Inoue vs Donaire 2 Boxing Odds and Pick

Inoue vs Donaire 2 is the rematch of the 2019 bout, where Inoue unified the Bantamweight tiles. The Inoue vs Donaire 2 odds are in favor of the champ, and offer eleven betting markets to make for a perfect midweek betting ticket. A bet for either champion is a great addition to a parlay through the weekend. 

When is Inoue vs Donaire 2 and How Do I Bet?

Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire 2 takes place June 7th 2022. You’ll need to place your bets early, because the fight will air at 5:30 AM ET. Betting odds for this title fight between legends are from Bovada, one of the top online boxing betting sites.  

Top Inoue vs Donaire 2 Boxing Pick

Our top pick is the champion, Naoya Inoue for a $16 per $100 wagered payout. Inoue is undefeated, crushing all three contenders by knockout since obtaining the unified titles in 2019. Naoya seems to be improving, and Donaire was first champ in 2011, making him 39 years old for this upcoming bout. Bet the champ for a parlay ticket at an underrated -625. 

Best Nonito Donaire Jr. Pick

If Donaire can do it, it will be by KO.

I don’t see a way for Donaire to find the decision win.

He’s aging and Inoue is on yet another knockout tear. Bet the Over 7.5 Rounds prop bet at -130 to cover the decision and late finish from either man. It’s a scary bet from my perspective, because I believe the older Donaire gets the higher likelihood a repeat of his round six KO loss to Walters becomes.  

Tale of the Tape for Inoue vs Donaire 2

Fighter  Naoya Inoue “The Monster”  Nonito “The Filipino Flash” Donaire 
Ranking  #1 #2
Age 29 39
Height 5’5’’ 5’6’’
Reach 67’’ 68’’
Total Fights 22 48
Record 22-0 42-6
Knockouts 19, 86% 28, 58%
Stance Orthodox  Orthodox 
Inactivity  6 Months 6 Months

Weight class

Bantam Bantam
Boxing trainer  Takuma Inoue  Ismael Salas 

Donaire is the slightly larger man. His weight cut is notoriously brutal, which will be more and more difficult to replicate with age. Inoue is a decade younger, but has amateur experience on his side with a 75-6 record. 

Inoue vs Donaire Coaches, Inoue and Salas 

The family experience of training with his father cannot be denied. Inoue’s father has brought in the best sparring partners and trainers in the world, tailor making each training camp for the next opponent. 
Donaire has taken on Salas, the coach that built Rigondeaux, Gamboa, and Magdaleno. Each of them, older, scrappy boxers. It’s a fantastic switch in camp, but I don’t think it’s going to move the needle on your Inoue betting pick. 

Inoue vs Donaire 2 Money Line Odds

Fighter Money Line Odds
Naoya Inoue -625
Nonito Donaire +380

Inoue has grown in popularity opening at -400 against Donaire and capping at -714.

He was an even stronger favorite in their 2019 bout opening at 2500.

It was the most competitive fight of Inoue’s career to date, but it’s surprising to see oddsmakers and bettors ignoring Donaire’s age and expecting him to perform even better in the 2022 match up. The Inoue vs Donaire 2 betting odds should look closely at Donaire’s age and changes in performance over his last two fights since facing Inoue. 

Odds History for Inoue vs Donaire 2 Betting 

 Inoue has ranged from -1000 to -12500 over his last ten outside of Donaire, -1600 to -3000 over his last three title defenses. His -380 bout over Emmanuel Rodriguez was his closest ever odds closing. 
Donaire was a +195 in his upset of Qubaali in 2021. Recent losses include Frampton at +500 and Magdaleno at -140. This is his fourth bout as the underdog since 2016. 

Inoue vs Donaire 2 Over/Under Props and Odds

Limited options are available for round calls. 

Rounds Over/Yes Odds Under/No Odds
7.5 -130 -110
Goes the Distance +225 -330

We’ve estimated the over to be the right bet. Their last fight went to decision, but going the distance against Inoue will be tougher than ever at 39. 
The ‘goes the distance’ prop bets don’t offer enough of an odds boost to consider. 

Naoya Inoue Average Finishing Rounds

In his last three fights since the decision with Donaire, he’s knocked out fighters in rounds 3,7 and 8. Over the course of his career, fifteen of his twenty two fights ended at or before the seventh round, with only three decisions since turning pro in 2012 at 19 years old. 

Nonito Donaire Average Finishing Rounds

Five of Donaire’s six losses have been decisions. His only KO loss was to Walters in round 6, 2014. Of his last ten KOs, nine have been during or before round 7. Donaire’s 58% knockout ratio makes the over a better bet, though we’re heavily recommending your Inoue vs Donaire 2 betting pick be the Inoue Money Line. 

Inoue vs Donaire 2 Round Betting and Groups Odds and Prediction

Round Betting (Fighter KO/RTD Win) Naoya Inoue Odds  Nonito Donaire Odds 
Rounds 1-2 +1000 +8000
Rounds 3-4 +600 +5000
Rounds 5-6 +400 +3300
Rounds 7-8 +400 +2800
Rounds 9-10 +600 +3300
Rounds 11-12 +1000 +4000
Davis Decision Win +330 +1100
Rounds 1-3 +600 +5000
Rounds 4-6 +275 +2800
Rounds 7-9 +275 +2200
Rounds 10-12 +600 +2800
Rounds 1-6 +185 +2200 
Rounds 7-12 +185 +1200

Notice the even split of odds for Inoue knockout before and after round 6. He’s only getting better, and bettors should believe in his knockout power. If I had to choose, I’d pick Inoue knockout prop, rounds 7-12 for a $185 per $100 wagered payout. 

What Round Can Donaire Knockout Inoue?

Donaire is basically up in the air. The majority of his knockouts happen early, but if you’re going to bet a Donaire win, I’d wager the 7-12 knockout prop as well, despite evidence in his record. 

Inoue vs Donaire 2 Fight Outcome Prop Bet Odds

Bet  Naoya Inoue Odds  Nonito Donaire Odds 
TKO or Disqualification  -230 +725
Decision Win or Tech Decision +330 +1100
Draw +3000 +3000

I think the Inoue decision win for Inoue at +330 is a great bet. It matches their first fight outcome. For bettors confident that Donaire still has his magic, you can hope he survives the fight in the same way he did in 2019. Inoue seems more aggressive and with better conditioning in his last two performances, forcing us to take the Inoue vs Donaire 2 odds on the money line. 

Boxing Breakdown for Inoue vs Donaire 2  Predictions

The compubox stats show a competitive first bout, with Inoue landing more jabs each and every round. Donaire knew his hope was a finish, and took rounds with power punches landed. Donaire lost the last three rounds handily, and it’s debatable that Inoue won rounds 1-6 as well, offering only 7-9 as clear Donaire wins. Though the score was close, don’t let that make your Inoue vs Donaire II prediction tentative. Inoue is the superior boxer in almost every category. 

Inoue was off the night of the first Donaire fight, and analysts took note. His hyper accurate striking seemed to glance off the gloves of Donaire and it was called the best fight of 2019. Don’t miss the rematch where we’re bound to see the true potential of Inoue as he claims dominance over a rival that’s nearing retirement.  

Jacob Clark / Author

Jacob Clark had a 15 year career as a professional MMA fighter, coach, and Greg Jackson’s alum. Now, TikTok’s 12th most important BJJ influencer is bringing his sports and betting knowledge to you here at TheSportsGeek. He spends his time cooking vietnamese food and playing D&D with his family. You can meet him at jiu-jitsu open mats all over Indiana.

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