Two Donald Trump ‘Transition of Power’ Political Prop Bets

President Trump leaves office on January 20, which means we have precious little time to enjoy his greatest gift to political betting: the “Donald Trump Prop.” With a man as polarizing and unpredictable as the 45th President of the United States, everything he does creates excellent fodder for wagering.

As it’s highly unlikely that the Joe Biden White House will provide anywhere near the same excitement, bettors better make the most of US political proposition markets while they last!


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The Donald Trump props covered on this page deal with the Trump administration’s last moments when he vacates the White House, and Joe Biden enters. Oddsmakers at MyBookie focus on what should be the last interaction between the outgoing President and the man replacing him.

Will Trump greet Biden at the White House on Inauguration Day? If so, will he shake his hand?

Will Trump Be at The White House to Greet Biden on January 20, 2021?

It’s impossible to handicap US politics today without serious consideration of the effects of what took place at the Capitol on January 6.

In the course of a single afternoon, whatever plans Donald Trump had for his remaining weeks went up in flames and jeopardized the future of his political influence.

Democrats and moderate Republicans finally have the ammunition they need to remove Trump from the proverbial chessboard. And they aren’t letting it go to waste.

Will Trump Greet Biden?

  • Matchup Odds
  • Yes+250
  • No-400

With the populace still reeling from what they’re being told was a political coup, — an insurrection intent upon keeping Donald Trump in power beyond his term — the President’s enemies are using public fear to exact revenge on anyone who questioned the 2020 election’s integrity or objected to any state elector’s on Trump’s behalf.

All of this is tantamount to “inciting violence,” they say.

Not only are they lumping in every person who attended the protest with the worst violators at the Capitol, but they’re also calling for any Republican member of Congress who ever supported the President or expressed interest in auditing the election to resign.

It’s impossible to predict how Donald Trump will behave on January 20 without considering the current mood in Washington, DC.

  • If he ever planned to suck it up and play nice for the final moments of his presidency – something we’ve always known would be challenging for him under normal conditions – what are the odds that’s all gone out the window now?
  • Is it even up to Trump at this point?

Will Trump Still Occupy the White House on January 20?

To consider betting that “Yes” President Trump will greet Joe Biden on January 20, you must first expect he’ll still be occupying the White House in a week.

With the speed at which things are moving against him in Congress, I wouldn’t be so sure.

On Tuesday, House Democrats passed a non-binding resolution calling for Vice President Mike Pence to meet with Trump’s cabinet and invoke the 25th Amendment, declaring the President “unfit” and removing him from office. Pence isn’t expected to do any such thing, but the resolution is only the opening salvo in the battle to end Donald Trump’s first term before Inauguration Day.

The more significant threat to Trump’s January 20 attendance at the White House is the upcoming impeachment trial. Articles of impeachment have already been filed, and the House will vote on Wednesday to charge the President with inciting violence against the country. The Democratic majority in the lower chamber all-but-guarantees the impeachment vote will pass.

Unlike last year’s attempt to impeach, the President can’t count on the Senate to acquit him this time.

Mitch McConnell already got his Supreme Court majority and federal court appointments and no longer has any use for Donald Trump. Now the GOP leader’s focus is on removing all traces of Trumpism from the Republican Party as soon as possible.

McConnell has reportedly told associates that he supports the Democrats’ attempt to impeach Trump, as it will “make it easier to purge him from the party,” says the New York Times.

The Democrats already have 50 votes in the Senate – all they need is 67 to render a guilty verdict.

Besides McConnell, the following GOP Senators are committed (or are expected to be) to voting for impeachment:

  • Sen. Lisa Murkowski (AK)
  • Sen. Ben Sasse (NE)
  • Sen. Pat Toomey (PA)
The question becomes:

How many more GOP Senators can Mitch McConnell convince to go against Trump and his supporters? That’s going to be a complicated calculation for many members of Congress.

Republican members of the House – Reps. Cheney, Kinzinger, Katko, Upton, Herrera, and others — will also support impeachment tomorrow, but their votes are mostly symbolic. The Democrats have the numbers in the lower chamber to impeach even if the final tally fell strictly along partisan lines.

At the moment, the effort to impeach Donald Trump has enough voices to charge him with incitement and control the impeachment rules. The only questions are whether they have time to finish the trial by next week and if they can find 67 Senate votes to remove.

I think the time will expire before McConnell has whipped enough votes in favor of removal.

Are Tensions Too High for a Cordial Greeting?

Assuming he’s still occupying the White House on January 20, is the relationship between Donald Trump and the political establishment – which Joe Biden represents – too fractured for the two Presidents to consider sharing a cordial greeting before going their separate ways?

History suggests that president-elect Biden would be willing to set the bad blood aside for a brief bi-partisan sign of respect, but I can’t say the same for Trump.

We’ve known since before the election that President Trump’s ego would never allow him to accept defeat.

He’s a born salesman; no matter the topic, Trump is either “the best and most successful at it” or would be if not for someone cheating or some other unfair factor.
  • Could he grit his teeth and welcome Joe Biden to the White House without mentioning the election results?
  • Would he be willing to give the press that photo-op — of Donald Trump vacating his seat of power?
  • Or, in Trump’s mind, would going through the traditional “transfer of power” rituals be a tacit admission of failure?

If he ever planned to play nice on Inauguration Day, I doubt he’s in the mood to greet any Democrats at this point. By next Wednesday, he will have spent two weeks being called a traitor and endured at least a partial impeachment trial.

Prediction:

My guess is that if he’s not impeached and convicted before January 20, President Trump will take off for Florida before or during Joe Biden’s inauguration.

Remember, his comment informing the public that he would not be attending Biden’s Inauguration Day festivities was one of the two tweets Twitter accused of breaking their “Glorification of Violence” policy in justifying Trump’s permanent ban.

If he’s not willing to attend the inauguration, I cannot imagine him doing the White House handoff a few hours later.

Would Democrats Allow Joe Biden to Greet Trump?

Even if Trump were willing to meet Joe Biden on the White House’s steps to facilitate the transition, would Democrats accept their president-elect behaving amicably towards the man they’re accusing of trying to launch a coup against the United States?

The Democrats and their allies in Big Tech are out for blood right now; would they accept such a gesture? It seems that anyone expressing an opinion short of condemning Donald Trump as a traitor deserving of prison time is being held equally accountable for the violence at the Capitol.

No matter how brief, a sign of cooperation might humanize the political opposition in ways the DNC finds counter-productive to their political goals currently.

They want to milk this crisis for everything it’s worth, which could be harmed by their president-elect sharing a polite interaction with the great insurrectionist on camera.

Not that I think Joe Biden will ever be asked to make that decision. With everything going on in politics at the moment, there’s no way President Trump greets the incoming First Family at the White House next week.

Everything was already too contentious before the riot at the Capitol; now, Donald Trump is persona non grata.

Despite the lopsided betting odds, I must strongly suggest picking “No” at –400 moneyline.
Will Trump Greet Biden at WH on 1/20?
No
-400

Will Donald Trump and Joe Biden Shake Hands on Jan 20, 2021?

MyBookie’s second Donald Trump prop dealing with the transfer of power on January 20 asks whether Donald Trump and Joe Biden will shake hands.

Obviously, for “Yes” at +300 to win, the previous betting line concerning the outgoing President greeting the president-elect would also have to resolve as “Yes.”

So, let’s say we live in the bizarro world, where Trump agrees to participate in the White House photo-op and graciously greets Joe Biden at the door – would they go a step further and shake hands? They didn’t at either debate, and the two men haven’t been reported in the same location since.

Will Trump and Biden Shake Hands?

  • Matchup Odds
  • Yes+300
  • No-500

COVID Considerations

Beyond the fact that Donald Trump has zero interest in being a good sport about losing, I don’t think the two presidents would shake hands even under the most favorable conditions.

If nothing else, it would be seen as dangerous messaging in the middle of a pandemic. Americans aren’t supposed to make physical contact in ways that could potentially spread infection.

At most, Trump and Biden would engage in a fist or elbow bump – and that doesn’t count as shaking hands!

Again, I am recommending readers to bet “No” at –500.
Will Trump and Biden Shake Hands?
No
-500

Two Easy “No” Bets

Despite the ridiculously short betting odds, I believe there’s money to be made on MyBookie’s Donald Trump props covered on this page. Sure, you’re laying $400-500 to win $100, but there’s almost no chance of losing!

Come on, in what world is Donald Trump ever seeing Joe Biden again in person?

The outgoing President has a million grievances to air:
  • The media questioned the integrity of the 2016 election for all four years Trump was in office. Nobody considered it some unforgivable offense or reason to ban them from every social media platform known to man.
  • Democrats also encouraged hundreds of demonstrations last year, many of which turned violent and resulted in deaths. Again, nobody was accused of “inciting insurrection.”
  • Then there was the way the media covered up the Hunter Biden laptop story ahead of Election Day in a blatant display of bias.

I’m not arguing that those acts should have been punished, nor am I arguing that they’re exactly the same. Only that from Trump’s perspective, there’s an obvious double standard.

And for a guy whose ego won’t let him accept losing, that’s a tough pill to swallow.

Right or wrong, we can be confident in Donald Trump’s disdain for Democrats and the political elite by now. He will never participate in any events or rituals that could be interpreted as legitimizing the 2020 presidential election results.

So, if you have an extra $900 lying around, you might as well turn it into $1,100 with little-to-no risk of losing! Because there’s a higher probability of Mitch McConnell winning the GQ award for “best chin” than Donald Trump greeting Joe Biden at the White House on January 20 – much less shaking his hand.
Will Cormier / Author

Will Cormier is a sports and political betting writer living in downtown Las Vegas, Nevada. When he’s not wandering around the streets of the Arts District aimlessly, a lifetime of pessimism and paranoia has made Will perfectly suited for handicapping politics. Cormier tries to analyze current events as objectively as possible – a strategy that often enrages loyalists on both the right and the left. When he’s not covering major upcoming elections, Will enjoys writing about basketball, football, and MMA from a betting perspective. He also loves dogs, ice cream sundaes, the movie “Stomp the Yard,” and long walks on the beach.