Our betting pick and preview for UAE Warriors 29 considers all eleven bouts and their money lines. There are no prop bets for UAE Warriors 29, so each pick is a synopsis of the fighter’s stats and fight tape history. Place your bets before 10:00 AM ET March 27th, 2022 to get in on the action in Abu Dhabi, UAE.
Betting Predictions and Odds for UAE Warriors 29: Arabia
We’ve assembled all eleven betting picks below. You can scroll through each fight to see how confident we are in each pick, where the top parlay bets are, and get a look at the evidence for each pick yourself.
- Mohammad Yahya -400
- Ali AlQaisi -300
- Abdulla Al Bousheiri -270
- Hamza Bougamza +140
- Abdulla Aldabal -400
- Adel Ibrahim -500
- Fadi Al Wakeil -110
- Faris Asha -350
- Hassna Gaber +220
- Hussaini vs BelKilani has been scratched from the card
- Bouarsa vs Abzakh has been scratched from the card
- Falastini vs Eilas has been scratched from the card
UAE Warriors 29 Main Event: Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Yahya vs Jaghdal
| Fighter | Mohammad Yahya | Mohamed El Jaghdal |
| Money Line | -400 | +300 |
| Record | 10-3 | 7-4 |
| Submissions/TKO | 1/6 | 1/3 |
This bout is for the UAE Warriors lightweight belt. Yahya is primarily a kickboxer, and his two recent losses have been via RNC. He does have one submission win, but it’s clear he would rather exchange on the feet. Jaghdal has a better ground game, and focuses mainly on ground strikes as his path to victory. He’s been knocked out several times, as well as caught with guillotines on his way into the double leg or cage takedown. The finishing percentages are similar, and given that Yahya has been submitted and knocked out, this isn’t a fight I’d parlay. I’m still fairly confident he’ll win the fight. He’s been up against quality competition, losing to the 9-1 Bellator fighter Gavin Hughes. The competition for Jaghdal has been lower overall, losing to locals and losing record fighters in the UAE.
Mohammad Yahya defends lightweight title in UAE Warriors 29: Arabia main event (via @Farah_Hannoun) https://t.co/rwr4DZ1mFW
— MMA Junkie (@MMAJunkie) March 15, 2022
More on Yahya. He’s a shoe in for high level shows in the future, looking long term at UFC or Eagle FC.
Our UAE Warriors Betting pick is Mohammad Yahya at -400.
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Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Najid vs Bousheiri
| Fighter | Yassin Najid | Abdulla Al Bousheiri |
| Money Line | +210 | -270 |
| Record | 9-3 | 8-3 |
| Submissions/TKO | 5/0 | 2/6 |
Najid is a bit one dimensional, as for a fighter that doesn’t have access to the highest levels of MMA submission training, this isn’t a great idea. Bousheiri has only lost via knockout or decision, and while I believe he can be submitted, I don’t think Najid has the kind of aggressive ground game it would take to do it.
A bet for Najid assumes he’s ready for Bousheiris level of aggression, and the reason he lost his bout with Omar Hussein is because he couldn’t manage technical forward movement. Our betting pick is Abdulla Al Bousheiri at -270.
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Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Salem vs Bougamza
| Fighter | Hussein Salem | Hamza Bougamza |
| Money Line | -170 | +140 |
| Record | 7-4 | 3-3 |
| Submissions/TKO | 4/2 | 0/1 |
Salem has the far better finishing percentage, but many of his recent opponents were debuting fighters. Salem has been active since 2014, two years longer than Bougamza. Bougamza has fought tougher fighters overall, losing to quality grapplers.
It’s clear that Salem has a grappling advantage, and your UAE Warriors 29 prediction should account for which fighters have the right training environment to improve. Bougamza’s gym, Allstars Training Center, is home to Gustafsson and other high level UFC pros. I believe Bougamza has the right coaching to make the improvements necessary for a win. Our betting pick is Hamza Bougamza at +140.
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Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Aldabal vs Saad
| Fighter | Abdulla Aldabal | Walid Saad |
| Money Line | -400 | +300 |
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Submissions/TKO | 1/0 | 0/0 |
Aldabal won his first fight via first round submission in under three minutes. Saad quit via verbal submission in his first fight in 2015. We tried to find recent training footage of Saad, but couldn’t find much. His gym, Balance TC, isn’t producing any other quality fighters. Our betting pick is Abdulla Aldabal at -400.
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Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Asha vs Massoud
| Fighter | Faris Khaleel Asha | Phillippe Massoud |
| Money Line | -350 | +275 |
| Record | 3-0 | 2-2 |
| Submissions/TKO | 1/1 | 2/0 |
Massoud is a good grappler who has only lost to better grapplers. He also fought at an MMA reality show, winning way back in 2014. Asha was 2-1 as an amauter starting in 2014. He’s an undefeated pro and probably the best fighter at his gym. They have a full time BJJ coach, which is a great boon against a submission fighter like Massoud. Knockout academy, Massoud’s gym has few coaches and he is one of them.
Our betting pick goes to Faris Asha at -350 for a fighter with more support and the momentum coming into this fight.
Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Sengul vs Gaber
| Fighter | Sabriye Sengul | Hassna Gaber |
| Money Line | -280 | +220 |
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Submissions/TKO | 1/0 | 1/1 |
Gaber has one submission loss from a debuting fighter, an undefeated amatuer out of London Fight Factory. Sengul’s losses include a submission loss to 3-2 Kielholtz at Bellator and a recent loss to a Greek kickboxing champion.
In my opinion this is one of the more competitive bouts on the card. I’ll bet Hassna Gaber at +220, but bet lightly and keep away from a parlay ticket on this one.
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Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Wakeil vs Farah
| Fighter | Fadi Al Wakeil | Adbi Farah |
| Money Line | -110 | -120 |
| Record | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Submissions/TKO | Debut | 0/1 |
Farah has struggled in his last few fights. He lost via submission in his last bout to a debuting fighter in 2021. His only win as a professional is due to his opponent breaking his hand, forcing him to retire in between rounds. The odds that Wakeil can win are high.
We don’t have much information on Wakeil, other than a lifelong background in traditional martial arts. He’s currently training at an MMA school in Syria.
Our betting pick is Fadi Al Wakeil at -110.
Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for Ibrahim vs Maroufi
| Fighter | Adel Ibrahim | Reda Maroufi |
| Money Line | -500 | +375 |
| Record | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Submissions/TKO | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Ibrahim has amatuer experience, a fight win via head kick in 2019. His three fight winning streak has been under Tristar Lebanon where he has been training since 2017. This is one of the top MMA schools in the middle east. Maroufi has no history of training or fighting, no amatuer bouts and fights out of Morocco where there are virtually no high level MMA schools.
Our betting pick is Adel Ibrahim at -500. This is a fight I will parlay and one of my most confident picks of the card.
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Stats, Betting Odds and Prediction for AlQaisi vs Faress
| Fighter | Ali AlQaisi | Ahmed Faress |
| Money Line | -300 | +240 |
| Record | 11-5 | 16-4 |
| Submissions/TKO | 5/2 | 13/3 |
This last minute replacement co main event pits two featherweights in a five round contest for the 145 pound UAE Warriors Title. AlQaisi has fought at the UFC level, losing twice in a row before being cut. He was popular in Brave CF in 2018-2019, and is back on a three fight winning streak over quality fighters like 16-8 Andrew Whitney.
Faress shouldn’t be underestimated. He’s never won a decision and does occasionally get overpowered, but his kickboxing is on point and his submission game is one of the best in the UAE. Faress is king of the undercard at UAE Warriors. He’s a gatekeeper between the highest and lowest levels. He’s coming off a split decision loss to Edward Kelly at ONE FC, a mid level 38 year old with good kickboxing.
I expect Ali AlQaisi to win with better grappling and an understanding of how to fight under the pressure of a big show. Our betting pick is Ali AlQaisi at -300.
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UAE Warriors 29 Odds Wrap Up
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