This week the PGA Tour stays in America’s 50th state, Hawaii, for the Sony Open from Honolulu on the island of Oahu.
Last week in Maui at the Tournament of Champions, Xander Schauffele came back from five strokes down in the final round to top leader Gary Woodland for the title. The 62 from Xander tied a course record.
It was going to take that kind of effort to beat Woodland this past weekend. He is absolutely locked in and was the most dominant golfer for a greater part of the tournament.
The former hoopster Woodland should be a force this week as well even with this golf course as dissimilar as it is to Kapalua in Maui.
Greens in regulation and putting shots gained should be our biggest stats to check this week as last week was all about the heavy hitters off the tee.
We won’t get to see Xander again this week, but Gary will likely have his basketball-style swagger working for him once more as he looks to maintain the momentum he’s riding out of Maui.
JT is one of the biggest stars…
No, not that JT, although he is quite striking.
I’m talking about Justin Thomas. He quietly placed third at last week’s event in Maui and is the betting favorite in Honolulu this week at (+700).
Thomas has ripped it here in the past winning the 2017 Sony Open by 7 strokes over current world #1 Justin Rose. His score of 253 over four rounds is the course record by 3 strokes.
Rose won’t be in the field this week, but multiple major winner Jordan Spieth (+1400) will be making an earlier than usual return to the Tour when he tees off on Thursday.
2018 was a rough year for Jordan and I expect a mentally, physically, and emotionally well-rested man to return to his form sooner than later. Could he break out of his funk this week or will Spieth need to play a couple tournaments to get back into the swing of things as they say?
We shall see!
Rookie Cameron Champ almost came through for me in Maui. He was in good position halfway through the tournament but faltered a bit in the wind and couldn’t catch the red-hot Woodland and Schauffele on Saturday or Sunday.
The betting odds on returning champion Patton Kizzire are looking pretty tasty. (+4000) is not bad at all. We will have to keep an eye on him.
It turns out that picking a winner of a golf tournament isn’t easy. Last week, though, I was fortunate enough to pick the winner in my betting preview as well as my other two picks finishing in the top 11.
I’m not counting on a repeat this week, but it sure would be nice.
I found a ton of betting options for you, though, to keep things interesting the entire weekend.
MyBookie and BetOnline each have several lines for you.
Let’s get to it.
Odds to Win Sony Open from Hawaii
Here, I’m looking to match up greens in regulation as well as average putting shots gained with some golfers who have played this course well in the past and are currently swinging a hot club.
Gary Woodland is down around 50th in putting this season, but that’s with 20 rounds under his belt. Most golfers on the Tour are just getting to 10 or 12 rounds played thus far. More impressive for Woodland is his ranking of 5th in GIR.
Not far behind him at 7th, though, is Bryson Dechambeau who is also one of the best putters on Tour. JT comes in at 9th in GIR with another hot golfer Aussie Marc Leishman not far behind in 12th.
Jimmy Walker has won here twice in the recent past; once in 2014 and again a year later when he won by a whopping 9 strokes.
That kind of dominance can’t be ignored.
I really like Walker as a sleeper.
Defending champion Patton Kizzire is a force as well. His value at (+4000) is undeniable especially considering his 8th place finish (-13) at Maui including a final round 68.
Leishman could make some noise again. I like him as a top ten bet or even a first-round leader more so than a pick to win, though, as his performance has the tendency to slide on Saturday and Sunday.
Grab Marc (-130) with a matchup bet for the best first round over Hideki Matsuyama.
Jordan Spieth could make a splash, of course, but I’m going to need to see some more consistency from the Texan before we can risk dollars. I like Jordan to possibly stumble early as he hasn’t been in competition for months, but recover well for a top ten finish (+150).
I really like Woodland and Kizzire to win as well as Jimmy Walker as my sleeper. There are top 5, 10, and 20 finishing odds as well as first-round matchups and matchups for the entire tourney, so adjust your betting sails as needed.
It’s up to you, as the Thai’s say, whether you want more risk or less reward.
We can’t complain about the number of options. While MyBookie and BetOnline each have several golf bets for us, MyBookie should have all of the bets mentioned available for you.
Last week was mostly about brute strength and power with fairways seemingly as wide as an aircraft carrier. Golfers were smashing drives and often 2-putting for birdie.
This week will be a little different as finesse will play a much larger role this week in Honolulu.
While I’m not expecting to be so darn correct again, I’m still confident in the value of these odds and picks.
Enjoy the tournament this weekend because if we can’t be in Hawaii right now, we can sure watch and pretend while watching on television.