Devin Haney vs Joseph Diaz Boxing Betting Pick and Latest Odds

Devin Haney takes on Joseph Diaz for the WBC World Light Title, and in this boxing betting pick we look at the stats, odds, and fight performances to make our top betting pick for this title fight. 
Haney is a strong favorite, but fans of Diaz see a decision win as inevitable. 
Haney’s power and hand speed make him one of the most revered lightweights ever, and he’s looking past Diaz and on to Kambosos stating, “That’s the type of fight we will travel for. When it’s undisputed, for all the belts,he has the majority of them. If I have to go on the road, then I will.” You can’t deny this skill, but is Haney looking past Diaz too soon?

Our Boxing Betting Pick for Haney vs Diaz

With Haney’s decision wins over his toughest opponents and Diaz’s willingness to tie up and fight gritty with the best boxers, we expect a long fight. Neither fighter has been finished, and the Over pays better than decision props or Haney money lines by a long shot.

Where to Watch the Fight

Haney vs Diaz takes place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. It’s a twelve round bout scheduled for December 4th, 2021 and you can watch it on DAZN Pay-per-view. 

Tale of the Tape for Haney vs Diaz

Joseph Diaz
Age 23 29
Height 5’8’’ 5’6’’
Reach 71’’ 64”’
Total Fights 26 34
Record 26-0 32-1-1
Knockouts 15, 57% 15, 44%
Stance Orthodox  Southpaw
150 251
Inactivity  189 days  148 days
Weight class
Light Light
Boxing Coach Ben Davidson, Haney Sr.  Joe Diaz Sr. 

Diaz is older and taller but gives up seven inches of reach to the champion. Haney’s knockout percentage is 13% higher, scoring equal finishes in eight fewer fights.
Both fighters are coached by their fathers, but earlier this year Haney began releasing footage of cross training with Ben Davidson. 

Betting Odds and Props Availablefor Haney vs Diaz

Here’s a table of the most likely outcomes for the Haney vs Diaz fight. There are all kinds of rounds and methods of victory calls at, but we’ve narrowed it down to the easiest bets to analyze. 

Betting Prop or Pick Odds Available at
Diaz Money Line +550
Haney Money Line -900
Diaz by KO, TKO or DQ +1200
Haney by KO, TKO or DQ +330
Diaz by Decision or Tech Decision +700
Haney by Decision or Tech Decision -225
Fight Goes the Distance  Yes -400 No +275
Over 10 ½ Rounds  -365
Under 10 ½ Rounds  +265

As you can see, Haney is favored in all categories. Haney via decision is a fantastic payout, though a knockout feels likely. 

Knockout and Under Betting Picks

Haney hasn’t knocked out any of his last three opponents, and only finished two of his last seven. As Haney climbs the ranks, it’s clear he doesn’t have the stopping power to finish the best fighters in the division. 
Diaz has never been knocked out, and finished only one of his last seven opponents.These fighters included some that critics felt he should have finished, such as 18-5 Jesus Curadro. 
With neither fighter finishing consistently at high levels, I can’t see an early fight feeling confident enough to beat the under 10 ½ Rounds prop. 

Decision Wins and Over Props

Haney by points is the right pick for most bettors who have faith in Haney’s boxing. However, Diaz shouldn’t be underestimated. Diaz has a real chance to take this fight. 
Betting the Over covers you for late round knockouts, and pays out on a decision, so if you’re thinking of betting the “fight goes the distance” prop, you may as well bet the Over 10 ½ Rounds prop, get paid more, and cover more fight outcomes. 

Devin Haney vs Joseph Diaz Wrap up 

While Haney is the reigning champ, he’s still mostly untested. Diaz has defeated the same number of undefeated boxers, both fighters show excellent boxing and hand speed, and Diaz has improved dramatically since his one loss. Haney is seven WBC Title defenses deep, and Diaz will be his most experienced test to date.  
If you want to learn more about betting on boxing, check out this guide to money lines and props. If you like what we do here, drop your email and a comment below! 

Jacob Clark / Author

Jacob Clark had a 15 year career as a professional MMA fighter, coach, and Greg Jackson’s alum. Now, TikTok’s 12th most important BJJ influencer is bringing his sports and betting knowledge to you here at TheSportsGeek. He spends his time cooking vietnamese food and playing D&D with his family. You can meet him at jiu-jitsu open mats all over Indiana.

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