NFL Week Fifteen – Betting Power Rankings for 2019

Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logos - NFL Ball on a Football Field Background

Another week of thrilling NFL action is in the books, and what a week it was! The Saints and Niners nearly dropped a hundred points, Baker Mayfield and the Browns are all the sudden in the playoff chase, the Patriots are in panic mode, and the Cowboys still can’t beat a winning team. With that, lets’ jump right into this week’s NFL betting power rankings!

Money Line Power Ranking

The money line power ranking is where you are going to find teams that might not always cover, but they usually win outright.

Baltimore Ravens Logo

1. Baltimore Ravens

  • Money Line Record: (11-2)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 1

It was a tough week as expected, but Lamar Jackson battled the elements and the Bills stout defense and came out on top, 24-17. Jackson cemented his case for the NFL MVP as he threw for three passing scores and went over 1,000 rushing yards on the season. He is just 23-yards away from breaking Michael Vick’s single-season rushing record for a QB, and with three games left on the schedule, he might just destroy it before the season is over.

The win was a huge one for Baltimore as they are now firmly in the driver’s seat for the number one seed in the AFC as the Patriots lost. That gives them a full one-game lead over New England and the tiebreaker over the Pats. The Ravens are -1200 against the Jets on Thursday Night Football this week, and Jackson has been limited in practice with a quad injury, but don’t expect the Ravens to be on upset alert.

San Francisco 49ers Logo

2. San Francisco 49ers

  • Money Line Record: (11-2)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 2

WOW! If you missed the game between the San Francisco 49ers and the New Orleans Saints this week, you missed the game of the year. Despite both of these teams having elite defenses, this game was all about the offense as the teams combined for whopping 94-points! The teams combined for nearly 1,000 yards from scrimmage and Jimmy G and Drew Brees combined for nine touchdowns.

The Saints thought they won the game when they took a 46-45 lead on a Brees to Tre’Quan Smith touchdown with just fifty-three seconds left to play. But the Niners would not be denied and drove down the field quickly to get into field goal range. George Kittle had one of the best plays of his young career to get them close enough to have Robbie Gould kick the game-winning field goal as time expired.

The win for SF had all kinds of playoff implications. Coming into this week, San Francisco had dropped out of first place, and they looked destined to be a wild card team. Now with the win and loss by Seattle, the Niners are back in first place and the number one overall seed in the NFC. Yeah, this game mattered, a lot.

The 49ers host the struggling Atlanta Falcons next week and are laying -520. While that number is way overpriced, I don’t see many ways they can lose this one with so much on the line. Expect the Niners to roll.

Green Bay Packers Logo

3. Green Bay Packers

  • Money Line Record: (10-3)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

It was ugly, but a win is a win, and the Packers had to have it this week. The Packers snuck past the Washington Redskins 20-15, and with the win, they remain in first place, with a one-game lead over the Minnesota Vikings. After jumping out to an early 14-0 lead, the Pack seemed content with just riding this one out.

Maybe they were looking ahead to next week, where they host their hated division rivals, the Chicago Bears. The Bears are clinging to a prayer of making the playoffs, but they have won three straight games, and when these two teams meet, you can usually just toss the records out the window. The Packers should win, but something tells me that this one will be tougher than it looks like for Green Bay.

Seattle Seahawks Logo

4. Seattle Seahawks

  • Money Line Record: (10-3)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 3

Last week, I predicted that the Seahawks would lose on the road against the Rams, and it came true. And it was by no means disrespect to Seattle, I love this Seahawks team. But I just felt that the Rams were certainly much better than their record showed and that a team that is this well-coached and talented, would put up a fight with their season on the line, and they did.

I am not going to beat the Seahawks up too much for the loss, but this one did sting as they fell out of first place and are once again relegated to the wild card. The Hawks get two easy ones the next two weeks as they play the Panthers and the Cardinals, before hosting the 49ers in week seventeen in a game that seems just about certain to be the difference between a division title and the number one overall seed, and a wild card berth and road game in the playoffs.

New Orleans Saints Logo

5. New Orleans Saints

  • Money Line Record: (10-3)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 4

Similar to the Seahawks, I am not going to smash the Saints for losing in a thriller to a very good team. The Saints would have loved to pick up the win for seeding purposes, but at the end of the day, the Saints have their division locked up already, and it was good to see Brees and this offense get back to their high-flying ways.

The Saints host the Colts next week on Monday Night Football as -385 home favorites. A couple of weeks ago, this would have been a very intriguing matchup, but Indy has now lost three games and a row and are fading fast, and the Saints should easily take care of business at home.

Against the Spread Power Ranking

Need a winner? Check the against the spread power rankings where you will find the teams that are covering numbers week in and week out.

Buffalo Bills Logo

1. Buffalo Bills

  • ATS Record: (8-4-1)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 1

Is there such a thing as a moral cover? Like a moral victory but against the spread? I don’t think there is, but if there was, the Buffalo Bills would have gotten one this week against the Baltimore Ravens. The Bills defense did as good of a job as anyone has done on Lamar Jackson this year, and they missed the cover by just one point.

The Bills played well enough to cover and to even win the game outright, but they just couldn’t get that one big play they needed to put them over the top. The Bills are getting +2-points next week in Pittsburgh, against a streaking Steelers team. The Steelers have won seven out of their last eight games despite having basically all of their best offensive players hurt.

But when you look back at this streak, as impressive as it looks from afar, it looks like it just might be a little bit of fake news. I always say that wins are wins, and they do all count the same. But when you look at the Steelers eight wins this season, they have beaten the Bengals twice, and the Chargers, Dolphins, Colts, Rams, Browns, and Cardinals. If the season ended today, none of those teams would be in the playoffs. Give me those points and go Bills!

Los Angeles Rams Logo

2. Los Angeles Rams

  • ATS Record: (9-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

Don’t look now, but the LA Rams are right back in the playoff conversation. After winning and covering this week against the Seahawks, Todd Gurley and company are now just a game back of the Minnesota Vikings for the last playoff spot in the NFC. I have been screaming all season long that the Rams need to have more Gurley and less Goff, and they are finally starting to listen as Gurley has been getting a bunch of touches recently.

This week, Gurley touched the ball 27 times and ground out 113 yards and a TD. This team is better when they hold the ball and control the clock, and Gurley is the key to that. Next week the Rams go to Dallas and are somewhat surprisingly laying -1.5-points against the Cowboys.

The Cowboys haven’t beaten a team with a winning record all season long, but I am not sure I love laying points in Cowboy Stadium. But luckily, we might not have to as the Cowboys always attract a lot of public action, and that is likely to shift this number towards Dem Boys before kickoff. If I can get the Rams at even, or maybe even getting a point, I won’t pass it up.

San Francisco 49ers Logo

3. San Francisco 49ers

  • ATS Record: (8-4-1)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

The Niners pop back into the top five this week with the big win and cover over the Saints. Looking forward to next week, the 49ers are laying -11 points against the Atlanta Falcons. I love Jimmy G and the Niners, but that spread is absurd and I won’t even think of laying that much wood.

Denver Broncos Logo

4. Denver Broncos

  • ATS Record: (8-5)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

Wait, what? Yeah, the Denver Broncos have very quietly been on fire ATS recently. In the last six weeks, the Broncos have gone 5-1 against the number, that includes three outright wins as underdogs. This week they shocked the world when they went into Houston and somehow obliterated the first-place Texans.

The Broncos have used Joe Flacco, Brandon Allen, and Drew Lock at QB during this run, and they just keep covering no matter who is under center. Lock is actually looking like he might even be a long-term fit for Denver. The Broncos are getting +10 points in Kansas City next week, and with how they are playing right now, it is hard not to like it.

Tennessee Titans Logo

5. Tennessee Titans

  • ATS Record: (8-5)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

Ryan Tannehill to the rescue? The Titans have ridden the once seemingly washed-up signal-caller to six wins in their last seven games, and they are now tied for first place in the AFC South. This week, the Titans pounded the Oakland Raiders 42-21 and put a major dent in the Raiders playoff hopes.

Tennessee is now tied with the Steelers for the last playoff spot in the AFC. Maybe they win the division, maybe they win the wild card, but at this point, it looks like we will be seeing the Derek Henry led Titans playing in the postseason.

Game Total Power Ranking

Everyone loves taking the over, so why not make a power ranking that ranks teams on cashing tickets on the total!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logo

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Over Record: (10-3)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 1

Another week, another over in the Bucs game. Here is a fun stat, Jameis Winston has a chance to lead the NFL in passing yards, touchdowns, and interceptions. No player has ever done that in NFL history. How would you like to be the Bucs GM trying to decide if this guy is the QB of the future?

This week was a standard Bucs game as they scored a million, and they gave up a million. Next week the total is just 47 points against the Lions. I know the Lions have no quarterback, but this Bucs defense can make anybody look like a star. I am taking the over.

Carolina Panthers Logo

2. Carolina Panthers

  • Over Record: (9-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 2

The Panther’s defense continues to be awful as they got blasted for 40-points this week in Atlanta. They have now given up at least 29-points in each of the last four weeks. Betting on a good offense to score a bunch of points to push a game over is a decent bet. But betting on a terrible defense to give up a bunch of points is a great bet! Expect more of the same as the Panthers are going to get blasted by Russell Wilson and the Seahawks next week.

Detroit Lions Logo

3. Detroit Lions

  • Over Record: (8-5)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 3

David Blough is about to have the best game of his career. While the Lions didn’t go over this week, managing just 7-points against the Minnesota Vikings, they play the Bucs next week, and that game might hit a hundred. Blough is averaging 39 passing attempts a game through two starts, and I bet he whips it fifty-plus times against this god-awful Bucs pass defense. OVER. OVER. OVER.

Arizona Cardinals Logo

4. Seattle Seahawks

  • Over Record: (7-6)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

Much like the Lions, I leave the Seahawks in the top five this week despite going under, because I feel strongly that next week they will get right back on track. Russell Wilson is going to throw for over 400 yards, and the Seahawks are going to drop on the Carolina Panthers. We saw what Matt Ryan did to the Panthers last week with a banged-up receiving corps, expect the Seahawks to push this one over on their own.

Baltimore Ravens Logo

5. Tennessee Titans

  • Over Record: (8-5)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

I know I gave a lot of the credit for the Titans recent run to Ryan Tannehill, but let’s be honest here, this is Dereck Henry’s team. Henry is finally looking like the guy we all thought he would be coming out of Alabama and he has rushed for over 100-yards in each of his last four games, racking up 599 yards in the process.

Henry is now second in the NFL in rushing yards behind Nick Chubb, and he is poised to take over the top spot before the season comes to an end. The Titans and the Texans have the highest number on the board right now at 50.5, you can expect a lot of fireworks in that one!

Wrap Up

And here they are folks, my betting power rankings for week fifteen! What a great end to the regular season we have coming up! Three of the four divisions in the NFC are one game races, and the wild card is all the sudden interesting against as the Vikings, Rams, and Bears are all fight for that final spot. And in the AFC, the division races in the East and South couldn’t be closer, and the wild card is wide open as the Bills, Steelers, Titans, Browns, Raiders, and Colts all still have a shot. Thanks for reading, and good luck betting the NFL in week fifteen and don’t forget to check our predictions for 5 of the divisions that are still to be decided.

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Jason Gray / Author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL