Six Nations Rugby Fixtures Latest Odds Betting Preview,

Guiness Six Nations Rugby Betting Background

We’re here in Round 4 of the Six Nations Rugby tournament, and we’ve assembled the stats to give you our top betting picks just one week away from the Championship. Last weekend, France smashed Scotland 36-17, England beat Wales 23-19 and Ireland destroyed Italy 57-6. 
Place your bets before the first game on March 11th, 2022 as the odds will change as table scoring affects who could win the whole tournament. Place your bets now for the best French Rugby Union action!

Six Nations Betting on March 11th 

This first match of Round 4 will solidify France’s run toward the Grand Slam. They’ve kept the winning bonus for the last three matches, and will need it against Wales for what will be a close match with England.  France has beaten Italy, Scotland and Ireland. Wales narrowly beat Scotland 20-17, then lost to both England and Ireland. 

Country   Spread  Money Line  Total 
France  -8½, -115 -325 Over 44 ½, -115
Wales +8½ , -115 +250 Under 44 ½ -115

France has won their last three games 36-17, 30-24, and 37-10, each match outside of the -8 ½ point spread by a serious margin. Many analysts say Wales defense has been high quality, but against Ireland they gave up a 22 point spread. 
Wales is up against the offense of Antoine Dupont, who is now fully healed from an arm injury he received pre-season. This will only improve his blistering offense in the first three rounds.
Our betting pick is the France money line at -325. The Spread pays more, but is a little too risky against the unpredictably good Welsh defense this season. 

Six Nations Betting on March 12th

There are two games on Saturday, Scotland vs Italy and Ireland vs England. The first is set to be a blowout and a good Parlay option. 

Scotland vs Italy

Country   Spread  Money Line  Total 
Scotland -20½, -110 -2500 NA
Italy +20½ , -120 +1000 NA

Scotland is currently 1-2 in the first three rounds and Italy is 0-3. Scotland’s losses were by three and eleven points, but they defeated England in the first round by three points. Italy’s closest game has been a 23 point loss to France. I don’t see Scotland winning by over twenty points, so I’m skeptical of the spread. Their money line pays only $0.04 per dollar wagered, so it’s a decent option to add to a parlay, but it’s nothing spectacular. 
Italy scored six points in their last game with Ireland. They’ve made some improvements from their loss with Ireland. Two players were injured, so they’ve added Callum Braley and Giacomo Nicotera. They’ve called this game with Scotland an important one.  
Rugby fans are going to call me crazy but this is the game for Italy. I’m going to place a small bet on the Italy Spread, +20 ½ at -120. I think this will be their best game of the season and an opportunity to catch Scotland taking it easy before the final. 

Ireland vs England

Country   Spread  Money Line  Total 
England  -1½, -110 -125 NA
Ireland +1½ , -120 +105 NA

Ireland has had the closest game to France of the Season (30-24) and beat Italy by an additional 24 points than England. They’ve been a consistently aggressive and high scoring team this season, but England is somehow the favorite, despite serious Irish gamesmanship. 
England’s Eddie Jones has been vocal in saying the Irish teams aren’t as big as England, citing the English win over South Africa last November as proof of the team’s superiority. England’s loss to Scotland was no fluke. It was the first time since 1984 that the Scots beat England. Marcus Smith produced all seventeen points against Wales, and Ireland’s strategic approach won’t stand for one athlete to carry a team. 
Our betting pick is the Ireland money line at +105. 

 Betting for March 11th -19th

You can still place new bets on the over all teams, with the tournament final taking place next weekend. France did as well as anyone would expect, with Wales and Scotland virtually out of the running. Ireland needs France to lose to Wales and then to beat Scotland next weekend in order to win the tournament. England needs France to lose to Wales and to win against France next weekend in Round 5. It’s a rough bet for anyone but France or Ireland to take the Six Nations Tournament home. 

Country Odds to Win 2022 Six Nations Tournament
France  -400
England +700
Ireland +450
Wales +200000
Scotland +250000

France has a 30% chance of taking the Grand Slam with two games left to play. They will most likely beat Wales and then face England as their last game next weekend. If they can win both and get the winning bonus against Wales (but lose it against England) they take home the Grand Slam. Our betting pick is France at -155! They’ve the momentum coming into this match with Wales, they’re healthy (only one player is out with Covid-19) and they want this very badly, you can see it in their play styles and talks off the field. 

Grand Slam Odds
France -155
No Grand Slam +125


Jacob Clark / Author

Jacob Clark had a 15 year career as a professional MMA fighter, coach, and Greg Jackson’s alum. Now, TikTok’s 12th most important BJJ influencer is bringing his sports and betting knowledge to you here at TheSportsGeek. He spends his time cooking vietnamese food and playing D&D with his family. You can meet him at jiu-jitsu open mats all over Indiana.

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