New odds for the 2020 United States presidential election have been released, and Republicans should be happy to know that President Donald J. Trump is even more of a heavy favorite than he already was.
When the last odds were released, Trump was placed with +175 odds to win the election. With the new set of numbers, the president is now at +120. You can go ahead and blame Trump’s innocence in the Mueller Report for that. It’s amazing though: You see the relentless attacks from the media, Democratic Party and, simply put, the firestorm that surrounds Trump, and it hasn’t effected him being a favorite in the polls or odds whatsoever, and a heavy favorite at that. Whether you love or hate the president, you have to find it impressive.
Another thing of interest from the new odds is Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden. Now that his campaign is official and underway, Joe Biden is sitting pretty in second with +400 — though Bernie Sanders isn’t far behind at +700. But here’s the problem for Sanders: Biden has a 32-point lead over Sanders, this according to a new poll. The former vice president now owns the spot that has been rotated between Sanders, Kamala Harris, and Beto O’Rourke. Here’s the problem for Biden though: Even though he has a huge lead in the polls right now, can he sustain that lead throughout the whole primaries? He certainly has the popularity of being the former VP of Barack Obama to help him with the Democratic base, but it’s still not set in stone that Biden can seal the deal as far as victory is concerned. Time will tell.
An update from another candidate that we should get to is Beto O’Rourke. It seems to be the former Representative out of Texas’ star is fading, he doesn’t have the attention from the press that he once had — especially with Joe Biden now being in the race. This should also show you his star fade: He’s shot up from +600 odds to +2500, not good to say the least.
Another star that is fading is Kamala Harris. Originally, Harris was making a wave, grabbing the support of multiple Hollywood celebrities, including Ellen DeGeneres, who is pushing hard for Harris to become the first President of the United States. However, I wouldn’t bet on it. As the field for the Democratic nomination gets more crowded, the less time the media pays attention to her. Harris stands at +1100.
An up-and-comer on the Democratic trail is entrepreneur Andrew Yang. In the odds provided by the best entertainment betting sites, he’s shot up to +2000 after his appearance on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast. Since then, he has sustained his push for a rising star with his promises of universal basic income. The problem for Yang, however, it can’t seem to break the +2000 threshold, and the media isn’t helping with their lack of exposure either. Like O’Rourke and Harris, this star may soon fade.
FAVORITES TO WIN 2020 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
DONALD TRUMP | CURRENT ODDS: +120
- 45th President of the United States (2017-Present)
- CEO and Chairman, The Trump Organization (1971-2017)
- The Wharton School (BS)
- Wounded Warrior Project Award
- Friends of Zion Award
- Financial Times Person of the Year
- Time Person of the Year
- Marine Corps-Law Enforcement Foundation Commandant’s Leadership Award
- The Algemeiner Liberty Award
- Presidential Hero Award
- Muhammad Ali Entrepreneur Award
- President’s Medal
- Humanitarian Award
***there are many more awards than listed that Trump has won***
President Trump has brought in a roaring (and historic) economy ever since he has taken office, and not just that, but he’s also decreased tension across the world stabilizing relationships with China and North Korea, and also fighting radical Islam. And here’s a big tidbit when you look at the numbers: He is more popular than when President Obama was at this point in his presidency. Obama was able to get elected with those numbers and Obamacare alone. Trump has done massively more, and could be headed towards landslide mode as we near 2020.
JOE BIDEN | CURRENT ODDS: +400
- 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017)
- United States Senator from Delaware (1973-2009)
- Chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee (2007-2009, 2001-2003)
- Chair of the International Narcotic Control Caucus (2007-2009)
- Chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee (1987-1995)
- Member of the New Castle County Council (1970-1972)
- University of Delaware (BA)
- Syracuse University (JD)
- Hilal-i-Pakistan (2008)
- Gold Medal of Freedom (2009)
- Presidential Medal of Freedom with Distinction (2017)
Joe Biden has made his run for the 2020 presidential election official, and has started out the gate hot — he currently has a 32-point lead over Bernie Sanders to be the nominee for the Democrats. But the question is: Can his lead stand? He would take some heat recently after it was reported that Biden’s son, Hunter, received over $1 billion from a Chinese firm, and Biden and his son also have some shady ties to Ukraine for something similar. And not just that: Biden is also being attacked by progressive groups. So the question is: Can his lead hold over time?
BERNIE SANDERS | CURRENT ODDS: +700
- United States Senator from Vermont (2007-Present)
- Ranking Member of the Senate Budget Committee (2015-Present)
- Chair of the Senate Veterans’ Affairs Committee (2013-2015)
- Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Vermont’s at large district (1991-2007)
- 37th Mayor of Burlington, Vermont (1981-1989)
- Brooklyn College
- University of Chicago (BA)
If it wasn’t for ‘Crazy Uncle’ Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders would probably have a significant lead in the Democratic primaries right now — he currently sits behind Biden by 32 points, according to polling. So that’s where Sanders will need to use his resources, and he’s got plenty to use. In the first six weeks of his campaign, Sanders was able to raise $18 million. Money is certainly not the problem for the self-proclaimed socialist, but that’s the problem, he’s a ‘socialist’. According to polls, Americans just aren’t accepting it. That will be a big hurdle to jump, for sure.
PETE BUTTIGIEG | CURRENT ODDS: +1200
- 32nd Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012-Present)
- Lieutenant, United States Navy Reserve (Fought in War in Afghanistan) (2009-2017)
- Harvard University (BA)
- Pembroke College, Oxford (MA)
The New Republic had a perfect headline to describe the current state of Pete Buttigieg’s presidential campaign: ‘Pete Buttigieg’s Honeymoon Is Over’ .. Why is that? This is due to being hit with sexual assault allegations here early in the 2020 campaign, but fortunately for Buttigieg, they turned out to be false. But the question is: How much damage was done from people who took the news and still believe it? We’ll see if that plays a factor. Another problem for Buttigieg is that he’ll have to figure out how to beat out Biden for Hollywood cash as well.
KAMALA HARRIS | CURRENT ODDS: +1100
- United States Senator from California (2017-Present)
- 32nd Attorney General of California (2011-2017)
- 27th District Attorney of San Francisco (2004-2011)
- Howard University (BA)
- University of California, Hastings (JD)
Kamala Harris is doing amazing in fundraising when it comes to communities of color, and she’s earning money from all over the country including: San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Houston, Miami, Cleveland, and Washington D.C. She has doubled her Democratic competition in these communities, and that’s probably why you see her playing identical politics to a T. She recently came out and criticized the media for allegedly favoring white males for 2020. It seems to be Harris’ card will be mainly the minority vote, which may not work in a general election.
BETO O’ROURKE | CURRENT ODDS: +2500
- Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Texas’s 16th district (2013-2019)
- Mayor pro tempore of El Paso, Texas (2005-2006)
- Member of the El Paso City Council from the 8th district (2005-2011)
- Columbia University (BA)
President Trump said it best: “Boy, has he fallen like a rock.” .. My sentiments exactly. Not only has he dropped in polling and in the odds, but he’s also lost his limelight with the media. And not just that, but he’s shooting his own self in the foot: Despite President Trump being proven to have “no collusion” with Russia after the Mueller report was released, O’Rourke is still calling for the impeachment of the president. Probably not the best thing to do, especially considering most Americans believe that it’s nothing more than a political witch hunt.
ANDREW YANG | CURRENT ODDS: +2000
- Founder and CEO of Venture for America (2011-2017)
- CEO and President of Manhattan Prep (2006-2012)
- Vice President at MMF Systems (2001-2005)
- Founder and CEO at Stargiving.com (2000-2001)
- Corporate Attorney at Davis Polk & Wardwell (1999-2000)
- Brown University (BA)
- Columbia University (JD)
- White House Champion of Change (2012)
- Presidential Ambassador of Global Entrepreneurship (2015)
Andrew Yang has picked up some steam with Democrats after the push for his “Freedom Dividend,” an economic plan that would give every American adult a free $1,000/month — no strings attached. However, it looks like that same plan could be getting him in trouble now. Yang is currently under heat for giving a New Hampshire man a free $1,000/month and has done so for four months to show how the plan will effectively work. However, it looks like that he hasn’t disclosed any of this on his campaign finance reports. The beginning of the end?
ELIZABETH WARREN | CURRENT ODDS: +2000
- United States Senator from Massachusetts (2013-)
- Vice Chair of the Senate Democratic Caucus (2017-)
- Special Advisor for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (2010-2011)
- Chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel (2008-2010)
- George Washington University
- University of Houston (BS)
- Rutgers Law School (JD)
I knew this would eventually become a campaign issue for Elizabeth Warren, and it’s already starting to show itself: According to a new poll, Warren’s handling of her DNA results is hurting her. But there’s a bright spot for Warren in that poll: It’s only hurting her favorability, but not her actual chances to win the election — one-fifth of Democratic voters say they have a less favorable view of her. But if Warren can continue her push for ‘eat-the-rich’ policies, she may be able to make waves. Besides Bernie, Warren is doing the best job with the middle class.
AMY KLOBUCHAR | CURRENT ODDS: +5000
- United States Senator from Minnesota (2007-)
- Ranking Member of the Senate Rules Committee (2017-)
- County Attorney of Hennepin County (1999-2007)
- Yale University (BA)
- University of Chicago (JD)
Amy Klobuchar would recently hold a town hall on FOX News, and I can honestly say, I wasn’t impressed at all. There was no charisma, she was boring, it was hard for her to keep my attention, and she kept making the crowd clap at awkward times. In her defense, I did hear a few political commentators show her some love, but I wouldn’t expect much of an increase for Klobuchar in both polling and the odds. Like I previously mentioned, she just doesn’t have the charisma. And there’s too much identity politics there with the “first woman” label — won’t work.
TULSI GABBARD | CURRENT ODDS: +3300
- Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Hawaii’s 2nd district (2013-)
- Member of the Honolulu City Council from the 6th district (2011-2012)
- Member of the Hawaii House of Representatives from the 42nd district (2002-2004)
- Major of the United States Army and Hawaii Army National Guard (Fought in Iraq War) (2003-)
- Hawaii Pacific University (BSBA)
- Meritorious Service Medal
- Army Commendation Medal
- Army Achievement Medal
Tulsi Gabbard is my favorite candidate out of all of the 2020 Democrats. She’s beautiful, she has charisma, she comes out of the gorgeous state of Hawaii, she has previous military experience, and she’ll go outside of party lines if she has to. It’s quite admirable, and she’s certainly a solid long shot to win the nomination and make a push for the first woman to be POTUS — I’m just concerned about her being a Hindu and how it will do with religious voters.
REST OF THE PACK
- Cory Booker | Current Odds: +5500
- Mike Pence | Current Odds: +6600
- Nikki Haley | Current Odds: +6600
- John Hickenlooper | Current Odds: +10000
- John Kasich | Current Odds: +10000
- Julian Castro | Current Odds: +10000
- Howard Schultz | Current Odds: +10000
- Andrew Cuomo | Current Odds: +15000
- Ted Cruz | Current Odds: +15000