Devin Haney takes on Joseph Diaz for the WBC World Light Title, and in this boxing betting pick we look at the stats, odds, and fight performances to make our top betting pick for this title fight.
Haney is a strong favorite, but fans of Diaz see a decision win as inevitable.
Haney’s power and hand speed make him one of the most revered lightweights ever, and he’s looking past Diaz and on to Kambosos stating, “That’s the type of fight we will travel for. When it’s undisputed, for all the belts,he has the majority of them. If I have to go on the road, then I will.” You can’t deny this skill, but is Haney looking past Diaz too soon?
— World Boxing Council (@WBCBoxing) December 1, 2021
Our Boxing Betting Pick for Haney vs Diaz
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With Haney’s decision wins over his toughest opponents and Diaz’s willingness to tie up and fight gritty with the best boxers, we expect a long fight. Neither fighter has been finished, and the Over pays better than decision props or Haney money lines by a long shot.
Where to Watch the Fight
Haney vs Diaz takes place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. It’s a twelve round bout scheduled for December 4th, 2021 and you can watch it on DAZN Pay-per-view.
Tale of the Tape for Haney vs Diaz
|Knockouts||15, 57%||15, 44%|
|Inactivity||189 days||148 days|
|Boxing Coach||Ben Davidson, Haney Sr.||Joe Diaz Sr.|
Diaz is older and taller but gives up seven inches of reach to the champion. Haney’s knockout percentage is 13% higher, scoring equal finishes in eight fewer fights.
Both fighters are coached by their fathers, but earlier this year Haney began releasing footage of cross training with Ben Davidson.
Betting Odds and Props Availablefor Haney vs Diaz
Here’s a table of the most likely outcomes for the Haney vs Diaz fight. There are all kinds of rounds and methods of victory calls at Betus.com, but we’ve narrowed it down to the easiest bets to analyze.
|Betting Prop or Pick||Odds Available at betus.com|
|Diaz Money Line||+550|
|Haney Money Line||-900|
|Diaz by KO, TKO or DQ||+1200|
|Haney by KO, TKO or DQ||+330|
|Diaz by Decision or Tech Decision||+700|
|Haney by Decision or Tech Decision||-225|
|Fight Goes the Distance||Yes -400 No +275|
|Over 10 ½ Rounds||-365|
|Under 10 ½ Rounds||+265|
As you can see, Haney is favored in all categories. Haney via decision is a fantastic payout, though a knockout feels likely.
Knockout and Under Betting Picks
Haney hasn’t knocked out any of his last three opponents, and only finished two of his last seven. As Haney climbs the ranks, it’s clear he doesn’t have the stopping power to finish the best fighters in the division.
Diaz has never been knocked out, and finished only one of his last seven opponents.These fighters included some that critics felt he should have finished, such as 18-5 Jesus Curadro.
With neither fighter finishing consistently at high levels, I can’t see an early fight feeling confident enough to beat the under 10 ½ Rounds prop.
Decision Wins and Over Props
Haney by points is the right pick for most bettors who have faith in Haney’s boxing. However, Diaz shouldn’t be underestimated. Diaz has a real chance to take this fight.
Betting the Over covers you for late round knockouts, and pays out on a decision, so if you’re thinking of betting the “fight goes the distance” prop, you may as well bet the Over 10 ½ Rounds prop, get paid more, and cover more fight outcomes.
Devin Haney vs Joseph Diaz Wrap up
While Haney is the reigning champ, he’s still mostly untested. Diaz has defeated the same number of undefeated boxers, both fighters show excellent boxing and hand speed, and Diaz has improved dramatically since his one loss. Haney is seven WBC Title defenses deep, and Diaz will be his most experienced test to date.
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