Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Giants Props Picks – NFL Week 1

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Giants Props Picks – NFL Week 1

There are two Monday Night Football games in Week 1. The Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Giants will get things started in the early evening, and then the Tennessee Titans and Denver Broncos will meet at Mile High in the Week 1 finale. With two primetime games on Monday night, that means there is going to be a lot of props available for betting. When it comes to regular season props, most sportsbooks have props for primetime games. BetOnline has a full offering of game and player props available on Monday night.

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The Joe Judge era begins in New York for the Giants. According to reports, Judge is operating a strict camp with no room for errors. If something isn’t done to his liking, he hasn’t been shy about letting his players know. This is the same coach who taped tennis balls to the hands of defensive backs to avoid grabbing in the secondary.

He also restarted practice a few days ago after a lack of effort. That coaching style can go one of two ways. Either players buy in or they don’t. Players respect Belichick because he wins games, but Judge hasn’t won anything yet. In any case, let’s see what we can do with this prop card in New York tonight. Head below for our free Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Giants props picks for September 14, 2020 in NFL Week 1.

Largest Lead (either team)

Over 16.5
+102
Under 16.5
-133

Ben Roethlisberger is back in the saddle for the Steelers after an elbow injury in Week 2 last season. It was either retirement or surgery for Big Ben. Two years ago he was talking about that he was debating retiring, and that was without this elbow injury, so he must have really had a change of heart. If he truly didn’t want to return, he wouldn’t have gone through rehab and worked himself back into game shape. Is Roethlisberger really back in game shape, though?

There have been reports that Roethlisberger’s velocity on his passes is down considerably. One of his greatest assets was his arm strength, but if that’s gone, then Roethlisberger may not be too useful. That being said, he can’t be any worse than Mason Rudolph and Develin Hodges. I don’t think he’s going to be in a position to ring up the scoreboard at MetLife Stadium on Monday night. Expect the Steelers to try to grind out a win on the back of James Connor.

For the Giants, they are looking for a step forward for Daniel Jones at quarterback. Jones was more than serviceable with 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on 61.87% passing in 2019 as a rookie. His main problem was fumbling. Jones coughed the ball up six times to the opposing team because of careless play in the pocket. The Giants averaged 21.3 points per game with Jones under center in 2019. We should see improvements from them, but I can’t see either team running away with this game. It should be a grind it out kind of game that stays close throughout.

The Bet
UNDER 16.5

NYG Total Field Goals

Over 1.5
+129
Under 1.5
-181

This is a Graham Gano field goal prop on whether he will make two or fewer field goals. The Giants were in desperate need of a kicker a few weeks ago and landed on Gano. The former Carolina Panther won the starting job. He’s coming off a leg fracture from 2018 and was unable to land on a team last year.

This is an opportunity for Gano that he may never see again. Since the start of the 2017 season, Gano has connected for 91.7%. The injury really threw a wrench into things, but he’s shown indications in practice that Gano is fully healed and ready to contribute again.

The weather is supposed to be nice at MetLife Stadium on Monday night, with no chance of precipitation and the wind shouldn’t be too bad. All we need is a couple of drives to bog down against the Steelers in the red zone for this one to have a really good chance of hitting.

Do I see the Steelers stepping up and holding the Giants out of the end zone at least a couple of times on Monday night? You have to believe so. Note that the Steelers were fourth in the NFL in touchdowns conceded in the red zone in 2019. With the price at +129 for Gano to make more than one field, it’s certainly worth a dabble.

The Bet
OVER 1.5

Saquon Barkley Carries (At Least)

16
-169
17
-117
18
+102

You have to be careful with wording for some props. This bet stipulates how many carries Saquon Barkley will have on Monday night. At least indicates that you can win if the number hits or anything more than. If for instance, you select at least 17, then 17 carries is a win and not a push. In other words, it’s an Over Under of 16.5, essentially.

The focal point of the Giants in this game and this season is going to be Saquon Barkley. I understand that the Steelers are fully capable of stopping the run, but anytime the ball is in Barkley’s hands, good things can happen for the offense. Barkley touched the ball at least 17 times in six straight games at the end of the 2019 season.

After returning from an injury in Week 7, Barkley received a handoff in eight of ten games. Week 9 and Week 10 were the only weeks that Barkley saw less than 17 carries. Like I said, the Steelers can stop the run, but getting away from Barkley would be a dumb move for the Giants.

They need to get him going to set up the pass for Jones. I don’t foresee the Steelers blowing this game open forcing Jones to fire away in the second half, so that bodes well for getting Barkley carries. We should see Barkley get at least 17 carries against the Steelers.

The Bet
AT LEAST 17
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.