Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Horse Racing Selections April 4, 2020

Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Horse Racing Selections April 4, 2020

We’re staying in Florida for the second edition of our horse racing selections on Saturday. There has been no word of shutting down racing in Florida, so we continue to plug away at Tampa Bay Downs and Gulfstream Park. For the most part, both have been profitable tracks. When you bet enough at certain tracks you start seeing familiar names pop up. That provides an opportunity to get familiar with some of the ponies. There has been some hostility in Hallandale Beach regarding racing there.

Gulfstream Park has butted heads with local government officials, though it’s been quiet in Tampa Bay Downs. That can change in an instant. I’ve placed bets on races and then an hour later they’re canceled. I don’t see that happening with Tampa Bay Downs today, but we shall see. Horse racing was one of the last industries to get close in California, and Florida has been reacting late to the situation, so I am confident Tampa Bay Downs is racing.

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I did not have any Tampa Bay Downs picks yesterday, but was successful at Gulfstream Park. It wasn’t a huge day, but still a profitable day. When it comes to horse racing, splitting or even going 1-2 can be like 1-0 or 2-0 on a traditional sport with a point spread. I will take one winner, but hopefully we can make it two and get the sweep at Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday. If you’re searching for a racebook, or need a new betting site for horse racing, BetOnline has a promotion running for a limited time. They usually provide a 7% cashback rebate on losses, but have upped it to 10% in these troubling times. So, that 1-1 day suddenly looks a whole lot better. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Downs picks for April 4, 2020.

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Race 4

(1) Reign Showers
+1500 (15/1)
(2) Biscayne Bay
+1000 (10/1)
(3) Red Venus
+400 (4/1)
(4) Pythoness
+800 (8/1)
(5) Vigilantes Way
+350 (7/2)
(6) Estilo Talentoso
+200 (2/1)
(7) Double That
+500 (5/1)
(8) Sinister Siren
+1500 (15/1)

Post Time: 2:00 EST
Distance: 7 Furlongs

Sinister Siren and Reign Showers will be on both ends looking to spring an upset at Tampa Bay Downs in Race 4. A purse of $18,000 is up for grabs in this contest. Sinister Siren is looking for his first win after woefully bad efforts in the first four races of her career. She has done no better than 5th, and finished 8th and 9th in other races. Likely a non-factor to compete with the stronger horses in the field here. Reign Showers will be making her debut in this 7-furlong competition. She recorded a recent 5-furlong workout at 1:04.40 on March 22. It was a drop from her time of 1:03.40 on March 6.

Pythoness might be a better option at 8/1 to get the upset, but there doesn’t appear to be a quality chance at picking a longshot here. Pythoness has appeared in two races, having finished 3rd and 6th. I’m not sure she has what it takes to keep up with the more proven horses in Race 4, though I don’t see Red Venus or Double That having a really strong chance, either. Red Venus hasn’t shown in three out of four races, while Double That has been in one race, with a horrid result in 9th on December 1, 2019. Neither seem like strong plays.

Vigilantes Way made a decent debut on December 8, 2019. She wasn’t spectacular, managing to compete for 3rd. The only problem with that is there were only five horses in the event. It doesn’t look so great when that’s taken into account. Then you take a look at Estilo Talentoso, who has been just short in every race she’s competed in. It’s been three races and placed in each outing. Estilo Talentoso finished 2nd on January 12, February 8, and March 1. In her most recent effort, Estilo Talentoso was a length and a half away from getting the first win of her career. I think we see that happen on Saturday at Tampa Bay Downs in Race 4.

The Bet
(6) ESTILO TALENTOSO

Race 6

(1) Blame Bishop
+1500 (15/1)
(2) Mister Mister
+2000 (20/1)
(3) Sterling Judge
+3000 (30/1)
(4) Kobe Fifty Two
+1000 (10/1)
(5) Not Telling
+800 (8/1)
(6) Cool Hand Lute
+450 (9/2)
(7) Rekker
+1500 (15/1)
(8) Fort King
+300 (3/1)
(9) Row the Boat
+1000 (10/1)
(10) White Drill
+200 (2/1)

Post Time: 3:00 EST
Distance: 5 ½ Furlongs

5 ½ furlongs will decide a winner in Race 6 on Saturday at Tampa Bay Downs. The race is scheduled to have eight horses in the field. There are some big underdogs in the competition, with Sterling Judge going into Saturday as a 30/1 underdog. You will be betting on a horse that is 0-22 in his career, as he’s gone winless in his first 22 races. He has shown only three times and has to place in an outing. He might be 30/1 but I think the correct odds for him might be 50/1. With that in mind, there isn’t insane value on Sterling Judge.

Blame Bishop at 15/1 odds hasn’t finished better than 6th in four races, so even cutting 30/1 in half doesn’t suggest we’re getting closer to finding a winner. That said, I’d rather throw some money on the underdogs in this race than make a play on Fort King at 3/1 odds. You’ll get much better odds, and I don’t see Fort King coming much closer than the others. Fort King has made four races in his career, finishing 8th, 6th, 5th and 7th. The argument could be made that Fort King just was in tough against quality competition, and there is some truth to that, but so has White Drill and he’s been producing for his owners.

White Drill is still seeking the first win of his 11-race career, but he’s been coming really close. While the competition in this race has struggled to find the top-3, White Drill has been doing that with great consistency. He has placed in four out of his last five races and showed in all of them. It was a difficult time across the first six races of his career, though he has been feeling superb recently.

White Drill is coming off a 2nd place performance on March 1, having crossed the wire 3 lengths behind Danzo. He was 1st at the ½ pole and just couldn’t hold on for the win. That was 6 furlongs. If it were 5 ½ furlongs like he’s running today, it may have very well been a win. I’m backing him to get over the hump and finally get the win he’s been so close to getting for the last five months.

The Bet
(10) WHITE DRILL

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.