NHL Pacific Division Odds Updates, Shifts & Value Outlooks

The NHL season is now in the home stretch and we have about 30 regular season games remaining for each club.

It’s not panic time quite yet for clubs on the postseason bubble, but time is running out to make a run and those who wish to be contenders better step up their game sooner than later.

With the home stretch upon us, it’s a good time to check in with the teams around the league and gets some odds updates and see if we can sniff out some value.

Like we’ve done with the Atlantic, Metropolitan and Central Divisions, we need to check in with the Pacific in what is shaping up to be a jam-packed race.

Keep in mind that we are taking a look at all odds here including the division, conference and Stanley Cup odds. Just because a team might not win the division doesn’t mean they won’t be a playoff threat.

With that in mind, let’s take a look inside the Pacific division and get an update on odds, odds shifts and value outlooks for the eight teams involved.

*Division, conference and Stanley Cup odds courtesy of BetOnline
**Odds shifts represent average pre-season odds from variety of online sportsbooks

NHL Pacific Division Odds Updates, Shifts & Value Outlooks

Vegas Golden Knights

  • Record: 34-22-8 (1st in Pacific)
  • Division Odds: +125
  • Conference Odds: +500
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +1000
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +850

The Vegas Golden Knights quickly established themselves as a premier team in this league given their appearance in the Stanley Cup Final in their inaugural 2016-17 season, so it was a bit surprising to see them spinning their wheels for much of the season, until recently.

The Knights are on a six-game win streak that’s vaulted them into top spot in a tight Pacific, but as noted they’ve played at least two more games than the closest two teams to them in the division.

The most disappointing part of their season has been on the back end, which has been uncharacteristic given the way this team played through their first two years of existence, and it’s one of the main reasons why head coach Gerard Gallant was surprisingly fired in January.

The Golden Knights are tied for 14th in overall defense, but also just 25th in terms of their home defense where Marc-Andre Fleury sports a mediocre 2.96 GAA and .900 Sv%.

Whether Fleury has enough gas to go deep into the playoffs is a big question mark for this team right now. He’s been struggling for a while at this point, as per the chart below.

Month GAA Sv%
October 2.51 .920
November 2.58 .917
December 3.13 .896
January 3.37 .886
February 2.53 .901

Nonetheless, the Knights are clicking right now and finding ways to win whether or not their 12th-place shows up. Good teams find ways to win and Vegas has been able to do that in crunch time down the home stretch to this point.

Is There Value?

As current division leaders, the Golden Knights certainly have the inside track to win the Pacific, but the fact remains there’s plenty of games to be played despite slipping inside the final 20 games of the season.

To me, that equates to more time for the teams chasing them to either catch them or use their games in hand to their advantage. Given the odds at hand here, I can’t look at the standings and see more value in the Golden Knights than a team like the Oilers within this division.

Now, are the Golden Knights more likely to make a deep playoff run? To me, that’s a yes.

Therefore, I’m more interested in their odds to win the Western Conference or the Stanley Cup than I am to win the division. They could certainly win the Pacific, but we’re looking at a blend of possibility and the odds and trying to equate to value, and to me the value here doesn’t lie in the division.

If Fleury can find his form in time for the postseason, the Golden Knights have the depth up front to be sure while the blueline has the potential to make things easier on their heavily-used netminder moving forward.

Avoid the Pacific odds, but Vegas could be worth a look to make at least a run to the Cup final for the second time in three years.

*UPDATE: Vegas has acquired goaltender Robin Lehner from the Chicago Blackhawks to complement Marc-Andre Fleury.

Edmonton Oilers

  • Record: 33-22-7 (2nd in Pacific)
  • Divison Odds: +500
  • Conference Odds: +1200
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +2500
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +3500

The Oilers have what every team in the NHL dreams about in a dynamic duo that were 1-2 in league scoring in the form of Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid, before McDavid missed a handful of games with a thigh injury.

What they also have is.. not much else.

The Oilers continue to get very little from their bottom-six on offense and despite Draisaitl and McDavid combining for 182 points in 118 combined games played, the Oilers are just 13th in league offense at this point in the season.

James Neal started white-hot with 11 goals in 13 October games, but has scored just eight times in his last 37 contests since. He’s now out with an injury as well.

They’ve defended better, but certainly not at home where they are tied for last with 3.50 goals against per game on the season while their defense has also been clipped by the injury bug as Oscar Klefbom also resides on Injured Reserve and will be out 2-3 weeks.

Klefbom’s absence is a big one as he’s logged 25:36 of ice time per game and leads the NHL with 172 blocks on the season, so he too is going to be missed.

The Oilers have dominated on the power play, however, where they rank first overall with a 29% clip but their penalty kill has also only been good on the road where they rank first – by a mile – with an 89.1% mark that sits well above the second-place Sharks at 85.6%.

On today’s trade deadline, it will be tough for Oilers general manager Ken Holland to make a substantial move given their cap situation, but it would appear help is needed up front, from a depth perspective while their back end needs to be better on home ice.

*UPDATE: Oilers have acquired F Andreas Athanasiou from the Detroit Red Wings and F Tyler Ennis from the Ottawa Senators to gain depth among the forward ranks.

Is There Value?

While the Oilers are a good, but not great team, I am seeing a ton of value in those +500 division odds.

I mean, they are three points out of first place at the moment, but have two games in hand on the first-place Golden Knights. Win both of those and you’re back in first in theory, although the Canucks are obviously threats just one point underneath Edmonton with a game in hand and thus three games in hand on the Golden Knights.

That said, from an opportunity versus odds comparison, it would appear that the Oilers carry the most divisional value here.

As far as anything else goes, I’m sure the Oilers are worth a sprinkle for a conference or Stanley Cup bet, but to me the Central Division beasts are too strong for a Pacific Division club to force their way to a Stanley Cup Final appearance or win.

Vancouver Canucks

  • Record: 33-22-6 (3rd in Pacific)
  • Division Odds: +175
  • Conference Odds: +900
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +1600
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +3000

Hockey is alive and well in Vancouver once again as the Canucks are exceeding expectations this season despite the Pacific being the weakest division in the NHL at the moment.

Vancouver’s offensive potential was never in question with young stars such as Elias Pettersson, Brock Boeser and Bo Horvat on board, but that potential has been realized sooner than expected.

The Canucks sit eighth with 3.28 goals per game on the season but have been particularly lethal on the power play where they sit fifth with a 23.6% mark on the season.

While the offensive potential has come quicker than anticipated, the Canucks’ defensive game has also enabled them to win games when their offense might not be at its best.

The Canucks sit tied for 13th defensively league wide and are getting a career-year from goaltender Jacob Markstrom who has become a part of the long-term plan thanks to his play this season.

Markstrom owns a 2.75 GAA and .918 Sv% on the season – numbers that exceed his 2.80 GAA and .910 Sv% for his career. He’s long been steady, but he’s taken another step this season. His 49-save shutout of the Blackhawks last week was one of the better goaltending performances this city has seen in some time.

With a +16 goal differential, the Canucks lead the Pacific in that department as well to cement themselves as a full-blown threat to win the Pacific this season.

Is There Value?

At the moment, the Canucks are just one point back of the division lead despite sitting in third at the moment. That’s life in this division this year.

While the Pacific standings have changed on a near-nightly basis over the course of the season, the +195 odds have shrunk a bit from +225 a week ago, slightly diminishing the value that was there this time a week ago.

Their offense is the best in the division and the only group representing the division inside the top 10. They have received both quality and consistent goaltending from Markstrom all season long and I don’t expect much of a drop-off considering it’s a contract year for the 30-year-old.

That said, I don’t like how the Canucks stack up against the big boys in the Central Division despite their surprising depth as the playoffs are a whole new ball game.

For this team, I’m looking at their divisional odds as the ones that carry the most value at this point.

Calgary Flames

  • Record: 32-25-6
  • Division Odds: +1000
  • Conference Odds: +1600
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +3300
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +1800

One interesting thing from the Flames is that their average Stanley Cup odds went from +1800 to +2600 within about a week and there odds have been quite volatile throughout the season, similar to their play on the ice and the drama off of it.

The Flames are one of the seven teams to make a coaching change this season, but due to off-ice happenings from the past that were brought to light and cost Bill Peters his job. The Flames were struggling at the time, however, and Peters’ job had already been in question thanks to the Flames’ on-ice play.

They went on win the first seven games after Peters was fired, then lost four of five, then won five more in a row, and then lost five of six.

Not all those streaks were in succession, but the point here is that consistency has evaded this Flames team as the better teams in this league simply don’t ride that up-and-down rollercoaster.

Offense has been an issue for much of the season until late as the Oilers sit 21st league wide in total offense, but at the same time their defense has let them down of late and they rank 20th in that department.

They own the top Wild Card spot in the west at the moment, but their -9 goal differential on the season is 10th in the conference and 22nd in the NHL.

That said, they remain in the fight, likely for a Wild Card spot only given the Oilers and Canucks have games in hand and sit ahead of them in the standings, and teams like the Jets and Predators will almost certainly give them a run for their money moving forward.

Is There Value?

Among the teams across the league currently occupying postseason positions, the Flames are the team least worthy of our trust considering the year they’ve had.

The core group of this team, at least up front, featuring the likes of Sean Monahan and Johnny Gaudreau, could be on their last chance to make this Flames team a true contender.

It appeared they were as the top Western Conference seed just last season, but they were dominated in a first-round exit at the hands of the Colorado Avalanche and have not looked the same since.

They struggled for offense which hurt them for the first half of the season, and just as they start to improve in that area their defense and goaltending begin to crumble with the defense losing Mark Giordano and Travis Hamonic which certainly has not helped matters.

At the end of the day, the Flames aren’t worthy of a futures play here. To me, they’re the worst of the 16 teams currently occupying postseason spots and their goal differential on the season largely speaks to that.

I’m looking elsewhere for my Pacific Division value to be sure.

Arizona Coyotes

  • Record: 31-26-8
  • Division Odds: +1400
  • Conference Odds: +1400
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +2500
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +4000

The Coyotes surprised the hockey world by pacing the Pacific Division earlier in the year, thanks in large part to the elite-level goaltending they were receiving from Darcy Kuemper.

The problem is that Kuemper hasn’t played since December 19th due to a lower-body injury, and although he’s now back with the club after a one-game conditioning stint, they’ve missed him in a big way.

Prior to getting hurt, Kuemper worked to a Vezina-caliber 2.17 GAA and .929 Sv% in 25 starts. From the beginning of the season to December 19th, the Coyotes ranked fourth with 2.49 goals against per game and seventh with 44 points. From December 20th through Sunday’s action, the Coyotes have allowed 2.79 goals per game and sit 25th with 26 points despite playing more games than most of the teams ahead of them.

The moral of the story here is that the Coyotes’ poor offense needed elite-level goaltending, and when they stopped getting that with Kuemper’s injury, the fall down the standings began.

Keep in mind they averaged 2.71 goals per game with Kuemper and 2.70 without him. The offense has not changed, but the goal-prevention has and thus Arizona has gone from first to hanging onto a postseason spot by a thread as the second Wild Card team in the west at the moment.

Is There Value?

One thing of significant note with the ‘Yotes is that they’re behind the Predators and Jets and just ahead of the Wild in terms of points percentage due to games in hand, so there’s a real chance they don’t get into the postseason at all given the full-on dogfight taking place.

You really want to see how Kuemper looks upon his return here. At least, I do.

The Coyotes have not played well enough to be worthy of a futures bet and considering their precarious position in the second Wild Card spot but likely behind at least two other clubs when the games in hand are completed.

As a result, the Coyotes cannot afford Kuemper coming back and taking a step back from his work earlier in the season. At this juncture, it appears they will need him to be as good as he was at a minimum, and maybe better unless that 23rd-ranked offense can pick it up a notch or two.

If Kuemper returns in peak form, there could be some value to be had at least in terms of their conference or Stanley Cup odds given that it’s probably too late to make up enough ground in the division race.

However, I want to see peak Kuemper out of the gate here before getting involved in Coyotes futures.

San Jose Sharks

  • Record: 26-32-4
  • Division Odds: N/A
  • Conference Odds: +5000
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +10000
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +1800

The Sharks’ Stanley Cup odds have seen a significant shift and not in the direction in which they’d like. It’s also not hard to see why.

The Sharks managed to get into the final four last year before being eliminated by the eventual Cup-winning Blues in the Western Conference Final.

As a result, hopes were high entering this season for the perennial postseason contenders, but things went bad early and they simply haven’t recovered.

The Sharks defensive woes reached new heights, as did the struggles of goaltender Martin Jones.

San Jose ranks 26th in team defense and Jones owns a 3.11 GAA and .894 Sv%, both of which are career-lows.

Although both areas are extensions of poor play from last season, their work on offense has been the biggest surprise.

After finishing in a share of second place with 3.52 goals per game last season, but have plummeted all the way to 28th with 2.53 goals per game this season, losing a full goal-per-game from their offensive output a season ago.

In league jam-packed with one-goal games, losing a full goal per game on offense is going to take its effect.

Add in the struggles at the other end of the ice and you have the Sharks sitting 14 points out of a playoff spot in the west.

Is There Value?

Absolutely not.

It appeared that it might not be the Sharks’ year early in the season, but many expected a rebound from a team that has missed the postseason just once in the last 15 seasons.

However, the continued struggles on both offense and defense that were eventually punctuated by long-term injuries to their top two centers in Logan Couture and Thomas Hertl followed by a recent season-ending injury to Erik Karlsson has the Sharks among the team vying for a lottery draft pick in June’s NHL Entry Draft.

Perhaps a bounce-back candidate for next season if their goaltending situation can be ironed out, but there’s nothing doing for the 2019-20 Sharks.

Anaheim Ducks

  • Record: 24-30-8
  • Division Odds: +50000
  • Conference Odds: +15000
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +25000
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +8000
  • The Ducks saw their Stanley Cup odds shrink to as low as +4500 early in the season as they hung around the playoff picture in the west, but it turns out they will end up essentially where we thought they would.

    It’s a transition from experience to youth for this club as players such as Ryan Kesler, Corey Perry and Patrick Eaves are out and rookies such as Troy Terry, Sam Steel and Max Jones get their turn getting the significant minutes up front.

    Predictably, the result has been a low-scoring offense as they sit 29th in that department while their 3.16 goals against per game is tied for 21st.

    John Gibson’s ability to bail his team out has dipped this season as he owns a 3.01 GAA and .903 Sv% on the season, well below his 2.52 GAA and .918 Sv% for his career and even the 2.84 GAA and .917 Sv% he posted on a poor Ducks team a season ago.

    The forward-looking Ducks do have some nice pieces moving forward and will surely look for another as part of the lottery mix for June’s draft.

    Is There Value?

    Not in the least.

    Unlike the Sharks and their established and experienced core that is fairly youthful up front, however, it appears the Ducks are a ways from getting back into the postseason conversation in the west.

    Barring an unforeseen win-now offseason, it would appear we should avoid Ducks futures for some time.

    Los Angeles Kings

  • Record: 22-35-6
  • Division Odds: N/A
  • Conference Odds: +25000
  • Stanley Cup Odds: +50000
  • Stanley Cup Odds Shifted From: +8000

In another case of they are who we though they were, the Kings reside in the basement of the Western Conference but have been doing plenty in looking towards the future.

They made a number of trades last season, but have dealt away a big portion of their core this season with the likes of Tyler Toffoli, Jake Campbell, Kyle Clifford and Derek Forbort on the move as the transition has continued in a big way.

They still appear a ways from contention, however.

Their biggest issue this season has been on offense and their play on the road. Their offense has managed just 2.48 goals per game to rank 30th this season while they’ve gone 9-22-4 on the road compared to a decent 13-13-2 on home ice.

Their road defense has struggled but has looked much better at home and while their possession numbers have been strong they haven’t been able to benefit from it on the scoresheet or in the standings.

Is There Value?

Not one bit, and like Anaheim, it is likely to remain that way for a while yet.

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Brenton Kemp / Author

Brenton is a lifelong sports fan who resides in Ontario, Canada. Brenton is a fan of most all sports but specializes in hockey, baseball, football, basketball, and golf. He’s a fierce researcher with a strong appetite to deliver accurate and relevant facts that in turn have led to past success with picks and DFS advice across the board. Brenton’s biggest goal is to deliver readers with the picks and advice that can build their bankroll. He takes great pride in his success and loves nothing more than to share that success for the benefit of everyone involved.