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PGA Championship from Bellerive Country Club Betting Preview

PGA Championship Preview

The PGA Championship or the “US” PGA Championship as it’s referred to by those outside of the State, is this week. The tournament location varies from summer to summer and is normally played in the Eastern half of the country. In fact, the last time the tourney was held in the Pacific time zone was 20 years ago when Seattle played host in 1998.

In 2017, the PGA Championship was played at Quail Hollow Golf Club in the Queen City of Charlotte, NC. Justin Thomas was able to outplay Francesco Molinari down the stretch to win the tournament by two strokes.

Both golfers should be on every bettor’s proverbial radar this weekend. Molinari will be one of the three 2018 Major winners in the field teeing off on Thursday. He won the Open Championship at the famed and feared Carnoustie Golf Course in the motherland of Scotland when he outplayed Europeans Justin Rose and Rory McIlroy down the stretch.

These are just a few of the world’s best that will be going for glory at Bellerive Country Club outside of St Louis, Missouri this weekend.

This will be the third major championship held at Bellerive. Their first time hosting was in 1965 when the US Open was played there and in 1992 the PGA Championship was won by the great Nick Price.

Obviously, we won’t be able to use a golfer’s last performance at the course to gauge their potential success this weekend.

Take that fact along with all of the top talent on the PGA Tour occupying the field and muddying the betting waters and you’re going to have a heck of a time trying to pick an outright winner. This is true even if you spread your money around several golfers.

The favorite, Dustin Johnson, is (+900) to win and the aforementioned Molinari’s odds are super long at (+2800).

Luckily for you, BetOnline has more betting options for you than usual as this is golf’s final Major event of the year.

To go along with top five and top ten finishing bets, there are also top 20 finishing odds that should be the focus of the intelligent bettor.

For example, PGA Tour statistical dominator Henrik Stenson is (+200) to finish in the top 20. I think this one has a ton of value and there are several more golden nuggets yet to be prospected.

You’ll have to continue reading for those.

Odds to Finish in the Top 20 at the PGA Championship

  • Dustin Johnson: -200
  • Rory McIlroy: -140
  • Justin Thomas: -110
  • Jordan Spieth: +100
  • Jon Rahm: +110
  • Rickie Fowler: +110
  • Tiger Woods: +110
  • Brooks Koepka: +125
  • Francesco Molinari: +125
  • Jason Day: +125
  • Patrick Reed: +150
  • Tony Finau: +175
  • Patrick Cantlay: +200
  • Henrik Stenson: +200
  • Marc Leishman: +275
  • Brian Harman: +450

I really like these top 20 bets. I wish they were available each week, but some golfers’ odds would be a slam dunk. That’s why the sportsbooks don’t usually do it unless the tournament is a Major with an obviously stacked field.

Many experts are predicting strong performances from Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas as Rory has won this tournament twice before in his short but incredible career. Former world number one-ranked Justin Thomas is the defending PGA Champion and is also defending his title of PGA Tour Golfer of the Year and 2017’s leading money winner.

It’s also safe to say that Justin is swinging his clubs well as he emerged victorious at last week’s PGA Championship warm up, the WGC Bridgestone Invitational

I would definitely include these two guys within your spread.

The 6’4” 200 pound Tony Finau is 15th on the Tour with 1.25 shots gained from tee-to-green and is tied with Brian Harman for 2nd on the Tour with 8 top ten finishes this year. The only golfer that has more is favorite Dustin Johnson who has 10 in only 15 tournaments played.

Harman is (+450) to finish in the top twenty. With the 8 top tens so far this year, I feel like this is enough to include him in your spread.

Henrik Stenson has been the most consistent performer on the tour this year besides the dominating Dustin Johnson.

Stenson ranks second in driving accuracy on the PGA Tour this year and #1 in greens in regulation adding up to 4th place in shots gained from tee-to-green.

At (+200), his odds are great. I would throw him in there as well.

MY TOP 20 FINISH PICKS
  • Tony Finau +175
  • Brian Harmon +450
  • Henrik Stenson +200

Place Your Bet

There are also several prop bets that can be a lot of fun and potentially profitable as well. You will find several more at BetOnline you may find appetizing, but let’s look at a couple I think are worth the squeeze.

Prop Bets

Dustin Johnson (+900) vs The Field (-1800)

Okay, this one is a stretch but he’s the best. Obviously, (-1800) isn’t a line to chase. I think these odds are probably too expensive for even the richest sharps in Vegas.

A sharp is a bettor who has a lot of capital behind their bets. It takes money to make money and they have a significant amount of green.

If you’re a fan of Dustin, then why not throw a few bucks on him. It would only be fitting that the best golfer on the Tour in 2018 finishing out the season with a massive victory.
D. Johnson +900

The Nationality of the Winner

  • American: -165
  • European: +185
  • Rest of the World: +500

This is a fun one! You don’t have to be a nationalist to enjoy this prop bet. Heck, you don’t even have to love your country, even though it’s more enjoyable if you do.

There are a few good Aussies in the field this week including Marc Leishman and Jason Day who could definitely be up there on Sunday afternoon’s leaderboard.

I like the American bet here, though, as the tournament will be played on American soil. I have to go with my alma mater, the good ‘ole USA!
Place Your Bet

In Conclusion

The PGA Championship this year from Bellerive Country Club in the gateway city of St Louis looks to be an exciting ending to the PGA Tour’s Major season.

Virtually all of the world’s best golfers will be competing with themselves against the rest of the field this weekend.

Dustin Johnson, once again, is the favorite as he has been at every major in 2018.

Of course, he doesn’t have the best looking odds compared to the rest of his PGA Tour stablemates, but his statistics aren’t comparable to the rest of the field either as he has clearly dominated the PGA in 2018.

I like the top 20 bets more so than the top 5 or top 10 obviously due to the chances you have to win. Picking a top ten finish in a Major is like predicting the top 5 finishers of any other tournament.

If you want the long odds and the potential for a big payday then, by all means, go ahead and bet the top tens, fives, or even try to pick the winner. Just remember that value should be your number one focus when choosing a betting line in which to wager your money.

For example, Brian Harman is (+450) to finish in the top 20 but has finished in the top ten more than 1 out of 3 times in 2018. Yes, the competition is as thick as it gets this week but Harman is consistent and you should always be looking for consistency with whom you place your bet.

Francesco Molinari, Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas are three guys I would include in the spread. Each golfer has had a great year, and Rory has won the PGA Championship twice before in the past.

Have fun with those prop bets. That’s what they are there for. I don’t think the sharps are focusing on whether or not there will be a hole-in-one. So, bet according to your bank account but remember that the props are for fun and shouldn’t be a massive investment. This is true unless of course, you’re positive on whether there will be a wire-to-wire winner or not.

Sit Back and Relax
Enjoy golf’s last major the year and I hope you make some good money. Just don’t stress like you’re actually playing golf. You only have so much control, so sit back and enjoy the ride.

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