The Baylor Bears and Oregon Ducks meet in Eugene at Matthew Knight Arena for an intriguing matchup between Big 12 and Pac 12 schools. Oregon are looking for a signature win to put in their portfolio, and a win over the top ranked team in the NCAA.
The Ducks go into this one with a record of 6-5 after a 96-71 win over Portland at home on Wednesday. It was a much needed win for Oregon following back-to-back losses to Arizona State, 69-67 OT, and Stanford, 72-69.
— Baylor Men’s Basketball (@BaylorMBB) December 18, 2021
Oregon had a chance at a signature win on November 24 on a neutral court against the Houston Cougars, but couldn’t handle the assignment. Houston made it look easy in a 78-49 win as 5-point favorites.
Oregon has wins over Texas Southern, SMU, Chaminade, Montana, UC Riverside, and Portland. Not the most impressive lineup of teams.
They are looking for a ranked win, and if the Ducks get it done tonight, it’s going to be a win over the No. 1 ranked team in the nation. Baylor goes into Eugene at a perfect 9-0 following a 57-36 win over the Villanova Wildcats.
It might have looked like a middle school score, but that’s what Baylor is capable of doing with their defense. The defending national champs look every bit as good as their 2020 squad.
This is after Davion Mitchell and MaCio Teague took off to play professional ball. Baylor lost a big part of what made them so good last season, but they’ve just reloaded instead of rebuilding. Oregon better be ready to get physical or it could be a long night.
Head below for our free Baylor vs. Oregon pick on December 18, 2021.
Baylor Bears vs. Oregon Ducks Betting Odds and Team Statistics:
The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:
|Baylor Bears||-7 (-110)||-305||Over 134.5 (-110)|
|Oregon Ducks||+7 (-110)||+225||Under 134.5 (-110)|
|Team Data||Baylor Bears||Oregon Ducks|
|Points Per Game||81.0||70.9|
|Points Against Per Game||54.1||65.7|
|Field Goal %||47.5||45.7|
|Three Point %||33.6||33.6|
Baylor vs. Oregon Prediction:
Oregon is going to have to put their best performance on the floor of the season tonight. They haven’t done anything exceptionally well and have just beaten up on bad teams so far.
Oregon had a chance to show they belong versus Houston and came well short. In one of their other outings versus a decent team, they didn’t come close in a 81-49 loss to the BYU Cougars on November 16.
The one saving grace for the Ducks in this one is that they have to be amped up with Baylor in town. In any case, they’re going to have to be better on both ends of the floor. The Ducks are 208th in the NCAA with 70.9 points scored per game.
Their rebounding needs improving, as they’re 260th in offensive rebounding. Better shooting at the charity stripe would go a long way as well. Oregon has been poor with a free throw percentage of 66.3% for 287th.
If Oregon isn’t going to do the fundamentals properly, they aren’t going to be able to do well tonight with the Bears on the floor. The Bears are great at the fundamentals of basketball, most notably their relentless defense.
Baylor Bears vs. Oregon Ducks Betting Trends:
- 6-1-1 ATS in their previous eight games
- 6-2-1 ATS in their previous nine games as a favorite on the road
- 47-22-2 ATS in their previous 71 games on the road
- 4-0 ATS in their previous four games on a Saturday
- 5-0-1 ATS in their previous six games after a win by more than 20 points
- 2-7 ATS in their previous nine games
- 0-4 ATS in their previous four games after a win
- 0-4 ATS in their previous four games after covering the spread
- 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games at Oregon
- 0-5 ATS in their previous five games after a win by more than 20 points
Baylor isn’t a team anyone is excited to see on the other side. They make their opponent work for every possession. That relentless defensive pressure adds up near the 40-minute mark.
The Bears have conceded 54.1 points per game, and allowing teams to shoot just 37.3% from the field. Unlike Oregon, Baylor likes to rebound on both ends, ranked 42nd on offense and 43rd on the defensive boards.
If the defense isn’t happening to be working, which is rare, they can put points on the board as well. Baylor has scored an average of 81 points a game while shooting 47.5% from the field.
The Ducks are 268th in the nation, as opposing teams have connected at a 44.3% clip from the field versus their defense. I think it’s going to be the Baylor defense ruling the night in Eugene.
Expect Oregon to remain competitive through the first-half. They should come out with a lot of energy in Baylor’s first attempt on the road. However, defense travels, and Baylor is one of the best to do it in the NCAA.
I’m on Baylor to get out of Eugene with a 78-66 win or thereabout at Matthew Knight Arena on Saturday night.