Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Colgate Raiders – NCAAM March 19

NCAA Tournament – First Round – South Region

(3) No. 10 Arkansas (22-6, 13-4) vs. (14) Colgate (14-1, 11-1)

  • Time: 9:45AM PST | 11:45PM CST | 12:45PM EST
  • Location: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
  • TV: TruTV

Opening Tip

Despite the 78-71 loss to LSU in the SEC Tournament semifinals, the Arkansas Razorbacks are on a major roll in winning 12 out of their last 14 games. The 12 straight wins over SEC competition is ironically like the 1993-94 team that won the national championship.

Colgate won the Patriot League behind Player of the Year Jordan Burns and he leads the Red Raiders into their fourth NCAA appearance after an 85-72 win over Loyola (Md.) in the Patriot League championship.

The line on this game is really low as Arkansas (-8.5) is the line across the boards. Colgate played only Patriot League games due to implementations and scheduling due to COVID-19. They played five games against Boston University, four against Holy Cross, and four against Army.

The Patriot League is a good, solid basketball conference, but taking the floor vs. a team with the caliber and talent of the Razorbacks will take some adjusting.

Vs. The Spread

Arkansas:

  • The Razorbacks are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 7 Razorbacks’ games
  • The Hogs are 8-2 ATS the spread in their last 10 games as a favorite

Colgate:

  • The Red Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colgate’s last 7 games
  • The UNDER has been the play in 13 of the last 19 games when the Red Raiders are the underdog

Last Time Out

Moses Moody, who was first had a career-high 28 points – 20 in the first half – but the Razorbacks fell to LSU, 78-71, in the SEC Tournament semifinals. It was the sixth time that the Hogs had trailed at halftime since the 12-game SEC winning streak started.

Colgate won its 13th consecutive game in cutting down the nets in the Patriot League championship with an 85-72 win over Loyola (Md.). Tucker Richardson had 17 points and Jordan Burns and Jack Ferguson had 16 each for the Red Raiders.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Colgate +8.5 (-110) +320 O 160.5 (-105)
Arkansas -8.5 (-110) -400 U 160.5 (-115)

Advantage, Arkansas

Arkansas Razorbacks LogoArkansas has a huge advantage with the athleticism and general basketball talent in this matchup with a heralded Colgate team. Moses Moody (17.4 ppg, 5.9 rpg) is an athletic talent that has flourished this season with the experience of JD Notae and Jalen Tate in the backcourt and Justin Smith as an athletic power forward. Averaging 82 ppg., Arkansas has a second and third gear of speed and quickness in which they turn defense into offense and their scoring and shooting percentage have soared.

Key Razorbacks Stat:

Arkansas forces 15.4 turnovers per game and as Colgate hasn’t played a team close to this level all season, the Red Raiders could be in real trouble vs. the Razorbacks’ pressure. Arkansas has scored 20.8 points off turnovers in it’s last four games.

X-Factor:

Justin Smith has been streaking through the SEC as he has scored double figures in eight in a row and 13 of his last 14 games. Colgate has no matchup in the post for Smith and he could be in for a huge game. He is second in the SEC in field goal percentage at 54.1 percent and has a team-high 29 dunks. The Hogs were 21-3 with the graduate student from Indiana in their starting line up.

Advantage, Colgate

Colgate Raiders LogoThe Red Raiders average 86 ppg. and have shot 49 percent from the floor over the 15 games in their Patriot League season. Jordan Burns (17.0 ppg, 5.4 apg) is the team’s leading scorer and a player who can go head-to-head with most anyone in the nation as he is a solid rhythm shooter. Nelly Cummings and Tucker Richardson are supplemental pieces for Burns and will have to have big games if the Red Raiders have a shot.

Key Raiders Stat:

Colgate is seventh in the nation with 17.7 assists per game as the Red Raiders as they have had five games with at least 20 assists. Again, when Arkansas comes with the pressure, how does the comfort in execution inside the offense change? Richardson follows Burns with 4.3 assists per outing.

X-Factor:

Colgate is third in the nation in three-point percentage as they make 40 percent of their triples from downtown. Jack Ferguson is the leader at 48.2 percent as Burns makes 40 percent of his triples. Jalen Tate and Devo Davis have 32 steals and Moses Moody has 31, so it will be interesting to see how the Red Raiders navigate Arkansas’ perimeter defense.

Winner: Arkansas (-8.5) 82, Colgate 67

The Bets
Arkansas Razorbacks -8.5
-110
Arkansas Razorbacks
-400
UNDER 160.5
-115
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.