Tampa Bay Downs Picks – Horse Racing Selections March 25, 2020

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We stay in Florida for our next set of horse racing picks on Wednesday. Gulfstream Park is covered, and now we’re at Tampa Bay Downs for a couple more racing selections for the Wednesday card. Gulfstream, Tampa Bay, and Will Rogers Downs are your three options at BetOnline. Fonner Park odds may go up later in the day, so if you like some of the ponies there look out for that. Gulfstream Park is under a lot of pressure to shut down from local officials, but they want to keep the racing going.

It’s especially important for Gulfstream because of the Florida Derby. That’s their biggest event of the year and missing out on that would hurt the track. If it doesn’t run, I assume they won’t count that race towards the Road to the Kentucky Derby. The Kentucky Derby isn’t until September, so maybe they’d find a summer slot for the Florida Derby. We’ll see what happens in the next few days.


As far as I’m aware, there hasn’t been any new news regarding shutting Tampa Bay Downs down. They did cancel the Florida Cup, but normal racing is going on as usual. Fans are going to be prevented from attending races for the foreseeable future, but at this point, it’s more so about whether Tampa Bay Downs can get a full spring meet in. No one really has a concrete answer regarding that. Even the medical experts are stumped about where the coronavirus is going. It could obviously go one of two ways. Sports leagues and racetracks, along with everyone else, is hoping for the best-case scenario.

So long as horse racing continues, we will continue to try and find winning ponies. Even when the world resumes to normal, I will try and do my best to provide some horse racing selections. Now that we have a full summer before the Kentucky Derby, there will be lots of time to prepare and handicap. If the Florida Derby proceeds on Saturday, Tiz the Law is going to be the horse to watch for. Before we get there, though, let’s try and find a couple of winners at Tampa Bay Downs on Wednesday. Head below for our free Tampa Bay Downs picks for March 25, 2020.


Race 7

Brandy Chaser
+1200 (12/1)
Donnie Brasco
+180 (9/5)
+500 (5/1)
Leaving Home
+1000 (10/1)
More Than Teddy
+1500 (15/1)
Ready To Mingle
+600 (6/1)
Cpl. Dionicio
+160 (8/5)

Post Time: 12:40 EST
Distance: 1 Mile and 40 Yards

We will begin Wednesday at Tampa Bay Downs with a selection right off the bat in Race 1. This mile and 40-yard contest is reserved for 3-year-old horses or older that haven’t won two or more races in their careers. A small purse worth $10,000 will be up for grabs. The oddsmakers are suggesting that two horses have a legitimate shot at winning Race 1.

Everyone else in the race is a decently sized underdog. Cpl. Dionicio has a good chance of winning the first race of the day at Tampa Bay Downs on Wednesday. The Florida bred gelding is a winner in one out of nine races. While that doesn’t sound spectacular, he’s been a competitive horse that has always been there at the end.

Cpl. Dionicio is coming off the worst performance of his career, having finished 7th on March in a 1-mile race. It was a tough field, though, and he won’t have to deal with it on Wednesday at Tampa Bay Downs. Prior to that iffy effort, Cpl. Dionicio showed in five straight races, including a win on February 16. Cpl. Dionicio won the mile and 40-yard race in a blowout.

The long distance was not a problem for him, as he got stronger as the race progressed. As other horses were slowing down, Cpl. Dionicio got even stronger down the stretch. He had a lead by 3 ½ lengths at the ¾ pole and then turned it on. Cpl. Dionicio ultimately finished with a win by 8 ¼ lengths over Three Olivez in a dominating performance. In the race he placed in, Cpl. Dionicio ran a mile and 1/16 to second. So, the extra running hasn’t bothered him in the least.

Donnie Brasco will attempt to keep pace with Cpl. Dionicio. He has more experience than Cpl. Dionicio, but in a race where horses that have won two or more races aren’t allowed, that means more losses. Donnie has one win in 18 races, while Cpl. Dionicio has a win in eight showings. Donnie’s most recent win was on December 7, 2018. In his most recent race on December 8, 2019, he did not finish the race. I think the edge goes to Cpl. Dionicio here.

The Bet

Race 4

My Cowboy
+300 (3/1)
Betting On Red
+1500 (15/1)
Last Promise
+350 (7/2)
+400 (4/1)
Astute Warrior
+250 (7/2)
The Curt Fox
+1000 (10/1)
Quality Step
+500 (5/1)
Indian Counselor
+600 (6/1)

Post Time: 2:15 EST
Distance: 1 Mile

A couple of hours after the first race, Race 4 is set to go at 2:15 in Tampa. This race is for 4-year-old colts or geldings. There is plenty of experience in Race 4 on Wednesday in Tampa Bay. My Cowboy has 70 races under his belt, with wins in 13 of them. He has already made 4 starts in 2020, so My Cowboy has gotten quite the workload in his career that started in 2014 at Gulfstream Park. My Cowboy has shown no desire to slow down, either. He is still running at a high caliber level. In his previous three races, My Cowboy has placed in each outing, including wins on March 8 and January 31.

My Cowboy has finished 2nd or better in six out of his last seven races, running really well recently. For a veteran of the game who has a lot of miles on his legs, it’s impressive to see him running this well still. His latest win was on March 8 by 2 ½ lengths over Enduring Honor. Along with two wins in his previous three races, My Cowboy has finished 2nd or better in six of his last seven races. I’d say that he has a fairly strong chance of winning Race 4 on Wednesday. There will be some decent competition for him in this contest, though. Last Promise and Astute Warrior are likely going to be right there giving My Cowboy all that he can handle.

Last Promise has won 6 of 14 races for a tremendous win percentage of 42.8%. He doesn’t have the experience that My Cowboy has, but has proven to be a winner in the limited amount of races he’s been featured in. Since finishing 5th on May 26, 2019, Last Promise has been blazing hot with wins in 4 of 7 races and showing in each outing. He won four of five races before finishing 3rd in his most recent effort on March 8. Keep in mind that he will be wearing blinkers for the first time in his career, so that could have an impact.

Astute Warrior has won 6 out of 29 races. This will be his first race at Tampa Bay Downs since April 12, which was a win for Astute Warrior. His previous two races were at Parx in September, so it’s been a while since he hit the gate. Astute Warrior should be fresh, but it’s tough to say how he’ll react. He finished 3rd in each race at Parx before getting an extended rest. You could make an argument for My Cowboy, Last Promise, and Astute Warrior to win this race. I think if you want the best value, the bet appears to be My Cowboy in Race 4 at Tampa Bay Downs.

The Bet


Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.