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Does The Signing Of Antonio Brown Make The Patriots A Lock To Win The Super Bowl?

Antonio Brown With Oakland Raiders Uniform - New England Patriots Flag

“Bad kids want discipline” -Cris Carter

Maybe he stole it from somewhere else but it rings true regardless.

He said this, of course, in regards to All-Pro wide receiver All WAC social media superstar Antonio Brown’s recent turn of events that led to his signing with the New England Patriots.

I will take you through the entire timeline of events in a minute in case you have been on an extended backpacking trek/screen break for the past week.

The seemingly continuous stream of Antonio Brown overshadowed what was a very exciting and telling week one of the NFL regular season.

Please Note:

I don’t want to come at you guys today with my take on whether it was the Oakland Raiders fault because they knew what they were getting into or that the Patriots are both opportunistic and enabling immature behavior.

I will let the readers and viewers draw their own conclusions.

The question I want to pose today is: Are the Patriots a lock to win the Super Bowl after the signing of Antonio Brown?

Tom Brady’s boys in blue were already Super Bowl favorites along with the rival Kansas City Chiefs before they picked up one of if not the best wide receiver in the world.

The second we heard that Antonio might be cut from the Raiders, it’s like people already knew where he was going.

The script went from completely wacky to 99% predictable in an instant.

If…and that’s a major if Antonio can get along with Brady and Bill Belichick, we cannot ignore the fact they are far and above the clear favorites to win Super Bowl LIV in 2020.

BetOnline has betting odds on the Pats’ chances to win the AFC Championship as well as another ring.

This could be the nail in the coffin for the rest of the league.

Yes, they lost Gronk but Julian Edelman, Josh Gordon, and Antonio Brown is arguably the best trio of wide receivers ever assembled.

The aforementioned Cris Carter along with Jake Reed and Randy Moss have a solid argument but they weren’t able to get that elusive ring.

I hope the 2019 NFL season is a competitive year but it’s not looking good for the other 31 teams so far.

Let’s run through the timeline of Antonio’s antics, examine the Patriots’ odds to win the Super Bowl, and shuffle through some prop bets I found on Antonio’s statistical future with his current team.

Antonio’s Timeline

December 2018

After the Pittsburgh Steelers defeated the New England Patriots and almost beat the New Orleans Saints in back-to-back weeks, the Steelers were preparing for a matchup with versus the sulking Cincinnati Bengals.

Everything seemed to be Kosher until Antonio Brown had a physical altercation with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger during a midweek practice. Following this, Brown skipped voluntarily took the rest of the week’s prep off and was “in”voluntarily benched for the season finale versus the Bengals.

This was the last time Brown would suit up for the famed Steeler franchise.

March 2019

“If they wanna play, they going to play by my rules.” -AB

This was a quote from AB before he was traded.

He’s a once in a generation level talent so you know some teams and egos thought they could be the one to tame him.

Of course, he was traded to the Oakland Raiders and Hard Knocks ensued, pun intended.

Late Summer

Okay, so many things happened that I can’t just list one month.

He cried about the new helmet he was supposed to wear citing that it cut down on his vision. I don’t doubt that is true but he was getting 30 million in guaranteed money.

Sorry, I’m placing blame again. I said I wouldn’t do that.

It’s difficult not to. Clearly.

Everybody else has to wear the helmet and it was made for player safety against concussions.

Antonio eventually threatened to never play football again if he couldn’t wear his old helmet.

Then the man shows up to camp with feet so cracked and busted that not even Rex Ryan wanted to touch them.

He had spent some time in the cryotherapy chamber without his booties.

At this point, the Raiders are thinking, okay, can the season just start already, and hopefully, this mess will calm down.

He’s just bored, maybe.

Nope, we didn’t make it that far.

After a public physical altercation with Raiders general manager Mike Mayock, the team cited conduct detrimental and cut him.

There may potentially be more legal affairs to come as Oakland said they aren’t paying him a dime as it was in his contract not to be a detriment, and boy did he “detriment.”

Not even a few hours later, Antonio Brown had signed a 1-year deal with the New England Patriots.

He couldn’t play in week one but the Pats smashed his former team, the Steelers, 33-3.

Whew, okay, so we are back to the present now.

Now, we answer the question on every fan and bettors mind: Are the Patriots a lock to win the Super Bowl after the signing of Antonio Brown?

New England Patriots to Win the Super Bowl 54: +450

There are a variety of ways to bet on football on the internet. Specifically, click here for some of the top NFL betting sites you can use.

I was definitely leaning towards the Kansas City Chiefs before all of this went down.

If Antonio Brown remains physically and more importantly mentally healthy, I find it very difficult to argue against this Patriots team to win the Super Bowl.

They will have to go through Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs, of course, but they did it last year so why not?

The Pats have a much better defense on paper than KC going into the regular season and drastically out-performed the Chiefs D in week one.

New England’s defense gave up 6 points fewer than KC per game in the 2018 season.

It’s been said that the Chiefs are improved on that side of the ball but they allowed the Jaguars to put up 26 points on Sunday, albeit still a comfortable victory for KC.

They broke the collarbone of Jags quarterback Nick Foles in the first quarter which shows a renewed toughness but failing to break the will of Jacksonville after seriously injuring their potential savior says a lot.

It didn’t take the Jaguars long to enact revenge as Jalen Ramsey separated the collarbone of star wide receiver Tyreek Hill.

Apparently, it was popped back into place without surgery and he will avoid being placed on injured reserve but even though the Chiefs won, it’s a game they would probably like to run back.

The Chiefs will be very good still. Let’s look at how AB will fit into the depth chart in Boston.

Julian Edelman is still the #1 receiver and Tom’s go-to.

He plays in the slot and will likely lead his team in receptions this year with AB stretching the field.

Brady’s arm has shown some decline and I don’t think we will see as many bombs thrown Brown’s way as we did back when the Pats reformed another bad boy, Randy Moss.

There’s Josh Gordon. He’s the mid to long-range guy with a big body, great hands, good speed and solid route running.

Josh may be the perfect example for Brown to follow as he was once a lost soul himself who found a new home playing with the GOAT QB under the GOAT head coach.

The former Cleveland Brown averaged 18 yards per reception last year. If both him and Brown run deep routes together, safeties are going to have some highly difficult split-second decisions to make.

People are forgetting about Demaryius Thomas too. His relationship with Tom Brady appears strong and he is yes another offensive option for the Pats.

Both of their running backs averaged 4.5 yards/carry last year. I can’t imagine that number going down with safeties and linebackers even more on their heels than before.

Do they need AB, though?

No, but that doesn’t change the fact that he will make them a significantly better football team.

I love how every one of their receivers is a different player than the next and how their skills complement one another perfectly.

It’s no secret that wide receivers are the most outspoken of all positions in the NFL.

Terrell Owens, Keyshawn Johnson, Randy Moss…

Are all of those personalities going to gel for the Pats? We don’t know yet, of course, but there is zero doubt that the leadership and attitude of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick can and have made everything work in the past.

The bottom line is AB is great and a wise addition to the Pats.

Would it be a correct call to sign him if you are a young locker room with easily influenced players like, say, Oakland?

No.

The Pats don’t need him. They are good enough everywhere else to win the Super Bowl this year.

Their locker room is filled with veterans who aren’t buying AB’s BS.

Jump on these odds now because they could be (-230) come February.

The Bet
PATS TO WIN THE SUPER BOWL
+450

Antonio Brown Betting Props

Over 1100 Yards Receiving
-115
Under 1100 Yards Receiving
-115

Everyone knows Tom Brady likes to spread the ball around and he isn’t going to stray from efficiency to make any one player happy.

In fact, the leading receiver for the Pats last year, Julian Edelman, had 850 yards total.

That makes an 1,100 yard total quite the feat. He catches deep passes, though.

I know I’ve been seemingly all-in on AB and the likelihood of him getting along with and staying with the team in 2019 but there is still the possibility he doesn’t.

He could also get hurt.

Couple that with the fact that he will have to learn the playbook, gel with Tom, and he missed the first game already.

I guess we “coupled” several points there but you get it.

1,100 is pushing it.

The Bet
UNDER 1100
-115
Over 75.5 Receiving Yards in Week 2
-115
Under 75.5 Receiving Yards in Week 2
-115

Okay, for this bet please ignore what I just said about his season total for receiving yards.

They are playing the Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football.

That’s an extra day of game planning, and oh, let’s see how Miami defended the deep ball in week one…

Oh, that’s right.

Lamar Jackson threw for 324 yards on just 17-20 throws. Sure, he’s got a cannon and Marquise Hollywood Brown has wheels but RG-freaking-3 was 6-6 with a TD!

It’s only going to take one long one and a couple out routes for AB to get 76 yards.

This seems like a trap but even with just 5 targets, I see AB going for 100.

The Bet
OVER 75.5
-115

Antonio Browne to Score a TD in Week 2

Yes
-130
No
+100

So many weapons…

Hmm…

Earlier I said Tom Brady wasn’t going to sacrifice efficiency to make any player happy. I stand by that BUT I have very little doubt the Pats will efficiently dominate the Dolphins on Monday.

That leaves Bill and Tom the option of how they want to manipulate Antonio’s emotions.

I think they give him one after they are already up a few scores, and that’s if he hasn’t caught one already.

The Bet
YES TO A TD
-130

Who Will Be Suspended or Cut First in 2019?

Antonio Brown
+250
Josh Gordon
+225
Neither
-200

Okay guys, the picks I’ve given you to this point are calculated and 100% serious.

This one, you can have some fun with if you like.

Consider this a bonus.

Maybe you’re a loyal Browns fan, a member of Raider Nation, or a terrible towel waving Patriot/AB hater for life.

Any of the above will qualify for plus money here.

Now, I don’t think the Pats will take the time to suspend AB if he acts up. They will likely just cut him.

If Josh Gordon gets suspended, it will probably be by the league due to a positive drug test.

I think we have already made some good money with our NFL props and Super Bowl bet as well so, throw a few bucks on one guy to fail or both to succeed if you please.

The Bet
NEITHER
-200

In Conclusion

What a ride, right?

Sure, this whole thing overshadowed the opening week of the NFL regular season but it just makes the rest of them even more fun.

Well, if you’re a fan of the Patriots that is.

If you’re a fan of any of the other 31 NFL teams, your hopes have likely diminished.

Hey, this whole thing could result in a dumpster fire that somehow someway divides the New England locker room and keeps them out of the playoffs…

That was a joke.

The signing of Antonio Brown was a win//win.

No fan, player, coach, or front office executive will question cutting the All-Pro receiver if he continues on the act a fool express.

I’m not buying that will happen, though.

What I am buying is 76 yards and a TD on Monday Night Football against a team who gave up 59 points on Sunday.

I am buying quadrupling my investment for the greatest team arguably in the history of the NFL wins another ring.

If it doesn’t work out with AB and the Pats after a few weeks, they will probably still be SB favorites and the under 1,100 yards will be cash.

Enjoy the show on Monday night, y’all!

Joshua Fidler / author

Joshua has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Josh’s military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.

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