NCAA Football Conference Championship Weekend Top Betting Trends

NCAA Football Conference Championship Weekend Top Betting Trends

Conference Championship Weekend begins on Friday night in Las Vegas. The Oregon Ducks and Utah Utes will open the Championship Weekend card with the Pac-12 Championship. It’s one of five Power Five conference championships on the weekend.

The one that isn’t going to get the most attention is the Pittsburgh Panthers and Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Having said that, it should be a fun game between two offenses that can move the ball in a hurry.

A Group of Five championship with the AAC Championship is going to see more attention than the ACC Championship. There are College Football Playoff implications in the AAC Championship.

If Cincinnati beats Houston, they finish the year with a perfect record and most likely going to the College Football Playoff. Lose to Houston and things are going to get extremely interesting.

There could be a lot of mayhem to be had this weekend if things don’t play out as people expect with the final scores. Consider Iowa beating Michigan, and Houston beating Cincinnati.

Oklahoma State and Notre Dame would have to be considered. If Alabama beats Georgia in the SEC Championship, then they could both go to the playoff in a possible rematch. The Crimson Tide are bounced if they lose on Saturday.

Head below for betting trends for the top games on Conference Championship Weekend.

Oregon Ducks (No. 10) vs. Utah Utes (No. 17)

Date and Time: December 3, 8:00 p.m. EST

Odds Courtesy of BetOnline

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Oregon Ducks +3 (-118) +115 Over 58 (-115)
Utah Utes -3 (-102) -135 Under 58 (-110)

The Oregon Ducks and Utah Utes meet in a rematch from two weeks ago in Salt Lake City. Utah brought it to the Ducks for a 38-7 win at home. That’s a tough place to play in Utah. They won’t have the luxury of Rice-Eccles Stadium in Las Vegas.

In any event, Utah is playing their best football of the season after a slow start. If Utah can bring that same intensity to Allegiant Stadium, then they might have a case against Oregon.

The Utes had a tune-up win over the Colorado Buffaloes last week by a score of 28-14 to finish the regular season at 9-3. They aren’t playing for a spot in the College Football Playoff, but the Rose Bowl is a big consolation prize.

Oregon is out of the picture as well after a loss against Stanford and Utah. The 31-24 defeat versus a bad Stanford team in overtime on October 2 is coming back to bite them. Following their loss versus Utah, they responded with an easy win over rival Oregon State.

Oregon Ducks vs. Utah Utes Betting Trends:

Oregon

  • 4-2 ATS in their previous six games
  • 6-1 overall in their previous seven games versus the Pac-12
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games as an underdog
  • 4-9 ATS in their previous 13 games after a win

Utah

  • 0-4 ATS in their previous four games at a neutral site
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games as a favorite
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games on a Friday
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • 16-7 ATS in their previous 23 games versus the Pac-12

Baylor Bears (No. 9) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (No. 5)

Date and Time: December 4, 12:00 p.m. EST

Odds Courtesy of BetOnline

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Baylor Bears +5.5 (-110) +180 Over 46.5 (-110)
Oklahoma State Cowboys -5.5 (-110) -210 Under 46.5 (-110)

The Baylor Bears and Oklahoma State Cowboys are ready for a hard-hitting game at AT&T Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

This one isn’t going to be your typical Big 12 football game. If you are used to high-scoring offense, this one is going to trend against the game and resemble more of a Big Ten game.

Baylor and Oklahoma State were best in the Big 12 in defense and will meet on Saturday in the conference championship. The Cowboys held on for a 37-33 win and pushed back a last ditch effort from Oklahoma in the final seconds.

They have a chance to go to the College Football Playoff with a win against Baylor and if there is a shake up in the top-4. Oklahoma State is ready to get in with some losses ahead of them.

Two losses for Alabama could be too much, while Michigan and Cincinnati could lose. Georgia will fall to No. 3 or No. 4 with a loss, possibly setting up a rematch with Alabama.

Baylor would need absolute mayhem to get into the playoff at 11-2. They are playing good football on a three-game winning streak after a 30-28 loss against the TCU Horned Frogs on November 6.

The Bears also have a win against Oklahoma, 27-14. Following that win they looked good to beat Kansas State, 20-10, and then Texas Tech, 27-24. This should be interesting in Arlington.

Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends:

Baylor

  • 8-3 ATS in their previous 11 games
  • 16-5 ATS in their previous 21 games versus a team with a winning record
  • 13-4-1 ATS in their previous 18 games as an underdog
  • 12-2 ATS in their previous 14 games in December
  • 19-5-2 ATS in their previous 26 games after failing to cover the spread

Oklahoma State

  • 6-0-1 ATS in their previous seven games as a favorite
  • 5-0 ATS in their previous five games at a neutral site
  • 9-1-1 ATS in their previous 11 games after a win
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous ten neutral site games as a favorite
  • UNDER is 6-1 in their previous seven games at a neutral site

Georgia Bulldogs (No. 1) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (No. 3)

Date and Time: December 4, 4:00 p.m. EST

Odds Courtesy of BetOnline

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Georgia Bulldogs -6.5 (-113) -240 Over 49.5 (-105)
Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 (-107) +200 Under 49.5 (-115)

The Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide meet in the biggest game of the day in the SEC Championship at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Georgia has been an unstoppable force, but run into an Alabama team that are no strangers to the SEC Championship.

Georgia goes into the SEC Championship without a loss on their resume. Their only close test was the season opener against the Clemson Tigers in a 10-7 win. Since then, Georgia has pulled away from every team they’ve played for a comfortable victory.

The Bulldogs were not healthy versus Clemson. They’ve gotten healthier and much stronger since September. Their defense has been a brick wall that looks like it belongs in the NFL and not up against colleges. Alabama has had offensive line problems, including in their four overtime win to Auburn last week.

The Crimson Tide might be 11-1, but have had to survive getting upset on more than one occasion. LSU just about got it done in a 20-14 loss, Arkansas missed out by a touchdown in a 42-35 loss, and then there was Auburn last week.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends:

Georgia

  • 10-3 ATS in their previous 13 games at a neutral site as a favorite
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • 11-4 ATS in their previous 15 games at a neutral site
  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games in December
  • UNDER is 6-2 in their previous eight games
  • UNDER is 7-1-2 in their previous ten games at a neutral site

Alabama

  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games as an underdog
  • 11-3 ATS in their previous 14 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five games versus the SEC
  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games after allowing less than 100 yards
  • UNDER is 4-1-1 in their previous six games at a neutral site

Houston Cougars (No. 21) vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (No. 4)

Date and Time: December 4, 4:00 p.m. EST

Odds Courtesy of BetOnline

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Houston Cougars +10 (+100) +330 Over 53 (-110)
Cincinnati Bearcats -10 (-120) -410 Under 53 (-110)

The Cincinnati Bearcats are close to getting in, but they have to finish the deal in the AAC Championship. Cincinnati goes into the conference championship without a blemish on their resume.

They’re a perfect 12-0 and only the College Football Playoff committee can ruin their dreams if they beat Houston today.

If the Bearcats barely beat Houston, there could be a discussion over whether they belong in the playoff. Oklahoma State has been awfully good recently.

Houston is coming off a tune-up win over UConn by a score of 45-17. This was after an impressive 31-13 win against Memphis.

Their only loss this season was in the season opener to Texas Tech, 38-21. They carry an 11-game winning streak going to Cincinnati. Can they play spoilers on Championship Weekend?

Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Trends:

Houston

  • 16-5 ATS in their previous 21 games after failing to cover the spread
  • 20-7-1 ATS in their previous 28 games as an underdog on the road
  • 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games versus the AAC
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games as an underdog
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games versus a team with a winning home record
  • 2-8-1 ATS in their previous 11 games versus Cincinnati

Cincinnati

  • 8-3 ATS in their previous 11 games at Cincinnati
  • 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 games as a favorite at Cincinnati
  • 5-0 ATS in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after covering the spread
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games

Pittsburgh Panthers (No. 15) vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (No. 16)

Date and Time: December 4, 8:00 p.m. EST

Odds Courtesy of BetOnline

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Pittsburgh Panthers -3 (-115) -151 Over 72 (-105)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +3 (-105) +131 Under 72 (-115)

Not many people are going to care about the ACC Championship with the Big Ten Championship on at the same time. I think this one has the potential to be an entertaining game though.

Pittsburgh and Wake Forest are both going to get up for this one in an unlikely conference championship in the ACC. They are just happy not to see Clemson.

The Tigers were incredibly disappointing this season and didn’t deserve to go to the ACC Championship. Pittsburgh and Wake Forest both went 10-2 and I’m happy to see something different than Clemson.

They will be thrilled to go to a New Year’s Six game, so I’m looking forward to seeing these two in Charlotte. Pittsburgh and Wake Forest can move the ball with prolific passing games.

Pittsburgh has the edge defensively, as the Demon Deacons have gotten shredded in spots this season. But this one will come down to quarterback Kenny Pickett and Sam Hartman. There should be a lot of points.

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Betting Trends:

Pittsburgh

  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games
  • 7-2 ATS in their previous nine games versus the ACC
  • 11-3 ATS in their previous 14 games as a favorite
  • 8-1 overall in their previous nine games versus the ACC
  • OVER is 15-5 in their previous 20 games

Wake Forest

  • 4-2 ATS in their previous six games
  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games versus the ACC Coastal Division
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus the ACC
  • OVER is 6-2 in their previous eight games
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games as an underdog

Michigan Wolverines (No. 2) vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (No. 13)

Date and Time: December 4, 8:00 p.m. EST

Odds Courtesy of BetOnline

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Michigan Wolverines -11 (-110) -430 Over 43.5 (-112)
Iowa Hawkeyes +11 (-110) +350 Under 43.5 (-108)

The Michigan Wolverines and Iowa Hawkeyes meet in what many people would consider a surprising matchup. Michigan upset Ohio State while Minnesota upset Wisconsin to push them out of the Big Ten Championship.

Michigan was impressive with a 42-27 win for Jim Harbaugh’s best win of his career as a head coach in Ann Arbor. The offense put together clutch drives when they needed it, something we haven’t seen from Michigan in previous seasons.

Cade McNamara has gained a lot of confidence as we’ve progressed this season, and he has a backfield that can pound the ball. Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum are an excellent 1-2 punch for Michigan.

Haskins carried the ball 28 times for 169 yards and 5 touchdowns, and Blake Corum had 87 yards on 14.5 yards per carry. Iowa might have the defense to solve Michigan.

The 10-2 Hawkeyes are on a four-game winning streak since losing to Wisconsin on October 30, 27-7. They are coming off a hard-fought come from behind win at Nebraska by a score of 28-21.

Say what you want about Nebraska, but that was a gutsy for the Hawkeyes on the road. Michigan can’t look past Iowa at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends:

Michigan

  • 4-0 ATS in their previous four games
  • 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games
  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games as a favorite
  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games after a win
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus the Big Ten West Division

Iowa

  • 12-6 ATS in their previous 18 games
  • 13-2 overall in their previous 15 games versus the Big Ten
  • 5-0 ATS in their previous five games versus the Big Ten East
  • 4-0-1 ATS in their previous five games in December
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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