The College of Charleston Cougars and Hofstra Pride have a Colonial Athletic Association Tournament matchup at the Entertainment & Sports Arena in Washington tonight.
This is the conference tournament opener for both Charleston and Hofstra. One team is done while the other moves on to the next round. Reaching the NCAA Tournament will require a conference tournament win.
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— Hofstra Men's Basketball (@HofstraMBB) March 6, 2022
There will be no other option for teams in the CAA, which pretty well goes without saying. Towson is the best team in the conference with a record of 24-7 and 15-3 in the conference.
That’s not enough to receive an at-large invite. Charleston and Hofstra could be going to the NCAA Tournament, and if they win the conference, it’s most likely going to be a trip to the First Four.
Charleston winning the conference would be a fairly sizable upset. The Cougars are going into the CAA Tournament on a two-game skid. They’re 16-14 and went 8-10 in the conference.
In the regular season finale, these two met at Hofstra. The Pride picked off Charleston for an 89-84 win for their eighth win in nine attempts.
Their only loss during then was an 81-55 loss to Elon. Charleston can score, and Hofstra will be tasked with holding off their offense.
They did just enough in the first meeting. The bad news for Charlestown is that their defense likely isn’t going to be any better from then to now.
Head below for our free Charlestown vs. Hofstra prediction on March 6, 2022.
College of Charleston Cougars vs. Hofstra Pride Betting Odds and Team Statistics:
The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
|Charleston Cougars||+3.5 (-110)||+145||Over 159 (-110)|
|Hofstra Pride||-3.5 (-110)||-165||Under 159 (-110)|
|Team Data||Charleston Cougars||Hofstra Pride|
|Points Per Game||78.4||78.0|
|Points Against Per Game||77.0||72.3|
|Field Goal %||43.7||46.4|
|Three Point %||33.7||34.1|
Charleston vs. Hofstra Prediction:
Charleston needs to learn how to play defense before they win more games. A little, okay, a lot more defense, and the Cougars could be a contender in the CAA.
The Cougars have scored 78.4 points per game on 43.7% shooting. Going by the numbers, Charleston is 30th in the NCAA win scoring.
However, Charleston gives all of the points up on the other end of the floor. It’s a lost cause for the Cougars, especially against an offense with a heartbeat.
The Cougars gave up 77 points per game for 333rd in the NCAA through the regular season. They are allowing teams to shoot 45.5% from the field. Not good.
Hofstra made it look easy in their meeting last weekend. I just don’t see what’s going to change for the Charleston defense in this one. It isn’t like Hofstra has a top-notch defense, but there is a pulse.
Charleston Cougars vs. Hofstra Pride Betting Trends:
- 1-3-2 ATS in their previous six games on a neutral court
- 5-13-2 ATS in their previous 20 neutral site games as an underdog
- 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games versus Hofstra
- 1-5 ATS in their previous six games on a Sunday
- 1-7 overall in their previous eight games as an underdog
- 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games on a neutral court
- 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games as a betting favorite
- 4-1 ATS in their previous five games on a Sunday
- 8-1 overall in their previous nine games versus the CAA
- OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games
The Pride are 33rd in the country with 79 points scored per game. Their ability to connect from the charity stripe is going to serve them well in the conference tournament.
Hofstra is fourth in the NCAA with a 79.6% field goal percentage. As I said, their defense hasn’t been in great form this season, but it’s not hard to be better than Charleston.
In their previous four of six games, Hofstra allowed fewer than 80 points, a step up from the Cougars.
Hofstra is allowing 73.8 points per game in their last five as opposed to 83.4 points against for Charleston. Overall, the Pride have conceded 72.3 points a game.
This will be another competitive game, but likely the same result in a 5 or 6-point win for the No. 3 seed. I’m siding with Hofstra in the first-round of the CAA Tournament.