The PLAYERS Championship Betting Preview

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I hope you’re as excited as I am for this week’s event! The PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass will feature the vast majority of the world’s best golfers vying for their personal share of a record purse of 11 million dollars. The total payouts for 1st all the way to 50th place are the exact same numbers as the Masters.

How would you like to play a game in sunny Florida this weekend, placing 50th, and take home 27 thousand bucks? How about the $1.98 million due to the winner? We can dream, right?

Well, dreaming isn’t all we can do here. We can bet, of course!

Finding where to start will be the most difficult part due to all the big names teeing off on Thursday. That’s why I’m here for you with some odds on the tournament winner from BetOnline.

Picking a winner out of all of these superstars with some guys being well rested and some staying in rhythm is a bit of a crapshoot. Being the ever so awesome online legal gambling site that it is, BetOnline has some other options for you.

These include odds on who will be the leader after the 1st round and the odds to finish in the top 5 as well as the top 10. The top 10 and 5 finishing odds are a little more realistic.

For example

Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Jason Day are the betting favorites (+1400) to win this week in Jacksonville. FYI, BOVADA actually has them at (+1600) if you want better odds. As for the more reasonable odds, if Rory finishes in the top 10 you get (+140) odds and a top 5 finish for him pays at (+300).

Now, let’s see how we can spread a bit of money around on some of the favorites as well as pinpoint a couple sleeper picks with minimal risk.

Odds to Win The PLAYERS Championship

  • Rory McIlroy: +1400
  • Jason Day: +1400
  • Justin Thomas: +1400
  • Jordan Spieth: +1600
  • Rickie Fowler:+1600
  • Dustin Johnson: +1800
  • Jon Rahm: +2200
  • Henrik Stenson: +2500
  • Tiger Woods: +2500
  • Sergio Garcia: +3300
  • Patrick Reed: +3300
  • Paul Casey: +3300
  • Phil Mickelson: +3300
  • Hideki Matsuyama: +3300
  • Bubba Watson: +5000
  • Kevin Kisner: +5000
  • Si Woo Kim: +8000

Spreading your money around amongst these great players isn’t sure to secure you a winning ticket but it gives you a very good chance of picking a winner. As I mentioned earlier, McIlroy, Day, and Thomas are the favorites (+1400). I’m not “in love” with these golfers to win the near 2 million dollars 1st place prize. Although, each of them has the ability to beat the competition. Will they, though?

McIlroy has never won this tourney while several others in the field have. Relax, Rory lovers. I’m not hating on the guy. He is usually one of if not the favorite to win most of the tournaments he plays.

Justin Thomas, the FedEx Cup leader through 12 tournaments, will also be looking for his first win at TPC Sawgrass. He is 2nd on the Tour with a scoring average of 69.25 only two-tenths of a stroke behind Dustin Johnson.

Jason Day is the man everyone is talking about right now. If you skim over most experts’ picks to win, you will see his name over and over. He is arguably the hottest player on the Tour right now.

One thing I learned at a young age about streaky players who get very hot, playing in the zone better than anyone around them, is that they are highly emotional athletes. Emotions run high and of course low as well.

Day just took home 1.3 million bucks a few days ago for his win at Quail Hollow in the Wells Fargo Championship. So, will he be able to stay focused long enough to compete for 1st place again? Physically, he is in great form, but will he be able to keep up the mental strength?

Rickie Fowler is another name that continues to be thrown around by experts and fans to possibly win theTour’s unofficial 5th major tournament down in Jacksonville, FL.

He isn’t ranked in the top 5 in any major statistical category other than 5th in scrambling. However, his consistency in all stats is what makes him a threat.

In my opinion, Rickie is still developing into the golfer he is meant to be. As good as he is now, I feel like he is more of the future of golf than one of its current elites.

His pastels, though, are consistently and continually unmatched from week to week.

Rickie Fowler Orange

Henrik Stenson

Henrik Stenson, unlike Fowler, is ranked among the top 5 in several major statistics. He is 5th in per round average of strokes better than the field (1.8), 4th in scrambling, and 3rd in scoring average.

The stats that jump off the page to me are driving accuracy and greens in regulation. He is 1st in both showcasing accuracy with his driver and irons as well.

I really like adding in Stenson to your money spread and maybe even a few more extra bucks on him than the other guys.

Tiger Woods has the same odds (+2500) as Stenson to win. I feel like I talk about Tiger every week excited about the possibility of him returning to his previous form. I am beginning to believe that that may never happen.

He is going to have to win a big one before I put the same kind of money on him that I would put on a guy like Stenson or Patrick Reed who have the same or similar odds.

Bubba Watson is always a fun pick. He crushes the ball off the tee and is worth a little cash at (+5000). Long hair, don’t care. Watch out for Bubba this week!

Odds to Finish in the Top 10

  • Rory McIlroy: +140
  • Jason Day: +150
  • Jordan Spieth: +150
  • Justin Thomas: +150
  • Dustin Johnson: +160
  • Rickie Fowler: +175
  • Patrick Reed: +275
  • Henrik Stenson: +275
  • Phil Mickelson: +300
  • Brian Harman: +700
  • Chesson Hadley: +800

Okay, here are some significantly closer odds for you if betting +1400 minimum on a guy to win seems like a shot in the dark. Phil Mickelson and Patrick Reed are tied for 2nd in top 10 finishes on the tour this year with 6 each.

“Lefty” has done it in 12 tournaments while Reed has played in 15. Mickelson has been finishing in the top ten 50% of the time and Reed right behind him at 40%. These are great numbers. I like a little dough on each guy here. You get youth, experience, and both guys have won bigger tournaments in the past.

For my sleepers, I couldn’t resist mentioning Brain Harman and Chesson Hadley. Why? Well, Hadley is tied with the previous two golfers I mentioned for 2nd in top 10 finishes. Harman is particularly tempting at (+700) as he has played in 14 tournaments and finished in the top 10 seven times!

Yes, a top 10 finish with all the greats playing will prove difficult for any golfer. The numbers don’t lie, though. I love both of these guys to finish high.

In Conclusion

I skipped the pleasurable city description in my intro simply because of what my mother always told me “If you don’t have something nice to say, then don’t say anything at all”. Jacksonville, FL isn’t the states best city. This is just my opinion, but I had my car stolen there once when I was visiting a friend. I digress…

Hey, TPC Sawgrass is an amazing course though. It has been the home of The PLAYERS Championship for 36 years ever since 1982, the year I was born.

Many of the world’s best will compete for a massive purse in the “might as well be a major tournament” PLAYERS Championship.

Picking which elite player will win out of all the golfers teeing it up on Thursday is highly difficult. The payouts will still hold value as the course favorites are +1600 to win.

I really love Si Woo Kim here at +8000, though. Get 80 times your wager on the guy who won it last year? Sure thing!

For those bettors looking for a better chance to win, picking a top ten or top five finish for a certain golfer may be your best bet.

Mickelson and Reed consistently place high and have some good odds to finish top 10 at (+300) and (+275) respectively. The top 5 finishing odds will have a better payout, of course, but with all the great players in this tournament, I would stick to the top 10 bets.

Chesson Hadley and Brian Harman to finish top ten are my best bets out of the entire field. They rank 1st and 2nd in top 10’s this year. Brian has done it 7/14 times. That’s incredible for anyone, much less a smaller name who carries top ten finishing odds (+700) into the PLAYERS Championship.

Let’s get betting, have some fun, and make some money at the unofficial 5th PGA Tour major event.

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