Colorado Buffaloes at Stanford Cardinal – NCAAM February 11

Colorado (15-5, 9-4) at Stanford (12-7, 8-5)

  • Time: 4 PST – 6 CST – 7 EST
  • Place: Maples Pavilion, Palo Alto, Calif.
  • TV: ESPNU

Tip-Off:

The Buffaloes and the Cardinal should be part of the NCAA Tournament if they stay healthy and win the games where they have an advantage. That explains why this game is huge for both as the Buffs are on the cusp of being ranked again while the Cardinal swept Cal last weekend and are looking to put together a run in the back half of the Pac-12 schedule.

The Buffaloes have a NET ranking of 15 while the Stanford’s is 58. This presents a much needed Quad-1 win for both teams as Colorado is 1-3 vs Quad-1 competition while Stanford sits at 2-4.

Colorado’s 9-4 Pac-12 record is it’s best start since joining the league as the Buffaloes are two games back to UCLA and USC in the loss column while Stanford is three behind the co-leaders and one behind the Buffaloes.

This is a revenge game for Stanford after the Buffaloes took a 77-64 win in Boulder earlier in the season.

Vs The Spread:

Colorado:

  • The Buffaloes are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
  • CU is 10-3 ATS in it’s last 13 games vs. Stanford
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 road games

Stanford:

  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Stanford’s last 11 home games
  • The OVER has also been the play in 6 of Stanford’s last 8 games vs. Colorado
  • The Cardinal is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 home games vs. the Buffaloes

Last Time Out:

Jeriah Horne had 16 points and Tristan de Silva added 15 as Colorado ran away from Oregon State, 78-49, in Boulder on Monday afternoon. The Buffaloes shot 59.3 percent from the field and built a 40-27 halftime lead.

Stanford swept Cal with a 76-70 win Sunday night in completing the back-to-back. Oscar de Silva led the Cardinal with 23 points as the Cardinal shot 58 percent from the field and outscored the Bears, 42-22, in the paint.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Colorado -1 (-107) -112 O 136½ (-102)
Stanford +1 (-113) -108 U 136½ (-118)

Advantage, Colorado:

Colorado Buffaloes LogoMcKinley Wright, IV, will be looking to get back to his scoring ways after having only six points in the win over Oregon State. Wright is the catalyst for coach Tad Boyle as he is 11 rebounds away from being the first player in Pac-12 history with 1,600 points, 600 rebounds and 600 assists. Wright has shot 50 percent or better in 12 of 20 games and has 99 assists against only 32 turnovers the last 17 games. Wright has a chance to dominate the game as he is looking for a bounce back game against as Bryce Willis and Daejon Davis will rejoin the team after injuries.

Key Buffaloes’ Stat:

Colorado shoots 37.9 percent from behind the three-point line as Maddox Daniels (32 makes 40.0% -3) and Jeriah Horne (34 makes; 44.7%) lead a stealthy attack. Stanford defends the three well, so an established Buffaloes’ attack from the arc should put them in solid position.

X-Factor:

The Buffaloes’ Evan Battey will be a tough cover for Stanford with his physicality inside. Battey makes 57.6 percent of his shots as he leads Colorado in free throw attempts with 81 and makes 85.2 percent from the line.

Advantage, Stanford:

Stanford Cardinal LogoThe Cardinal will welcome back Daejon Davis and Zaire Williams from the injured list which will change the tenor and the tenor and the matchups of this game. Bryce Wills came back and played 15 minutes against Cal where he was 3-of-3 from the field for six points and two assists. Davis and Williams were averaging double figures when they left as Davis was third in scoring at 13.1 points while Williams is at 12.5. Davis and Willis are needed to change the looks for CU’s McKinley Wright.

Key Cardinal Stat:

Getting these three players back should help a Stanford three-point game that has struggled most of the season in making only 5.3 triples per game and 31.3 percent of the attempts. Spencer Jones stepped up as he leads the team with 24. Williams still is second with 18 after being sidelined due to covid related issues for the last six games.

X-Factor:

Players like Michael McConnell and Jones picked up their collective games while helping coach Jerod Haase develop depth in the absence of the other players. McConnell has averaged 6.4 points and 2.5 rebounds while Jones played 32 minutes in each of the past two games.

Winner: Stanford (+1) 68, Colorado 65
O/U: Take UNDER 136½

The Bets
Stanford +1
-113
UNDER 136½
-118
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.