Super Bowl LIV Chiefs Player Prop Bets – 49ers vs. Chiefs Prop Picks

Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes Back - Super Bowl LIV Logo

There are an unlimited number of bets you can make on the Super Bowl. Everything from the normal and usual, like the spread and total, to the outlandish and ridiculous. All things considered with some of the Super Bowl prop bets out there, betting on player props falls into the normal category. Bovada provides countless player props that you’re going to want to take advantage of in Super Bowl LIV. Click the button below for a welcome bonus of up to $250.00 to get started.

Yes, we will feature more of the unusual prop bets available on Super Bowl LIV at The Sports Geek on the blog, but for the purposes of this article, we’re going to be handicapping Chiefs’ player props provided by Bovada. For 49ers’ props, we’ll have a specific article on the blog soon, so be sure to check back often.

The Chiefs are one of the most fun offenses to watch in the NFL. It may not have the pop and sizzle that Lamar Jackson had this season, but the Chiefs’ offense is a joy to watch when Mahomes is locked in. And look at where Lamar and the Baltimore Ravens are right now. We’ve seen option offenses come and go in the NFL, but Mahomes and Andy Reid have an offense that is going to continue to terrorize opposing defenses.

It is an offense that has shared characteristics with Mahomes’ college offense at Texas Tech. Unlike the option offense, Mahomes doesn’t have to depend on his legs like Lamar does in Baltimore, though. Don’t worry about Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense. They will continue to thrive deep into his career barring a serious injury. What the Chiefs needed was some assistance defensively, and they’ve gotten the lift they needed in the 2019 campaign, notably in the second-half of the season.

Having said that, can the Chiefs thrive against a solid 49ers’ defense? The 49ers have an extra week to do their homework on the Chiefs’ playmakers, and there is talent on that side of the ball for San Francisco. There are far too many weapons for the 49ers to keep tabs with everyone on the field, though. They will have to get creative to not allow a wide receiver to run free in the secondary. There are some good defenses that have not been able to challenge the Chiefs’ weapons in the past.

I see some opportunities for some Chiefs’ players to have big games in Super Bowl LIV. They do have to deal with the No. 2 ranked 49ers’ defense from the regular season and No. 1 in the playoffs, though their strength has been against the run in January. When the 49ers did play an elite passing game this season, Drew Brees shredded their secondary. They will also have to be aware of Mahomes’ ability to run when protection is breaking down. Head below for our free Super Bowl LIV Chiefs Player Prop bets and picks provided by Bovada.

Total Rushing Yards – Patrick Mahomes

Over 24.5
-145
Under 24.5
+110

Alluding back to my previous point about Patrick Mahomes. He is fully capable of running away from defenders at the line of scrimmage of things are breaking down around him. Mahomes does not have the wheels of Lamar Jackson, but if you forget about his talent on the ground, the defense is going to pay for it. The Titans found out the hard way , as we watched in the AFC Championship with Mahomes taking off for a long touchdown. He finished the AFC Championship with 53 yards on 8 carries for 6.6 yards per carry.

Mahomes also put a dent in the Texans the week before. He ran for 53 yards on 7 attempts for 7.6 yards per carry. In the regular season, Mahomes rushed for 218 yards in 14 games for 15.6 yards per carry. That doesn’t look great, and is much lower than the posted total of 24.5 yards. However, keep in mind that Mahomes was playing with a gimpy leg for much of the regular season. He has looked to be 100% in the playoffs, and rushed for 53 yards in each game. The playoffs are a different animal and especially in the Super Bowl, we’re sure to see Mahomes give it his all. He’s not going to be protecting his body in Super Bowl LIV, and if need be, expect Mahomes to take off and do it with his legs.

The Bet
OVER 24.5
-145

Total Passing Attempts – Patrick Mahomes

Over 35.5
-125
Under 35.5
-105

The 49ers’ dominant defense against the run is well-documented in the postseason. The run stoppers have been stout in January. They do not give up a whole lot on the ground, and should be able to contain a Chiefs’ backfield that features Damien Williams as the No. 1 running back. Getting creative and completing short passes to his running backs might be the most successful game plan for getting the backfield involved in the Super Bowl. The 49ers have allowed an average of just 41.5 yards per game on the ground in the postseason. Don’t expect the Chiefs to go far in that regard.

KC rushed for 98.1 yards per game in the regular season for 23rd in the league. Mahomes was their leading rusher against the Texans and Titans with 53 yards apiece in the Divisional Round and AFC Championship. He attempted 35 passes in each of those two games as well, which is a hook below the total of 35.5.

I think Mahomes is going to have to air it out a bit more here against a defense that has been getting after it on the ground recently. This game is likely going to be closer than their last two games as well. The Chiefs will likely abandon the run early when they find out it isn’t going to work. Look for Mahomes to air the ball out plenty of times to his targets in Super Bowl LIV.

The Bet
OVER 35.5
-125

Total Interceptions Thrown – Patrick Mahomes

Over 0.5
+100
Under 0.5
-130

Mahomes is likely going to put on a show in this one, but it’s not going to come without a mistake here and there, though. This prop bet ties into the previous selection in a sense. Mahomes is going to be dishing the ball out a lot here. It’s obviously the biggest stage he’s been on and going to be on in his career. Mahomes is likely going to take some dicey chances here as well. As he’s gotten healthier, we’ve seen all of his stats go up, which includes his interceptions. Mahomes has thrown an interception in three of his last four starts, and four of his last six games.

The 49ers picked off Aaron Rodgers for two interceptions last week in the NFC Championship. They also forced Kirk Cousins into an interception in the Divisional Round. Dating back to their regular season matchup against the Rams, the 49ers have recorded 4 interceptions and at least one interception in three of their previous four outings. All it could take is some pressure from an aggressive 49ers’ defense to force Mahomes into a bad mistake, with the ball landing in the hands of a defender. At even money, there appears to be value on Mahomes to throw an interception in Super Bowl LIV.

The Bet
OVER 0.5
+100

Total Receiving Yards – Demarcus Robinson

OVER 20.5
-125
UNDER 20.5
-105

I’m suspecting that there is going to be an x-factor in this game for the Chiefs. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce may very well go off. However, the 49ers are going to throw a lot of attention at them. This is likely going to provide opportunities for others in the offense, like Demarcus Robinson and Mecole Hardman to come up big in the passing game. Robinson had a monster game early in the season when he hauled in 6 receptions for 172 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Raiders. We’re probably not going to see that, but at 20.5 yards, Robinson should be able to gain more than 20 yards.

Robinson caught 2 balls for 31 yards last week against the Titans. That’s all it would take in the Super Bowl to get a winning prop bet here. He’s racked in at least 20+ yards in three out of his last five games. I expect that there’s a good chance Robinson can slip through the defense unnoticed, while the 49ers’ priorities are focusing on the bigger KC threats. We don’t need much to cash this prop bet, and it can take here is one play to profit on a Demarcus Robinson receiving yards prop.

The Bet
OVER 20.5
-125

Total Successful Field Goals – Harrison Butker

Over 1.5
-165
Under 1.5
+125

We selected that the Chiefs, Harrison Butker, is going to have the longest field goal in Super Bowl LIV over Robbie Gould in our Game Props article. For the purposes of this bet, all we need is Butker to kick two field goals for a successful winning pick. The 24-year-old Butker has been a secret weapon for the Chiefs, as he’s connected on 38-of-34 field goals for a 89.5% success rate. From 20 to 49 yards out, he’s missed just one attempt. Butker has hit as far as 56 yards in 2019. He hasn’t been needed much in the playoffs thus far, but that’s likely going to change in the Super Bowl. If the Chiefs require a long field goal, Andy Reid is not going to shy away from calling Butker’s number.

Butker didn’t kick two fields against the Texans or Titans, but hit 2+ fields in 9 out of 14 games since Week 3. Most of those teams had good defenses, including the Bears, Broncos, Patriots, Vikings, and Ravens. We are well aware by now how good the 49ers’ defense is. They finished the regular season 2nd with 281.8 yards allowed per game, and are 1st in the playoffs with only 252.5 yards against. I still believe they won’t be able to limit Mahomes and the Chiefs completely, but getting at least two or three stops when KC is threatening in the Niners’ territory is likely here. The reliable Butker would then be called on, and there’s a pretty good chance he converts.

The Bet
OVER 1.5
-165

In Conclusion

The Chiefs’ offense has a formidable defense to counter on Super Bowl Sunday in Miami at Hard Rock Stadium. However, the way Mahomes is playing right now is scary, and even a talented group like the 49ers is probably going to run into problems. Holding the Chiefs’ offense down for a quarter may happen, but expect plenty of fireworks out of Mahomes and company in Super Bowl LIV. That should provide us with successful offensive prop bets on Chiefs’ players in the Big Game. As always, good luck and bet within your bankroll, even on the biggest betting day of the calendar. If you’re looking to get started, consider signing up with our welcome bonus at Bovada for up to $250.00.

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.