In this Boxing Betting pick, we are looking at the stats, fight history, latest odds, and fight analysis to make our most accurate predictions for the Gervonta Davis vs Isaac Cruz title bout. This fight is scheduled for twelve rounds in the lightweight division. Davis is a strong favorite, and Betus.com is offering some lucrative props and solid money lines.
Davis and Cruz have similar styles. This fight comes down to Davis’s ability to absorb more damage. Davis gets hit often, but his talent for absorbing the power shots of fighters while remaining un-phased can’t be overlooked. Check this clip from a couple fights past.
— ESPN Ringside (@ESPNRingside) December 2, 2021
Davis get’s caught in the midst of the exchange, but doesn’t acknowledge the blow. I think we’ll see these two clash for an early finish.
When and Where to Watch the Fight
This Sunday, December 5th at the Staples Center in Las Angeles, Gervonta Davis vs Isaac Cruz go head to head for the WBA World Lightweight Title. The Champion Gervonta is the reigning WBA champion and SuperFeather champion. Cruz has stepped up to take the fight after Rolando Romero was forced to step down. This twelve round fight is only available on Showtime Boxing.
Tale of the Tape for Davis vs Cruz
|Gervonta Davis||Isaac Cruz|
|Knockouts||24, 96%||15, 62%|
|Inactivity||162 days||169 days|
|Super Light, Light||Light|
|Boxing Coach||Calvin Ford||Issac Cruz Sr.|
Davis takes the height, reach, and experience advantage. He knocks out opponents 30% more often. Cruz is four years younger, and has fought slightly more rounds over the course of his professional career.
Fighter Trainer Comparison
Calvin Ford is a reformed criminal and boxing philanthropist. He’s spent the last twenty five years teaching at Upton Boxing Center in Baltimore, turning around the lives of young people and producing several successful boxers, but only one world champ in Davis.
Issac Cruz Sr. is Issac Cruz’s father, and his only coach. He comes from a four generation family of Mexican boxers.
On paper, Ford is only a slightly more decorated coach than Issac, but the cross training partners at Ford’s disposal are much more decorated and varied.
Money Lines and Props Available
Here are all available bets at Betus.com. While other props may be available on various betting sites, I’ve found these odds to reflect my fight prediction and offer a lucrative payout.
|Bet||Odds and Payout per Dollar Wager|
|Isaac Cruz Money Line||+750, $7.50|
|Gervonta Davis Money Line||-1600, $0.06|
|Over 6 ½ Rounds||-140, $0.71|
|Under 6 ½ Rounds||+110, $1.10|
Davis pays out at six cents per dollar, or $6 per hundred. It’s likely that you’ll need a parlay to make a reasonable amount.
Betting the Under
Davis has three knockouts inside his last five fights under the 6 ½ Round mark, and eight of his last eleven. With many boxers, he’ll ramp up. With Barrios, his last bout which went to a 12th round TKO, he landed only eight punches in the first four rounds.
Cruz fought to a decision four times in his past five fights. He tends to be more patient against better fighters. His first round TKO of Diego Magdaleno was unexpected, as the majority of his TKO’s come over losing record fighters. Just eight fights ago, Cruz was still facing fighters like Jose Chan, a 5-2-1 boxer from Mexico City.
It’s common for Davis to look for the early knockout against more aggressive fighters. The +110 payout is strong, and worth taking the risk on a fighter with a 96% knockout ratio.
Davis vs Cruz Style Comparison and Compubox Stats
Davis starts slow and finishes strong, allowing for feel out periods that can last multiple rounds. Against Santa-Cruz, Davis gave up rounds 1 through 3, landing 41 to Santa-Cruz’s 60. Davis ended the fight in round six with a crushing hook.
In fights where Davis starts early, he tends to finish fights later, as with Gamboa. His twelfth round knockout came after Gamboa’s slow first three rounds. Gamboa landed only 13 shots in rounds 1 through 4. As a result, Davis drugged it out for a clean twelfth round knockout, letting Gamboa land only 78 shots the whole fight.
Cruz wants to move forward and land body shots early. In his fight with Vargas, Cruz came out strong, landing 22 shots in round one.
This trend plays into the Under 6 ½ Rounds prop. When Davis faces strong starters, he does his best to end fights early.
Davis vs Cruz Record Comparison
While Davis has fought some fighters to pad his record, he has also offered four high level undefeated fighters their very first loss. Barrios, Fonseca, Walsh and Pedraza all got their first loss via TKO from Davis.
Cruz defeated Jose Romero by Unanimous decision, but it was a strange fight that included uncalled headbutts from Cruz and other cheating. Cruz lost a point for low blows in round six. Dirty boxing and rabbit punching was common for the fight. It’s only Cruz’s last four fights that he’s faced any significant competition.
Gervonta Davis vs Isaac Cruz Wrap Up
To learn more about boxing betting, start here. Cruz vs Davis is the perfect fight to bet props. Odds makers are playing it safe, thinking that Cruz’s history of not being knocked out protects him from an early finish, but Davis has offered seven fighters the very first TKO of their career. Cruz comes wide, and those low hands from frequent body shots play right into the short finishing blows of Davis.
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