The Best College Football Over/Under Wagers for Week 5

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors - Over-Under Bet

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are looking like they may have the potential to take Clemson out of the ACC Atlantic title game as they feature one of college football’s most complete offenses to date as Louisville and solid QB Malik Cunningham calls on early Saturday. We have a penchant for the OVER in Tennessee vs. Missouri as the Tigers’ defense against the run has been AWOL so far. Fresno State-Hawaii and Oregon-Stanford also find high-powered offensive acts with porous areas in opposing defenses.

You always get OVER it (pardon the pun) with some of these offenses that we are seeing in Week 5 across this blog. Remember if you need help you can always refer to our over/under betting guide.

Louisville (3-1, 1-0) at No. 24 Wake Forest (4-0, 2-0)

  • Time: 9:30AM PST – 11:30AM CST – 12:30PM EST
  • Place: Truist Field, Winston-Salem, NC
  • TV: ACC Regional

The Series:

This is the ninth meeting between the Cardinals and the Demon Deacons as Louisville holds a 6-2 lead in the series and the Cardinals are 2-1 in Winston-Salem. A win would give Louisville it’s first four game winning streak since 2016 and the Cardinals defeated Wake Forest, 45-21, in Louisville.

The Cardinals took a 62-59 win at Wake two years ago as this has traditionally been a high scoring series. Wake Forest has scored 30 or more points in it’s last three wins over Louisville.

Last Week:

Malik Cunningham completed 25 of 39 passes for 248 yards as the Cardinals took a 31-7 lead over Florida State in the second quarter and cruised to a 31-23 win. Cunningham ran for two scores and then hit Jordan Watkins on a 21-yard scoring toss with 1:41 remaining in the first half for that 31-7 lead.

Sam Hartman threw three touchdown passes as Wake Forest scored on it’s first seven drives in rolling to a 37-17 win over Virginia in Charlottesville. Hartman hit Taylor Morin with a 39-yard TD toss to open scoring as Wake Forest took a 7-0 lead with just 2:41 into the game. He also connected with Blake Whiteheart and A.T. Perry on two 12-yard touchdown passes in the third quarter.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Louisville Cardinals +6.5 (-105) +210 O 61.5 (-115)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6.5 (-115) -260 U 61.5 (-105)

When the Cardinals Have the Ball:

Louisville Cardinals LogoLouisville averaged 31.8 points per game as coach Scott Satterfield is 54-5 all-time when his teams post 30 or more points. Malik Cunningham has become more and more efficient and has settled into his position as he has completed 62 percent of his passes and has thrown for 998 yards with five TDs and only two picks.

Cunningham also leads the Cardinals in rushing with 263 yards as Jalen Mitchell posts to 242 in the run game. The Cards average 26 through the air as Marshon ford has 19 catches for 208 yards and is one of six Cardinals to have caught a touchdown pass.

Defensively, Louisville will have to contend with a Wake Forest pass rush that dropped McKenzie Milton six times last week and also the defense forced six turnovers in that win over Virginia. Wake Forest has now turned opponents over 11 times, fifth in the nation. Leading tackler Luke Masterton leads WFU with two sacks while defensive backs Caelon Carson and Traveon Redd have two interceptions each.

When the Demon Deacons Have the Ball:

Wake Forest Demon Deacons LogoQuarterback Sam Hartman and leading receiver A.T. Perry are going to be a tough matchup for defenses to lockdown as the season unfolds. Hartman has completed 66.1 percent of his passes as he has thrown one TD pass in eight straight games, dating back to last season.

Perry is a deep threat in averaging 17.2 yards per catch with three touchdowns. Christian Beal-Smith leads a three-pronged rushing attack as he has scored four of the Deacons’ nine TDs on the ground this season.

Louisville has had a tough time stopping the run so far as the Cardinals have given up 172.8 yards per game on the ground, 91st in the nation, while the pass defense has allowed 245.5 (93rd/CFB). Those numbers are definitely skewed somewhat as Ole Miss piled up 569 points when the Rebels beat the Cardinals, 43-24, in the season opener.

Why Bet the OVER 61.5:

Traditionally, these two teams score lots against each other and then the Cardinals with their defensive issues could equate to a big afternoon for Hartman in the passing game as well as the balanced running game. Cunningham is not to be overlooked for Louisville as the Demon Deacons face the most dynamic quarterback that they have seen so far.

Tennessee (2-2, 0-1) at Missouri (2-2, 0-1)

  • Time: 9:00AM PST – 11:00AM CST – 12:00PM EST
  • Place: Faurot Field, Columbia, MO
  • TV: SEC Network

The Series:

The Tigers have a 5-4 lead in the series as all nine meetings have come since Missouri joined the SEC. The two teams have split the four meetings in Columbia as Tennessee, who has won two in a row in the series, took the last meeting in 2019, 24-20. The Volunteers also defeated the Tigers, 30-12, last season, and have won four of the last six in the series.

Last Week:

Tennessee led Florida, 14-10, midway through the second quarter, but the Gators scored 24 consecutive points in handing the Volunteers a 38-14 setback in The Swamp. Quarterback Hendon Hooker further solidified himself into the QB role as he completed 13 of 23 passes for 221 yards and TD passes to Javonte Payton and Tiyon Evans.

Mizzou fell to BC, 41-34 in overtime, last week, after Tigers kicker Harrison Mevis hit a 56-yard field goal to force the OT. This came after Boston College running back Travis Levy scored on a 5-yard run with 25 seconds remaining as the Eagles seized the lead, 34-31 before Nevis’ heroics.

Tigers quarterback Connor Bazelak completed 30-of-41 passes for 303 yards and a score, but his second interception came in the end zone on the Tigers’ first play of their first series in overtime.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Tennessee Volunteers +3 (-115) +130 O 64.5 (-115)
Missouri Tigers -3 (-105) -150 U 64.5 (-105)

When the Volunteers Have the Ball:

Tennessee Volunteers LogoHeupel is getting 201 yards per game (34th/CFB) out of his offense as Evans has 211 yards on 42 attempts while Jabari Small has 194 on 41 rushes. Both backs have two touchdowns each as both quarterbacks in Hooker and Joe Milton III, figure prominently in Tennessee’s running game. Hooker has seven TD passes against only one interception.

The Tigers’ top two challenges from BC and Kentucky have gashed Mizzou’s rushing defense for 340 and 275 yards, respectively. FCS opponent Southeast Missouri also had 294 rushing yards on 36 carries.

When the Tigers Have the Ball:

Missouri Tigers LogoBazelak has passed for 1,200 yards in his first four games in completing 68.8 percent of his passes as the Tigers post 489 yards on offense per game (11th/CFB). Mizzou is also one of only 11 teams to score every time it has entered into he red zone this season. His primary target Tyler Badie is five receiving yard away from becoming the first Tiger to record 1,000 rushing and 1,000 receiving yards in his career.

Keke Chism’s 181 receiving yards lead seven Missouri Tigers who already have accrued 100 or more yards. The Vols have allowed 213 passing yards per game (61st/BCS) while the are tied for 116th in red zone defense as opponents are 13-for-13 with nine touchdowns and four field goals.

Why Bet the OVER 64.5:

Both Missouri head coach Eli Drinkwitz and Tennessee’s Josh Heupel have offensive attacks that are known for putting up big numbers and chewing up defenses. They are going about this in different ways as Tennessee’s running game is it’s calling card while Missouri’s pass offense is how the Tigers flow in their overall scheme.

While Missouri’s rush defense is almost non-existent, Tennessee can matchup and contest vs. both the pass and run, but the Vols are susceptible to giving up big plays and long drives.

No. 3 Oregon (4-0, 1-0) at Stanford (2-2, 1-1)

  • Time: 12:30PM PST – 2:30PM CST – 3:30PM EST
  • Place: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
  • TV: ABC

The Series:

This is the 85th meeting between the Ducks and the Cardinal as Oregon has won the last two in the series. Stanford has beaten Oregon twice when the Ducks were ranked in the Top 3 in the country. There has also been nine games since 2007 where these two teams were ranked in the Top 10 and on four of those occasions, there has been an upset. Stanford leads this series at 49-34-1, but Oregon is 13-6 since 2001.

Last Week:

The Ducks sued a 63-yard TD reception by Jaylon Redd and a 68-yard TD reception from Bennett Williams to roll to a 41-19 win over Arizona last Saturday. Travis Dye also had a 53-yard TD run to set up a short TD for CJ Verdell as the Ducks picked up their fourth win in as many tries. Oregon’s defense turned Arizona over five times in the win.

UCLA broke out to a 14-0 lead on Stanford at the end of the first quarter and the Bruins pushed to a 35-24 win at Stanford. Tanner McKee had another solid outing for coach David Shaw as he completed 19 of 32 passes for 293 yards. He completed TD passes to Elijah Higgins, Bryce Farrell and Brycen Tremayne.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Oregon Ducks -8 (-105) -310 O 58 (+100)
Stanford Cardinal +8 (-115) +250 U 58 (-120)

When the Ducks Have the Ball:

Oregon Ducks LogoAnthony Brown has had a tremendous start to the season with an efficient 197 yards per game while tossing seven touchdown passes with no picks. Brown’s touchdown tosses have come to six different receivers as he is the first Ducks quarterback to win his first four games since Marcus Mariotta in 2012.

The one-two punch of CJ Verdell and Travis Dye at running back continues to cause matchup problems in opposing defenses as Verdell has rushed for 302 yards on 64 attempts in his career vs. Stanford. Dye has led Oregon in rushing in the last two games with 20 carries for 179 yards.

Stanford’s rushing defense gives up 209 yards per game which is 117th in college football. Stephen Herron leads the Cardinal with three QB sacks while Kyu Blu Kelly already has tow interceptions.

When the Cardinal Have the Ball:

Stanford Cardinal LogoMcKee has done an awesome job in restarting the Cardinal offense after it scored on the last play of the game in a 24-7 loss to Kansas State in Week 1. He has completed 67.6 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and no interceptions. McKee has an outstanding duo at wide receiver in Elijah Higgins (16-211-2) and Brycen Tremayne (17-197-4) are one-two in catches and receiving yards for Stanford.

The Ducks have given up 286.5 yards per game (117th/CFB), but had five interceptions at Arizona which was the highest total for the team since 1999. While this Oregon defense has given up large amounts of yards this season, it is opportunistic and full of ballhawks who are game changers. They have outscored opponents 51-3 off of takeaways so far this season.

Why Bet the OVER 58:

Oregon uses it’s running game with Dye and Verdell to control the line of scrimmage and the Ducks can put up yardage in chunks and drive scoring forward. It doesn’t look like Stanford defensively is up to speed against the run vs. Pac-12 competition as UCLA rushed 51 times for 204 yards last week. Then, McKee could have a high yardage day vs. the Ducks’ secondary. Verone McKinney has four picks and Bennet Williams has three interceptions for the Ducks.

No. 10 Florida (3-1, 1-1) at No. Kentucky (4-0, 2-0)

  • Time: 3:00PM PST – 5:00PM CST – 6:00PM EST
  • Place: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
  • TV: ESPN

The Series:

The Gators hold a 53-18 lead in this series and they are 22-10 in Lexington. The Wildcats have been very competitive in this series of late. In 2018, Kentucky took a 27-16 win in Gainesville and ended a 31-game losing streak vs., the Gators.

The Gators overcame a second-half deficit to win 29-21 in Lexington in 2019 as five of the last seven meetings have seen the game in doubt in the fourth quarter. A win Saturday would be the Wildcats first at home over Florida since 1986.

Last Week:

Florida quarterback Emory Jones rushed for a career-high 144 yards and he completed 21 of 27 passes as he threw for 209 yards and two touchdowns as the Gators defeated Tennessee, 38-14, in The Swamp. Running back Nay’Quan Wright scored on a 23 yard TD run with 4:15 left in the second quarter to give the Gators the lead for good at 17-14. The Gators scored three times in the second half to win going away.

Kentucky outlasted South Carolina, 16-10, as Chris Rodriguez rushed for 144 yards on 28 carries while the Wildcats’ defense held the Gamecocks to 216 total yards. The Wildcats took a quick 7-0 lead on the first drive of the game when Kavosiey Smoke scored a 15-yard run to kappa 12-poay, 75-yard drive to begin the game.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Florida Gators -8.5 (-110) -330 O 55 (-110)
Kentucky Wildcats +8.5 (-110) -270 U 55 (-110)

When the Gators Have the Ball:

Florida Gators LogoThis is a meeting of Florida’s No. 9 offense (540.8 ypg) vs the Wildcats’ ninth ranked defense (260 ypg). The Gators rushing offense is churning out 322.5 yards per game on the ground behind Jones (357 yards) and backup QB Anthony Richardson (275 yards), who will be cleared to play this week. Malik Davis (257 yards) is the third leading rusher and is the featured running back.

The Wildcats actually saw the most potent running attack in Week 3 as Chattanooga rushed for 171 yards in Kentucky’s 28-23 win. Kentucky’s pass defense has also been solid in giving up 172 yards, but with the deep threat ability of wide receivers such as Jacob Copeland and Xzavier Henderson, it will be interesting to see how this plays out with Richardson’s skills to throw the deep ball.

When the Wildcats Have the Ball:

Kentucky Wildcats LogoChris Rodriguez has already rushed for 521 yards and is getting 6.1 yards per carry as the Kentucky running attack does a solid job in setting up Will Levis, who has completed 66 of 101 passes for 902 yards and seven TDs. The problem for Levis is the five interceptions. Kair Elam has three of Florida’s 13 interceptions as the Gators will be challenge for Levis although the give up 241 passing yards per game (89th/CFB).

Why Bet the UNDER 55:

The idea that you have Florida’s prolific running game on the road in a jacked up night game on ESPN feels like the Gators may be forced to finish long drives in order to win the game. Kentucky is known for it’s defense under Mark Stoops and as they showed last week at South Carolina, they can control a game with defense and special teams and win.

That said, this is the highest level of challenge in the No. 10 Gators, so the Wildcats have to come up with a solid defensive game to pick up a ‘W’.

Fresno State (4-1, 1-0) at Hawaii (2-3, 0-1)

  • Time: 8:00PM PST – 10:00PM CST – 11:00PM EST
  • Place: Clarence T.C. Ching Complex, Honolulu, Oah’u
  • TV: CBSSN

The Series:

Fresno State leads Hawai’i 29-23-1 as this is the 54th meeting in the series as this is the Rainbow Warriors’ longest standing rivalry as the two teams have met every season since 1992. The Bulldogs have won seven of the last ten meetings on the Big Isle and six straight in Honolulu. Hawai’i took a 34-19 win in Fresno last season as the Rainbow Warriors as they rolled up 532 total yards.

Last Week:

Fresno State took a 38-30 win over UNLV last week after the Runnin’ Rebels led 14-0 at the end of the first quarter. Jake Haener completed 30 of 42 passes for 378 yards and five touchdowns while two receivers went over 100 yards as Jalen Cropper caught 10 balls for 108 yards and four touchdowns while Keric Wheatfall had five receptions for 115 yards.

Hawai’i QB Chevan Cordeiro threw a 74-yard TD pass to Nick Mardner in the first quarter and then he had da one-yard TD run in the third quarter to break the game open and give the Rainbow Warriors a 24-13 lead. Hawai’i had 492 yards total offense as Cordeiro completed 16 of 25 passes for 277 yards.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Fresno State Bulldogs -10.5 (-110) -410 O 65 (-110)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -10.5 (-110) +330 U 65 (-110)

When the Bulldogs Have the Ball:

Fresno State Bulldogs LogoJake Haener is moving to the top of Heisman Trophy boards as he was seventh this week in laying (+3500) odds. He has completed 136 of 186 passes this season and is seventh in college football in completion percentage with 73.1 percent. His 1,872 yard lead the FBS teams as of now. Jalen Cropper has 39 catches for 455 yards and has scored eight touchdowns.

Josh Kelly picks up 17.4 yards per catch and Keric Wheatfall amasses 18.5 yards per reception. Hawai’i’s pass defense gives up 273 yards per game (112th/CFB) and with Haener at the controls with this fleet group of receivers, the Bulldogs could be headed for major numbers. Don’t forget about Fresno State running back Ronnie Rivers either as he has 346 yards on 76 carries and faces a Hawai’i rush defense that allowed 108.6 yards (34th/CFB).

When the Rainbow Warriors Have the Ball:

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors LogoHawai’i’s offense behind quarterback Chevan Cordeiro posts 286.6 yards through the passing game (29th/NFL). While the Rainbow Warriors only has out 144.8 rushing years per game (89th/CFB), they have 10 rushing touchdowns and a solid featured back in Dee Dee Hunter (49-257).

Defensively, the Bulldogs have been good against both the pass and run. However, the passing game is how Hawai’i will attack where Fresno State gaveivle up 204.8 yards per game (50th/CFB). The Bulldogs are second in the FBS in tackles for loss at 8.2 per outing.

Why Bet the OVER 65:

Haener and Cordeiro will push the two teams OVER with their prowess in the passing games that will negate defensive playmakers. The potential for the big play in the passing game for Hawai’i can’t go under appreciated with Nick Mardner averaging 20.9 yards per catch and Jared Smart averaging 18.9 per reception.

The idea that Hawaii is getting outscored 32-28 on average also gives an idea that FSU will be able to operate at will and put up potential numbers in the 50s.

Place Your Bets Now!

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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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