NFL Week Thirteen – Betting Power Rankings for 2019

San Francisco 49ers, Arizona Cardinals and Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logos - NFL Ball on a Football Field Background

The cream continues to rise to the top as the NFL playoff picture comes into better focus each week. Who thought the Pittsburgh Steelers were a playoff team when Big Ben went down for the season in week two? How about the Cleveland Browns who started out the season 2-6? Heck, even the New York Jets are sniffing the playoffs after winning three straight games. This is shaping up to be one of the most exciting finishes to a season in NFL history! With that, let’s jump right into this week’s NFL betting power rankings!

Money Line Power Ranking

If you want a sure-fire money line winner, check this first section where we highlight teams that are winning games but may not always be covering spreads.

San Francisco 49ers Logo

1. San Francisco 49ers

  • Money Line Record: (10-1)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 1

Things were starting to look a little shaky in San Francisco for the last couple of weeks. Two weeks ago, they lost their first game of the season, at home, to the Seattle Seahawks. Then they followed it up by nearly losing to the 3-7-1 Arizona Cardinals. Were the 49ers as good as we thought they were?

But this week, they silenced those concerns as they obliterated the Green Bay Packers 37-8. Aaron Rodgers was hurried on nearly every throw, and they held the future Hall of Famer to just 104 passing yards and sacked him five times. The defense proved once again that they are championship level.

The Niners will get a major test next week as they play in Baltimore, against what looks to be an unbeatable Ravens team. The Ravens have been steamrolling everyone as of late, and if the Niners manage to knock them off on the road, they would quickly move up to one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl.

Baltimore Ravens Logo

2. Baltimore Ravens

  • Money Line Record: (9-2)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 2

Speaking on those Ravens, they come in at number two again this week. Lamar Jackson seems to be a shoo-in for the MVP at this point, and his performance on Monday night was one of the all-time best in primetime. Jackson threw for five touchdowns and had nearly a hundred yards on the ground. And this came on the road, against a very good LA Rams defense.

The Ravens have won seven straight games and are hot on the heels of the New England Patriots for the top seed in the AFC. Baltimore has been getting it done on both sides of the ball as of late as they allowed just thirteen combined points in the last two weeks against the Texans and the Rams. The combined score during the Ravens seven-game winning streak? 251-102. Absolute domination.

Next week the Ravens get the betting power rankings game of the century as they play the 49ers in a matchup of the top two teams in the money line rankings. The number is a steep one for Baltimore at -265, but I just don’t see any way to stop this team right now and wouldn’t at all be shocked to see them blow this one out.

New England Patriots Logo

3. New England Patriots

  • Money Line Record: (10-1)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 3

How is it that the defending Super Bowl champs can be 10-1, have the best record in the AFC, and are still somehow underrated? Well, we already talked about Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, and they have done a great job of stealing the spotlight away from New England this year.

But this Pats team deserves some love, especially the defense. This is shaping up to be a historically good defense, and they showed it again this week as they held Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys to no touchdowns and just nine points. The weather had something to do with it as it was ugly all game long, but this New England defense has now held every team they have played but one, to fourteen points or less.

The one team that managed to score on them? You guessed it, the Baltimore Ravens. But as long as New England wins out and holds onto that top seed, the playoffs go through Foxboro. You’re telling me that you wouldn’t want to back Brady and Belichick at home in January in the snow with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line? I know I would.

Seattle Seahawks Logo

4. Seattle Seahawks

  • Money Line Record: (9-2)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 4

Another team that doesn’t get enough love are the Seattle Seahawks, coming in this week at number four. They picked up a gutty win over the Philadelphia Eagles this week and continue to keep pace with the 49ers in the NFC West Division. The Hawks have won seven out of their last eight games, including a big win over San Francisco on the road a couple of weeks back.

That one loss? To who else, but the Baltimore Ravens! Are you sensing a trend here? The tough schedule continues for Seattle as they host the Minnesota Vikings next week as -160 home field favorites. The Vikings have been hot lately as well, as they have won six out of their last seven games, and both of these teams badly need a win to keep their division title hopes alive. You can expect a very hard-fought game between the Hawks and Vikings with so much on the line.

New Orleans Saints Logo

5. New Orleans Saints

  • Money Line Record: (9-2)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

The NFC is chalked full of elite teams right now, and the Saints need to be in the conversation for best team in the conference. This week they snuck past the Carolina Panthers in a game that was much closer than most people expected it to be, 34-31. It was the Saints eighth win in their last nine games.

Next week, the Saints head to Atlanta to try and get some revenge on the Falcons, who knocked them off at home three weeks ago. To see the Saints laying -325 on the road, against a team that just beat them by seventeen points, is a bit surprising, and I will either stay away or back the Dirty Birdz. I love this Saints team but a bad number is a bad number.

Against the Spread Power Ranking

This next section is where you can find teams that are covering numbers and cashing tickets! Need a winner? Check here!

Arizona Cardinals Logo

1. Arizona Cardinals

  • ATS Record: (7-3-1)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 1

The Cardinals enjoyed the week off this week and host the Rams next week, getting +3-points as home dogs. Home dogs are always a honey hole for me, and this Rams offense is all of the sudden anemic as they have averaged just over eleven points a game in their last three games that has seen them go 1-2. I’ll be taking the points for sure as a home dog after a bye week is just too juicy to pass up on.

New England Patriots Logo

2. New England Patriots

  • ATS Record: (7-3)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 2

The Pats didn’t cover this week, but they probably should have as their newly acquired kicker, Nick Folk, missed two makeable field goals. Had he made even one of those two misses, the Pats would have covered the number. They played well enough, especially on defense, to cover the spread, but came up just short.

And in a week where many of the best ATS teams failed to cover, that is good enough to keep them near the top of the rankings. New England lays -3.5-points next week in Houston, and I am not sure that is a number I want to mess with as the Texans are very talented. I would stay away or back the Texans in a tough spot.

Buffalo Bills Logo

3. Buffalo Bills

  • ATS Record: (7-3-1)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

Everyone keeps waiting for the Bills to fall apart, and yet they keep finding ways to win and cover each week. This week it was a 20-3 thumping of the Denver Broncos. We have seen all kinds of media coverage on the Ravens and the Patriots in the AFC, but at 8-3, the Bills have the third-best record in the conference and barely get a mention. The Chiefs, Texans, Steelers, Colts, Titans, Raiders, Browns? All of those teams fighting for the playoffs in the AFC have fewer wins than Buffalo does right now.

Frank Gore added another accolade to his career as he now has the third-most rushing yards in NFL history. Good for him, as the ageless wonder continues to grind the yards away each week. The Bills play the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, getting a full touchdown. I hate to fade the Cowboys at home on Turkey Day, but I’m taking those points.

Dallas Cowboys Logo

4. Dallas Cowboys

  • ATS Record: (7-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

So, the Cowboys couldn’t score on Bill Belichick and his ferocious defense. Ok, well, nobody that isn’t named Lamar Jackson can either, so I won’t let it bother me too much. And at the end of the day, Dem Boys covered the number and cashed tickets. I am not a fan of them laying seven against the Bills next week, but that doesn’t mean they won’t find a way to cover with Jason Garrett on the hot seat.

New Orleans Saints Logo

5. New Orleans Saints

  • ATS Record: (7-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 5

Laying -10-points was always going to be a tough spot for New Orleans last week, especially in a division game. And of course, they didn’t cover it. This week they are in a similar spot as they are laying an inflated number against the Falcons at -7. The Saints have been elite ATS all season long, so it is hard to doubt them, but these numbers are starting to get out of hand.

Game Total Power Ranking

Wanna bet the over? In this final section, you will find teams that are consistently cashing tickets by going over the total!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logo

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Over Record: (9-2)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 1

The easiest money in the NFL continues to be the over on any game that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are involved in. This week, the Bucs combined with the Falcons to put fifty-seven points up on the board, and the game coasted over with ease. The Bucs have now gone over in nine out of the last ten weeks!

The Bucs total is only forty-eight points this week against a Jaguars team that also has a winning record against the over this season. Smells like free money! You can expect more fireworks in that one.

Arizona Cardinals Logo

2. Arizona Cardinals

  • Over Record: (7-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

Kyler Murray and the Cardinals have very quietly put together a nice run against the total as they have gone over in three straight weeks, scoring at least fifty points in all three games. And in two of those games, they played against the 49ers who have one of the best defenses in the league.

They host a Rams team that has forgotten how to score next week with a total of just 47.5-points. Something tells me that Todd Gurley and his crew will break out of their slump against the Cardinals 30th ranked scoring defense next week.

Kansas City Chiefs Logo

3. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Over Record: (7-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: 5

The Chiefs dominated this ranking for the entire first half of the season. They only stopped scoring crazy points when Patrick Mahomes got hurt. He is back now and seemingly healthy, and he is going to throw for five hundred yards against this porous Raiders pass defenses. Just listen to what QBs have done to the Raiders this season.

Sam Darnold 315 passing yards, Matt Stafford 406 passing yards, Deshaun Watson 279 passing yards, Aaron Rodgers 429 passing yards, Patrick Mahomes 443 passing yards and the list goes on. If the Raiders can keep the game close enough that the Chiefs keep scoring the entire game, this one could hit the eighties.

Carolina Panthers Logo

4. Carolina Panthers

  • Over Record: (7-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

All of the MVP talks has been centered around Lamar Jackson or Russell Wilson, and deservingly so, both of those guys are having unbelievable seasons. But Christian McCaffrey just might do something we have never seen before. The all-time record for yards from scrimmage is Chris Johnson in 2009 with 2,509 yards. McCaffrey already has 1,709 yards from scrimmage through eleven games.

If he continues on that pace, he will shatter that all-time mark by more than a hundred yards. This kid can do it all on the football field, and I’m not sure the Panthers would win two games without him this year. In my book, he is the real MVP. The total is just 39.5-points next week against the Redskins. Expect McCaffery to have one of his best games of the year as the Panthers drop at least thirty points.

Baltimore Ravens Logo

5. Baltimore Ravens

  • Over Record: (7-4)
  • Last Weeks Rank: Not Ranked

The only thing keeping the Ravens from the top of this list is their defense. Baltimore has the highest-scoring offense in the league, but their defenses is very quietly shutting people down. In the last couple of weeks, they held the Rams to just six points, the Texans to seven, and the Seahawks to sixteen. These are really good offenses, that Baltimore has completely shut down. They went over this week, but they had to score forty-five points to do it!

The Ravens have scored at least thirty points in five straight games and more than forty in their last three. They host the 49ers next week, and while that SF defenses can be tough, you gotta remember, they have allowed sixty-four points to the Arizona Cardinals in the last four weeks, spanning just two games. If they can’t slow down Kyler Murray how are they ever going to slow down Lamar Jackson?

Wrap Up

And here they are folks, my betting power rankings for week thirteen! This week we celebrate Thanksgiving with three games on Turkey Day. Nonstop NFL action from early in the morning to late at night on a day off? Sounds like paradise! But make sure you consult my betting power rankings before you ever lay down a penny of your hard-earned cash! Thanks for reading, and good luck betting the NFL in week thirteen!

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Jason Gray / author

Jason is a true Las Vegas insider as he has called the sports betting capital of the world his home for sixteen years. Jason started out his career in gaming by running the biggest poker tournaments in the world and managing some of the biggest sportsbooks on the strip. Jason has transitioned out of casino operations and has been covering sports betting for the sports geek for just over two years. His main focus is on baseball, college basketball, and the NFL