My stroll through the MLB series picks scene has been admittedly bumpy. Going into my last week I sported a shaky 4-6-1 record on the year.
I was already trending in the right direction after going 2-1 a few weeks ago and after a strong showing my last time out I thought for a second I may be entering a hot streak.
Things didn’t unfold quite like that, as I backed some nice values and a few of them just did not bother to show up.
Here’s a look at the teams I vouched for the last time I handed out MLB series picks and how things shook out:
- Phillies Over Nats (+105) – L
- Jays Over Orioles (-155) – L
- Diamondbacks Over Giants (-130) – L
- Brewers Over Reds (-180) – W
- Rays Over Braves – P
The Phillies looked like a nice home dog to back, but lost two tight games against the Nats before snagging a win in a shootout to cap the series.
I don’t know what got into the Orioles, but they kept the bad luck rolling by trouncing Toronto. I know they were at home in a dangerous park, but of all the picks here, that was probably the most troubling for me.
Arizona simply did not show up in a big series with the Giants. Like the Phillies, they did wind up stealing the third game of their series in San Francisco, but they lost a combined 3-0 in the first two games of the series.
Milwaukee is the first team on this list I can happily say avoid the dreaded L. The Brewers dropped the first game of their series with the Reds, but bounced back to get two straight extra innings victories.
Tampa Bay looked like a fun try against the Braves, but the two split a short series and provided a push.
Overall, it was not a winning run, but I was very close to getting two of these losses to go my way. That being said, it’s onward and upward as I march into a new week trying to add to a 5-9-2 record:
St. Louis Cardinals (+170) Over Los Angeles Dodgers (-195)
This is a really fun MLB series to target, as most will look at the Dodgers and see a steal of a price. That might be true, especially since L.A. is still fighting or the top of the NL West.
Los Angeles will also push ace Clayton Kershaw onto the mound at Busch Stadium on Thursday night, while they probably have the pitching edge going into this four-game weekend series against the St. Louis Cardinals.
True, but the Dodgers are still playing in a pitcher-friendly park and are going up against a Cards offense that can explode at home. The Cardinals are a respectable 39-32 in their home park and are knee-deep in their own divisional race, presently just 3.5 games out of first in the NL Central.
The clock is ticking for both of these teams, but I tend to chase underdog money when it’s the home team and they have something to play for. The Cardinals at +170 is the real steal in this spot.
Minnesota Twins (-125) Over Kansas City Royals (+105)
I’ll back the favorite in this AL Central duel between the Twins and Royals. Minnesota gets a sharp park downgrade and are just 24-47 on the road in 2018, but they’re facing a truly awful Royals team.
Kansas City has made a lot of changes to their lineup over the course of the year, sacrificing efficiency for added power. It still hasn’t consistently translated and when you look at the pitching matchups for this weekend series, the Twins hold the slight edge.
More than anything, Minnesota simply has more talent to lean on.
Trusting either team is normally bad practice, but the 49-96 Royals are pushing for 100+ losses this year and I think the rival Twins help get them there.
Seattle Mariners (+135) Over Los Angeles Angels (-155)
The last MLB series I’ll look at goes down in Anaheim, where Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels hops to finish an up and down season on a high note.
I’m not really a believer in that happening, though, since the Halos have been pretty erratic even with him in the lineup and they’re facing a superior M’s squad.
Seattle still has something to play for, as they have an ever so mild chance of getting into a wild card game. I don’t think they pull it off, but at a cool +135 price, I’ll take the bait and hope they can mow down their divisional foes.
I’m just riding three MLB series picks going into the weekend, as there simply isn’t a ton to love beyond these options and the top MLB betting sites have also been slow to push out series pricing.
Backing the Twins is a bit dicey, but they’re facing a terrible Royals team and should win. The Mariners and Cards both offer elite betting value, too, hopefully rounding out a 3-0 run for the week.
Whether you’re with me or not with these picks, I wish you luck for the rest of the week. Enjoy the games!