Boise State Broncos vs. Colorado State Rams Pick – NCAA January 29, 2021

The Boise State Broncos and Colorado State will meet for the second game of a two-game series in Fort Collins. It was not a competitive game in the first stanza, as Boise State looked shocked that Colorado State is that good of a team. Colorado State pulled away in the first-half with a 40-25 lead, and then built on that lead for a 78-56 win.

The Broncos looked like a team that thought they were just going to show up in Fort Collins and win. That wasn’t the case, as David Roddy had a monster performance with 27 points and 15 rebounds. He and guard Isaiah Stevens are the propeller of this team, and as long as they stay healthy, the Rams are going to continue to be a tough out.

Boise State fell to 13-2 on the season, while Colorado State advanced to 12-3 in the blowout win for the Rams. The Rams may not be a top seed in the NCAA Tournament, but they’re making a good case for including them in March. Win the Mountain West Conference and nothing will be left up to chance, though. Colorado State stands an above average chance of winning the conference.

There’s company in the Mountain West, though, including Boise State who is capable of being much better than we saw the other day. Boise State, Utah State, Colorado State, and San Diego State all could win the conference. The Aztecs looked awfully impressive against Wyoming last night. They’ve started slow, but certainly can’t be written off if they get hot down the stretch. Colorado State are winners in six of their last seven outings.

They lost on the road at Utah State on January 19, 83-64, for the first loss since a 78-65 loss against San Diego State on January 4. The Rams took a split in that series against the Aztecs, beating them a couple of days earlier by a score of 70-67 in San Diego. Boise State is still looking for a signature win this season. They had a chance against Houston, but were dropped 68-58 on the road to open the 2020-21 campaign. Head below for our free Boise State vs. Colorado State pick on January 29, 2021.

Boise State Broncos vs. Colorado State Rams NCAA Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Boise St. -2.5 (-110)
  • Colorado St. +2.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Boise St. -145
  • Colorado St. +125
Total:

  • Over 145 (-110)
  • Under 145 (-110)

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Boise State vs. Colorado State Prediction:

The Boise State Broncos are going to have to come out with a lot more energy on Friday night or it’s going to be the same story. Colorado State is too good for Boise State to come out that sloppy. Do we really know how good the Broncos really are, though? They may not be as good as their record of 13-2 indicates.

Beating up on Air Force, Fresno State, San Diego State, and New Mexico is not all that impressive. Their best win this season was against the BYU Cougars on December 9, 74-70.Since then, the Broncos have plowed through a lot of cream puffs in the Mountain West. They can’t do anything about their schedule, but there are still a lot of unknowns surrounding the Broncos.

Overall in 2020-21, Boise State has scored an average of 79.5 points per game for 45th in the NCAA. Their defensive numbers are strong as well, with 62.2 points against per game. That’s good for 22nd in the nation. Those look like fantastic numbers, but not so impressive when you look at their strength of schedule.

What we do know is that when Boise State was pressed into action against a good Colorado State team they folded. The offense that has netted 79.5 points a game was non-existent, as they racked up just 56 points in the loss, well below their season average. Colorado State has been strong defensively, having conceded 65.3 points a game, so not too much of a surprise to see them playing well.

Their offense is inside the top-100, with 75.7 points registered per game. At home, they’ve put up just over 80 points per game. Colorado State can thank David Roddy and Isaiah Stevens. Roddy did whatever he wanted to do in the first meeting against the Broncos down low. He has scored 16 points and 9.4 rebounds per game this season. If no one steps up to stop Roddy, Boise will leave Fort Collins with two losses. This one will be closer than 78-56, but the Rams catching plus points looks like solid value.

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COLORADO STATE RAMS +2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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