Golovkin vs Murata Boxing Betting Pick

Gennady Golovkin Vs Ryota Murata Boxing Background

Our betting picks for Golovkin vs Murata on April 9th, 2022 include a detailed breakdown of the fight, the fighters new training regimes, and everything you need to consider to place a confident bet on GGG vs Murata. The Golovkin vs Murata odds are accurate to April 4th, 2022 from Bovada, and we’ve included a detailed prop bet analysis. 
Place your bets with confidence knowing the boxing experts at thesportsgeek.com are on your side for the IBF, IBO and WBA Unifier Fight, GGG vs Golden Fist!

Golovkin vs Murata Boxing Betting Pick

GGG has defeated better opponents and offered the first knockout of multiple undefeated boxer’s careers. His power is legendary and Murata simply doesn’t have the style to handle it. FIghters who survive Golovkin like Daniel Jacobs show a good grasp of movement around the ring, while Murata seems to struggle with anyone his up-the-center style can’t finish. Murata lacks defensive head movement we’ve seen from fighters who perform well against Golovkin. We expect an early finish, and our prop bet boxing predictions will reflect that. 

Lead Up to GGG vs Golden Fist 

Genady is fresh off a loss to Canelo in the second of what could be the biggest boxing trilogy of the century. Murata is no slouch, but for many the only factor that could lose GGG the fight is age. At 39, Golovkin is in the golden era of his career, has switched trainers twice over the past three years, and has even implemented new strength and conditioning work for the first time. 
Murata has lost one of his last five but has never been knocked out. Analysts agree that GGG is better than Murata in nearly every category, but age is a concern. 

Tale of the Tape for Golovkin vs Murata 

Fighter  Gennady Golovkin “GGG” Ryota “Golden Fist” Murata 
Ranking  #1 #5
Age 39 36
Height 5’10’’ 6’1’’
Reach 70’’ 73’’
Total Fights 43 18
Record 41-1-1 16-2
Knockouts 36, 83% 13,72%
Stance Orthodox  Orthodox 
Inactivity  477 Days  838 Days 

Weight class

Middleweight Middleweight
Boxing trainer  Johnathon Banks Teiken

GGG is the smaller, older man with over twice as many professional bouts. The quality of Golovkin’s opponent’s is also much higher. Though age is a concern, Murata isn’t much younger. At 36, we can expect to see some issues in training and punching power. 

Who’s the Better Trainer: Jonathan Banks or Teiken?

Banks has ignited a new focus on strength and conditioning in GGG. Genady is known for hard sparring and traditional nutrition and training protocols for his fight camps, but we’re seeing GGG in a gym, lifting weights, doing dynamic workouts and using modern boxing training tactics for the first time. He looks to be in peak shape, maybe even leaner aesthetically than the Canelo fights. 
Teiken is a boxing gym in Japan that has two major trainers: Yuki Kasai and Shin Yamato. They’ve produced multiple world champions, and attracted many more including Genaro Herandez and Cesar Bazan. The gym focuses on sparring and mitwork, but their systematic approach to training is something to behold. I give a mild advantage to Teiken, though it’s tough for this kind of systematized training to prepare you for Golovkin’s power. 

I’m a little concerned with GGG change in conditioning tactics, but overall I think it could make his power even greater. His commitment to the evolution of his boxing is astounding. His changing protocols and coaches regularly in the pursuit of better boxing should put bettors at ease.

Betting Odds for Golovkin vs Murata

Bet Odds and Payout per Dollar Wager
GGG Money Line -700, $0.14
Murata Money Line +400. $4.00
Over 10 ½ Rounds  +100, EVEN
Under 10 ½ Rounds  -140, $0.71 
GGG TKO in Rounds 4-6 +400
GGG TKO in Rounds 10-12 +500
GGG TKO in Rounds 1-6 +275
GGG by TKO -139
Murata By TKO +900
GGG by Decision +230
Murata by Decision +1700

Golovkin opened at -700, but some oddsmakers have had him as low as -400 at various times since opening two weeks ago. Murata has floated from +325 to +450 at opening, settling on a four times your bet underdog status. 

Over/Under Prop Bets for GGG vs Murata

Given that Murata has never been knocked out or even dropped, fans of the Japanese boxer may look to the Over 10 ½ Rounds bet at +100. Of Gennady’s last ten bouts, only four fights went to decision, and two were with Canelo. The other fighters who survived include Sergiy Derevyanchenko and Daniel Jacobs. Jacob’s is arguably the better of the two men, going the distance with Canelo and defeating Rosado and Chavez Jr. Their ability to survive GGG included fighting the outside of the ring and a whole lot of jabbing and clenching. 
Murata likes to stand in front of fighters and exchange, taking more punches on the gloves than any coach would like against GGG. 
Betting the Under 10 ½ Rounds means you don’t have confidence that Murata has been tested, which he hasn’t. Of the last six opponents of Murata, none have been inside the top ten. Rob Brant is #11, but #9 on some rankings like Ring Magazine. Golovkin has given first time knockout losses to Steve Rolls and Kamil Szeremeta in his last three fights, in rounds four and seven respectively. I believe GGG will put Murata down inside the first 10 Rounds, and the Under 10 ½ Rounds is a better bet at -140. 
Our top Props for GGG vs Murata are: 

GGG by TKO at -139
Under 10 ½ Rounds at -140
GGG TKO in Rounds 1-6 at +275


Betting Odds History for Golovkin vs Murata 

Golovkin was -115 to +205 in his fights with Canelo Alvarez. He was a minor favorite in his fight with undefeated Sergiy Derevyanchenko at -500, but has been -1000 or better in every fight since Daniel Jacobs at -482. 
Murata was the underdog in his second fight with Brant after his loss just eight months prior. He lost to Hassan Jikam at -200 in an upset decision and opened at -565 in the comeback fight. All other bouts have been -4000 or better, indicating these two fights are far and away the toughest and closest of his career to date. Murata wasn’t ready for either bout, and needed the comeback fight to win. 

Boxing Analysis for Golovkin vs Murata

We can look at the losses of both fighters to see what it will take to win. Golovkin to Canelo and Murata to Rob Brant and Hassan Jikam.  

Compubox Stats for Golovkin Decisions

GGG Fights Punches Landed by Opponent Punches Landed by Golovkin 
UD Win Over  Derevyanchenko 230/728 243/720
UD Win Over Daniel Jacobs  176/542 233/618
Loss to Canelo Alvarez  202/622 234/879

Even in his only loss, GGG landed more punches overall. This kind of volume is difficult for any boxer to match. When you see Genady’s punch volume, you notice that the tougher the opponent, the more he throws. Derevyanchenko and Alvarez have more knockout power overall, and GGG threw more total punches. He’s not afraid to get in there and exchange no matter the risk. It’s a boon to any sports bets on the Under or GGG TKO prop bets. 

Against Derevyanchenko, GGG showed that hiding behind the gloves isn’t going to work with him. Boxer’s must develop head movement and outside footwork to keep from getting blasted by the hardest hitting middleweight in boxing history.

Compubox Stats for Ryota Murata Top Fights 

Murata Fights Punches Landed by Opponent Punches Landed by Murata  
Hassan Fight 1 (Loss) 80/609 95/278
Hassan Rematch (Win) 68/347 147/295
Rob Brant Fight 1 (Loss) 356/1262 180/774
Rob Brant Rematch (Win) 42/143 98/211(TKO)

When you’re comparing these two tables, look at the volume of strikes landed by Murata, even in his wins against lower level boxers. Genady gets hit with plenty of shots from high level strikers and doesn’t go down, but Murata isn’t used to throwing high volume to end a fight. GGG won’t go away after 100 shots. The volume landed by his opponent is interesting, especially the outlier in Rob Brant fight one. I don’t think Murata can handle getting hit, and once GGG gets going, there are going to be exchanges and Murata will have to deal with those effects. Historically, Murata doesn’t have the volume to win, and can’t handle the volume of fighters who press forward with aggression. 

Golovkin vs Murata Boxing Pick Wrap Up

Other fights this week include the Ryan Garcia return against Emmanuel Tagoe and a big weekend for MMA. The GGG moneyline is a good choice for a parlay ticket, and his knockout victory prop is an easy second choice. If you’re concerned about GGG’s age, I’d look at the Under prop, but it’s not something on my mind for this fight in particular. If you’re looking for other top bets and parlays for April 9th, 2022, start with our blog for all things sports betting.

Jacob Clark / Author

Jacob Clark had a 15 year career as a professional MMA fighter, coach, and Greg Jackson’s alum. Now, TikTok’s 12th most important BJJ influencer is bringing his sports and betting knowledge to you here at TheSportsGeek. He spends his time cooking vietnamese food and playing D&D with his family. You can meet him at jiu-jitsu open mats all over Indiana.

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