Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigers Pick – NCAAM February 25, 2021

We have another SWAC special at TheSportsGeek on Thursday night. Along with Mississippi Valley State and Prairie View A&M, we’re at H&PE Arena in Houston for a matchup between the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Texas Southern Tigers. This is a night that has seven ranked teams on the card, but there are some sharp lines to be had out there. Nevertheless, there are going to be some must-watch matchups.

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan Wolverines is one game that I am going to be paying close attention to on Thursday night. Iowa is getting five points on the road in Ann Arbor. I will stick with mid-major basketball for wagering purposes tonight, though. The weekend should provide some wagering opportunities in the power conferences.

The SWAC is between what I would consider four teams. It’s a wide-open affair, with Prairie View A&M, Jackson State, Southern, and Texas Southern all talented enough to win the conference. Prairie View and Jackson State are both undefeated in the conference at 8-0 and 7-0. However, overall there are only two games separating these four schools. There isn’t a huge gap in talent, and even 8-8 Texas Southern winning wouldn’t be a shocker.

I would argue that Texas Southern is a better team than their .500 record indicates. They have been the class of the SWAC, with four conference tournament wins since 2014, and five regular season titles since 2011. The Tigers are out of the picture for the regular season title, but can certainly win the SWAC Tournament if they can get a hot hand in March at the right time. All I’m saying is to not overlook Texas Southern if you are going to bet conference tournament games in the SWAC.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff hasn’t accomplished anything this season. The only thing working in their favor is that they aren’t worse than Mississippi Valley State. That would be really hard to do, because Mississippi Valley State is one of, if not the worst team in the country. Idaho would give them a run for their money in the battle of the worst.

The Golden Lions head into Houston with a record of 3-18 and 2-10 in the SWAC. They’re coming off a 72-56 loss against Prairie View on the road on Tuesday. It made for their tenth straight loss, which includes a 66-57 loss at home on January 23 against Texas Southern. Head below for our free Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Texas Southern pick on February 25, 2021.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigers NCAA Betting Odds:


  • UAPB +14 (-110)
  • TSU -14 (-110)


  • Over 140.5 (-110)
  • Under 140.5 (-110)


Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Texas Southern Prediction:

Texas Southern were in terrific form against Mississippi Valley State on Tuesday with a 82-45 victory. I know it’s Mississippi Valley State, but there wasn’t a minute in that game that Texas Southern didn’t control. The win for Texas Southern was a nice response after a hard-fought loss against Prairie View, 77-75. There is no shame in losing a close game like that against Prairie View, who is a very good team.

Prior to the loss, Texas Southern was on a five-game winning streak, so they’ve been in fine form for the last month. It was a slow start for the Tigers, but we’ve been seeing recently that they’re much better than what they were showing earlier on. Like I said, their overall record of 8-8 is not indicative of how good they can be.

Through their previous five outings, Texas Southern has scored an average of 75 points and allowed 63.8 points per game. Arkansas-Pine Bluff will have to find offense from somewhere in this contest.The Golden Lions have struggled mightily to find the bottom of the net. They are 340th in the NCAA with 61 points scored per game. On the road, that number drops to 57.2 points recorded per game.

Meanwhile, the defense has been giving up points in bunches, with 81.2 points allowed per game on the road. The Tigers have scored 79.3 points per game at home this season. Arkansas-Pine Bluff might have made this a competitive game at home in their first meeting, but expect a different scenario playing out tonight. Home court has mattered in this series, with the home team covering the spread in four of their last five meetings. A final score of 80-63 in favor of Texas Southern is what I see transpiring.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.