UFC Fight Night 160 from Denmark: Betting Odds, Pick and Predictions

UFC Fight Night Logo - Jack Hermansson and Jared Cannonier

Hej!

That’s hello in Danish. I’ve never even been to Europe but Copenhagen just seems like a cool place to visit.

Maybe, it’s because you never really hear about it as a major tourist destination in the Union, especially compared to countries like France, Italy, or Germany.

Denmark is literally a bridge between the Nordic countries of Sweden, Norway, and Finland and the remainder of the continent.

I don’t know if I’m ready to go full Viking just yet. Denmark seems like a good place to get my boots wet.

This is the first time for the UFC as well.

We have several Danish fighters fighting on the card.

A veteran always looking for the finish, Gunnar Nelson, flies in from Reyjavik, Iceland to compete.

The main event features a couple of present/future stars in America’s Jared Cannonier and the Viking Swede Jack Hermansson.

This is a very interesting matchup!

Hermansson is a prototype. He is very long as well as strong, and his primary game is predicated upon sound striking, solid wrestling, and finishing his opponents on the mat.

Jack is taking a 5-fight win streak into Saturday night while his opponent, the Alaskan native Jared Cannonier is coming off of the biggest win of his career against the GOAT.

Yes, despite his recent shortcomings as a 40-something, Anderson Silva went 17-0 with 15 finishes during his “fighting prime” from the ages of 31 through 38.

Do I think Jon Jones will retire as the GOAT?

Yes. He just doesn’t have the same resume right now.

Rant over.

More on the main event in a few.

A close friend of Anderson Silva and current Thailander Khalil Rountree Jr is fighting this weekend as well. He will be up against a game Moldovan in Ion Cutelaba.

Local boy Nicholas Darby will be excited to compete in his home country but Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira plans to lasso those emotions to the mat.

One fight you don’t want to miss is Marc Diakese versus Lando Vanatta. These are two of the top ten most dynamic and creative strikers in the entire UFC.

This is “low key” one of the best cards we have seen in months.

Before we get to the betting odds, picks, and predictions for UFC Denmark, let’s do a quick recap of last week UFC Fight Night 159.

UFC Mexico City Betting Review

Paul Craig got us off to a great start with a decisive victory over Vinicius Moriera. The Brazilian is not very good and he didn’t show a ton of heart either.

We were dead on here as it played out on the feet and Craig proved to be the better striker of the two submission artists.

Then, we were on to Martin Bravo versus Stephen Peterson. I thought the forward style of striking and competent wrestling of the American would be enough to stifle the Mexican fighter’s attacks.

Well, I was wrong. Bravo was out striking him as well as taking him down. It appeared Martin was on his way to a dominant victory.

A fight is still a fight, though. Peterson showed his heart in there and caught his opponent with a spinning back fist that slept Martin Bravo immediately.

As we would say in the military “One shot, one kill.”

Have a look here.

It wasn’t actually a back fist as he caught him with the unpadded ulnar bone. You can tell by the sound as well because it was more of a crack than a smack.

Throwing it like that is risky because if you catch the top of the head, you’ll be the one who gets cracked.

Maybe the craziest part about the knockout is that Bravo was throwing the same technique. He just started his a split second earlier. It happened so fast, though, that it doesn’t appear Peterson was consciously countering him but he is a professional, so you have to give him credit.

We caught a break but our luck was short-lived.

Next, was Carla Esparza versus Mexican fighter Alexa Grasso.

Carla won a majority decision. It was an excellent display of skills from both women. I thought Grasso should have got the W because even if she was taken down, she was attempting submissions while Carla wasn’t even posturing up to land hard strikes or trying to pass the guard.

Tough break but a great fight. I would love to see them run it back.

Speaking of tough breaks, the main event was a mess.

Please Note:

We had Jeremy Stephens to beat Yair Rodriguez and 15 seconds into the fight, Yair accidentally raked his opponent in the eye. Referee Herb Dean waited as long as he could but the fight was eventually ruled a no contest.

Many of the fans in Mexico City then showed zero respect by raining down beer, food, and apparently peso coins as well. I don’t believe anyone was injured but announcers were hiding under their desks for safety.

Later, Yair said that Stephens was a punk and would have to live with the fact that he quit for the rest of his life.

I’m a fan of “Pantera” but he lost some points with me for saying that. Luckily, the rematch has already been announced for mid-October.

I heard even Esparza had a beer dumped on her as she made her way to the locker room.

It was a great show but sadly overshadowed by the fans’ actions towards the away team.

Hopefully, the Danes show more class and respect this weekend in Copenhagen.

BetOnline’s sportsbook has the odds for us.

Let’s pick’em!

Marc Diakiese (-152) vs Lando Vannata (+132)

Move over Lincoln Riley.

Both of these fighters are offensive masterminds!

Lando is coming in as the more experienced competitor while Marc will have the edge in athleticism.

The speed advantage goes to Diakiese and that’s probably been the case for him every time he’s stepped into a cage or ring.

I’m pretty sure he has broken the sound barrier a time or two in his career.

The line on this fight is fairly accurate, in my opinion.

I might have it a little bit closer but not much.

Diakiese will have the reach advantage as well. The one thing I’m worried about is his gas tank. Because he is so fast, it’s impossible that he can high a high level of endurance.

The muscle in your body is made up of fast-twitch and slow-twitch muscle fibers. The fast-twitch muscles are involved in explosive movements like jumping, kicking, and punching.

The slow-twitch fibers are for pulling, pushing, squeezing, etc.

Everyone has their own genetic base but the percentages can be adjusted somewhat depending on how you train.

Look at the Diaz brothers, for example. They do triathlons. So, it only makes sense that their striking or boxing style is based on volume and not power.

Conor McGregor-built for speed.

Marc isn’t much different in that regard. Maybe the fighter from the Republic of Congo is at 80/20 for fast and slow twitch.

I would put Lando around 60/40.

Vannata has good takedowns and coming out of Jackson/Wink MMA, one of the #1 game-planning gyms in the world, I can foresee him attempting to make this fight a grind.

Lando wants to utilize his slow-twitch advantage to fatigue the strength of his opponent.

Even if he isn’t able to get the fight to the mat, he can likely slow Marc down to a manageable speed.

We have seen this game plan work on Diakiese in the past but he was still a little green.

As creative of a striker as Vannata is, his game is almost all offense as he absorbs over 5 significant strikes per minute according to UFC.com.

Reach + speed + bad defense = Long night for Lando.

It’s going to be a fun one, though, team, so make sure you don’t miss it!

The Bet
Diakiese to Win
-152

Alex Oliveira (-142) vs Nicolas Dalby (+122)

We’ve got one of the OG’s of Danish MMA coming in as an underdog to a Brazilian “Cowboy”.

Oliveira comes from the same Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu lineage as me so I always end up pulling for the guy.

He is without a doubt a fighter’s fighter who brings the HEAT every single time he steps into the Octagon.

Remember Thiago Santos? The guy who nearly beat Jon Jones on one leg.

Well, “Cowboy” is his welterweight doppelganger.

He comes out six-shooters blazing every fight but tends to fade late.

Dalby should have a toughness and endurance advantage. The longer the fight goes, the more I would lean towards Nicolas.

The #1 issue with Nicolas is he has pillow fists. Sorry bud, but it’s true.

Oliviera has the athleticism advantage so I don’t think he’s overly concerned with being taken down by the Dane.

That will lead to him forcing the less powerful man to trade punches with him. If Dalby can’t obtain and maintain the clinch to stifle that strategy, I think he will get dropped and likely pounded out.

The Bet
Oliviera to Win
-142

Khalil Rountree Jr (-120) vs Ion Cutelaba (+100)

My boy is famous now!

After his appearance on the Joe Rogan Podcast, Rountree’s star power has skyrocketed. 7 million people saw this podcast on YouTube and many more downloaded it.

I trained with Khalil for years and he is just a special kind of person. He is a pantomath. Forgive me for butchering this definition but it means someone who wants to be great and actually is at nearly everything they do.

He can pick up any musical instrument and teach himself. He would set up a slackline in the gym or if we went camping, he would do the same.

I don’t know if you guys have ever tried slacklining but it’s not easy.

He is well-read and ever since he came to Thailand, Khalil has been learning about the Buddhist culture and their principles of acceptance and detachment.

I have done the same but to a lesser extent but it has helped me as a person tremendously.

All suffering comes from attachment. Okay, this isn’t a sermon so I’ll get to the fight.

Ion wants to take Khalil down and Rountree wants to take the Moldovan’s head off.

Both of them have losses four fights ago against similar opponents. Ion dropped a decision to Jared Cannonier and Khalil lost a decision as well to Michal Olekjieczuk. Coincidentally, both men are fighting on this card as well.

Khalil is down at Tiger Muay Thai in Phuket and that team is on fire!

Phuket is overrun with Russians and Dagestanies at this point and many of them are putting in work at Tiger. I’m sure Khalil has used “The Way” to shore up his takedown defense.

Once he stuffs an attempt or two from Ion, it will be time to go to school.

The Bet
Rountree to Win
-120

Jack Hermansson (-260) vs Jared Cannonier (+220)

Jack “The Joker” Hermansson resides from Sweden but trains out of Oslo, Norway so he will undoubtedly have the home cage advantage against the American Jared Cannonier.

Not unlike the last fight we broke down, this contest is a striker versus grappler matchup. I think, though, that while he may not have the same power, Jack is just as skilled on his feet as Jared.

Cannonier has looked great since dropping down to middleweight, and it appears he only shrunk some fat cells while maintaining the power in his hands.

Jack showed that his takedown game matches his submission prowess, a pairing that fails many high-level Jiu Jitsu players in MMA.

He took down Jacare Souza multiple times in his previous fight and “survived” five rounds; by survived I mean dominated the world-class Brazilian at his own game.

Looking at Hermansson’s Statistics:

I see he only absorbs 1.77 strikes per 15 minutes inside the Octagon. A big part of that is him being on top on the ground but almost everybody on the roster is at 2 or more.

He’s not a turtle, though, who just hides in his shell. He lands nearly 5 per minute which is very good as well.

The arm reach matches up but it will be hard for Jared to use his strong leg kicking game giving up 5 inches on the bottom half.

I think Jack gets the sub in round three.

I also like the over bet in this fight as a bonus. It’s set at (-155) for just 1.5 rounds.

Let’s hit both!

The Bets
Hermansson to Win
-260
Over 1.5 Rounds
-155

In Conclusion

Copenhagen, Denmark!

The world tour continues!

Last week, we were in Mexico City and next week is UFC 243 from “Melbin”, Australia.

MMA is still the fastest growing sport in the world and I expect fighting to hold that title for possibly ever.

I don’t remember half the school rushing down the hallways to catch that badminton match or putting contest going on in the science wing.

Everybody loves a good fight, and there will be plenty this Saturday night in Denmark!

We are going with Khalil, Jack, Cowboy, and Diakiese.

Don’t miss the under or main card. Every fight is going to be lit!

Mike Pruitt / Author

Mike has been covering sports professionally since 2017 but on the amateur scene for 25 years since when he was 12. Before the internet changed the world, he would keep detailed statistical box scores of NFL and NBA contests, write recaps, and voluntarily commentate games and fights alone in his room. Mike's military experience, Bachelors Degree, and employment thereafter were always rooted in engineering, science, and teaching. Now he enjoys being able to express himself through writing about football, golf, and car racing among other sports but most of all fighting as his life has been rooted in mixed martial arts including competing and teaching for the past 15 years.