How is your fantasy team looking? Did you go running back with your first pick? What about wide receivers?
I hope you got some solid picks. You can double down on those picks if you’re feeling confident in your selections. How so?
Well, head on over to BetOnline for odds on your player’s season-long stats. Wideouts and running backs will each have over/under bets for yardage and touchdowns. I tend to like the under bets because injuries help your cause.
Any injury that would keep your guy out for 2-3 games, though, will almost guarantee they won’t reach the projected total set by the sportsbooks. Don’t think we are outsmarting the bookmakers. They take into account the durability of players and have their own numbers for projected games played.
The NFL is a war zone, though. Let’s be honest. The rules are changing to lessen the major collisions, but the rate of players getting injured continues to rise every year.
There are betting lines for backs and receivers on every team, so I researched the ones that sounded inviting eventually finding several odds I really liked.
Running Back Prop Bets
- Over 1099.5 Total Rushing Yards: -130
- Under 1099.5 Total Rushing Yards: +100
- Over 8.5 Touchdowns: -125
- Under 8.5 Touchdowns: -105
The 23-year-old Florida State Seminole Dalvin Cook from Miami, FL can cut on a coin smaller than a dime. I know they have to exist somewhere in the world. Or can he? Cook tore the dreaded Anterior Cruciate Ligament in his left knee in early October of last year. This injury has changed players for life before.
If you remember, though, Minnesota Viking Adrian Peterson came back pretty strong from his first ACL tear.
At the same time, Cousins will be opening up the field and pushing the safeties deep.
I’m going to stay away from the yardage total, but the touchdown bet is for total touchdowns. I can definitely see him catching 3 and running in 6 times for scores.
Pick: Over 8.5 Total Touchdowns for Dalvin Cook
- Over 1099.5 Rushing Yards: -115
- Under 1099.5 Rushing Yards: -115
The #1 draft pick for the New York Giants is expected to have a great season. Running backs normally shine in their rookie season.
The Giants, though, have been pretty bad lately and losing teams don’t help running backs get more yards as you pass more when you are trailing. Their offensive line is revamped, though, bringing in big physical guys to lead their team.
Finally, a commitment to the offensive line through free agency and the draft has hopefully changed this team from the inside out.
The addition of Saquon Barkley will relieve even more pressure from Manning. Also, superstar wide receiver Odell Beckham re-signed and he will keep safeties on their heels enough for Barkley to get some extra yardage.
I think Saquon will be one of the busiest backs in football this year. If he can stay healthy, 1100 yards in 15 or 16 games is highly attainable.
Pick: Over 1099.5 Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley
Wide Receiver Prop Bets
- Over 5.5 Touchdowns: -115
- Under 5.5 Touchdowns: -115
Sticking with the Vikings today? Absolutely. I love their potential for offensive production in 2018.
Coming off of the best season of his career and 28 years old, Adam is set to crush the 2018 season. He has a QB throwing to him that has thrown for 25+ TD’s in three straight seasons.
Stefon Diggs is better one-on-one than Adam. This is a good thing, though, as Diggs will demand the double team in the red zone giving the Thielen in the slot a better chance of being open.
I call this the Julio Jones effect. He gets nearly 100-yard per game but barely scores. We saw it in full effect in this past Thursdays season opener.
A total of 6 touchdowns isn’t much if he plays the whole year. That’s less than two every five games. Thielen will get there.
Pick: Over 5.5 Touchdowns for Adam Thielen
It’s going to be a great year. I promise I’m not a Vikings fan, though.
I actually used to be as a teen, but after the greatest wide receiver duo of all-time parted Minnesota, it was never the same for me. They are stacked this year, though. They can win the Super Bowl!
But first, I like Dalvin Cook and Adam Thielen to get into the end zone early and often.
Stefon Diggs is a game changer when he’s healthy and he should open things up wide for the rest of the Viking playmakers.
The New York Giants are obviously a major market team who just saw the Eagles win their first Super Bowl last year. Everyone from the owner to the gm to the fans is sick and darn tired of seeing Eli under heavy pressure in less than 2 seconds on almost every play.
This is because they haven’t had an O-line worth a crap in years, and never a superstar at running back. They have the potential for both. A worth a crap offensive line looks to be in place, albeit with a few question marks.
One thing that isn’t a question is that the New York Football Giants want to be a run-first team. Goodness knows they need to. Eli can’t survive back there much longer.
Because of their said commitment to the running game along with Barkley’s all-world talent and athleticism, I like him to get to 1100 yards rushing in 2018 without much issue.
Get those bets in before kickoff on Sunday and enjoy the NFL’s opening day.