starling Marte has added in 12 HRs and 41 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Yu Darvish-R 2-4 90.1 4.98 1.36 10.46 .752
Chris Archer-R 3-6 73.2 5.50 1.47 9.77 .836

Darvish has started 17 games this year and has a plethora of no-decisions under his belt. Last time out, he gave up five earned runs over five innings in a loss to the Atlanta Braves. Archer has started 14 games and has no-decisions for his last three outings. In his last appearance, he gave up two earned runs over four innings versus the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Cubs 4.26 19 285.1 .743 1.40 8.89
Pittsburgh 4.86 21 322.0 .781 1.47 9.81

Chicago has the overall statistical advantage when the relievers take over tonight’s game. Darvish has pitched nine innings or more for each of his last nine starts. Archer had lasted five innings or more for seven straight starts before leaving early last time out.

The Verdict

This hasn’t been much of a series at all so far as the Pirates have won both games with ease. The Cubs bats will wake up before too long, and that could happen as soon as tonight. We like Chicago for the first game on tonight’s parlay ticket.

The Bet
CHICAGO CUBS

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 PM EST, SPSN

Money line:

  • Arizona +1.5 -103
  • LA Dodgers -1.5 -117
Money line:

  • Arizona +216
  • LA Dodgers -235
Total Points:

  • Over 8 (-109)
  • Under 8 (-111)

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Pick:

Tuesday’s series opener was knotted up at 4-4 as the Dodgers came up to bat in the 9th inning. Five straight walks later, the hosts were victorious by a score of 5-4. Arizona checks in at 3-2 over its last five games, while Los Angeles is 3-2 over the same span.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
Arizona 43-44 L2 5-5 3-NL West 443 401
LA Dodgers 58-29 W2 6-4 1-NL West 464 335

Arizona closes out a six-game road trip with tonight’s game. They’re 2-3 so far and stand at 26-22 in away games on the year. Los Angeles opened up a six-game homestand with the victory on Tuesday. The club is 35-9 in home games for the season.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Arizona 123 423 .258 .322 .446 20
LA Dodgers 140 452 .266 .347 .472 39

The Dodgers have the overall advantage at the plate, as well as the hotter bats over the last five games. Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with a .309 BA and 20 homers. Eduardo Escobar is tops with 64 RBIs. Cody Bellinger leads the way for Los Angeles with a .346 BA, 27 HRs, and 67 ribbies. Max Muncy and Joc Pederson have both chipped in with 20 dongs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Merrill Kelly-R 7-8 99.0 4.00 1.27 7.18 .742
Walker Buehler-R 8-1 97.0 3.43 0.97 9.65 .611

Kelly has been decent overall this season, but he has losses in two of his last three games. Last time out, he gave up three earned runs over five innings to take the defeat versus the San Francisco Giants. Buehler has been great this year, but he was roughed up last time out. He surrendered seven earned runs over 5.2 innings in a no-decision on the road at the Colorado Rockies.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Arizona 4.44 18 316.1 .746 1.35 8.42
LA Dodgers 4.09 26 268.1 .690 1.21 8.89

The advantage goes to Los Angeles here, but Arizona hurlers have seen more action. Kelly has pitched five innings or more for his last seven outings. Prior to his last start, Buehler had gone seven innings or more for four straight games.

The Verdict

The Dodgers bring a two-game winning streak into a game for which they are big favorites. While Buehler was pounded last time out, that game was contested in run-happy Coors Field. We’ll take Los Angeles for game two on tonight’s ticket.

The Bet
LOS ANGELES DODGERS

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Seattle Mariners, 10:10 PM EST, MLBN

Money line:

  • St. Louis -1.5 +126
  • Seattle +1.5 -146
Money line:

  • St. Louis -118
  • Seattle +108
Total Points:

  • Over 9 (-118)
  • Under 9 (+108)

Cardinals vs. Mariners Pick:

At the end of seven innings in last night’s game, it was all tied up at 4-4. A Tim Beckham pinch-hit homer in the 8th took care of that as the Mariners walked away with a 5-4 win. Both clubs enter tonight’s game with records of 1-4 over their last five games.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
St. Louis 41-42 L1 3-7 3-NL Central 370 372
Seattle 38-51 W1 5-5 5-AL West 461 525

St. Louis is on a nine-game road trip for which they have gone 1-3 thus far. The team is 17-24 in away games this season. Seattle opened up a six-game homestand with Tuesday’s win. The club is 18-25 on the home field so far this year.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
St. Louis 100 346 .242 .320 .398 12
Seattle 152 448 .244 .326 .449 14

The Mariners have the overall statistical advantage, but both offenses have been rather quiet of late. Yadier Molina is batting .261 to lead the way for the Cardinals. Marcell Ozuna is tops on the team with 20 homers and 62 RBIs. For Seattle, Domingo Santana leads with a .279 BA and 63 ribbies. Daniel Vogelbach has 20 HRs on the year.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Adam Wainwright-R 5-7 82.2 4.35 1.38 8.27 .789
Mike Leake-R 7-7 107.0 4.63 1.28 6.39 .820

Wainwright has been serviceable this season, but he has taken the loss in two of his last three appearances. Last time out, he gave up two earned runs over 6.2 innings in a loss to the Oakland Athletics. Leake has also been decent this year and checks in with wins in four of his last six starts. For his last game, he gave up four earned runs over six innings in a loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
St. Louis 3.99 23 289.0 .668 1.17 10.21
Seattle 4.92 20 356.2 .775 1.46 8.88

The clear advantage goes to St. Louis, but the Seattle pen has seen more innings of work. Wainwright has lasted five innings or more for eight of his last 10 starts. Leake has pitched five innings or more for all 17 of his starts this season.

The Verdict

Over the last 10 games, the Cardinals are just 3-7. The Mariners are 5-5 over that span. The pitching matchup is close to a coin flip, but St. Louis has the bullpen advantage. Both squads have scored 11 runs over their last three games. We’re rolling with the Mariners in a toss-up for the final game on our ticket.

The Bet
SEATTLE MARINERS
Chris Feery / author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.