Connecticut vs. Stanford NCAA Women’s Final Four Odds and Pick

The Women’s NCAA Tournament may not garner as many eyeballs or as much betting interest as the men’s edition, but there is still money to be made betting on women’s hoops. The 2022 Final Four field is set, and the festivities will go down on Friday, April 1st, in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Louisville will take on South Carolina in the first game of the evening. The main event, featuring UConn and Stanford, takes place after that.

Obviously, this is hardly UConn’s first rodeo. Geno Auriemma has his squad in the Final Four for the 22nd time in his career. The Huskies haven’t failed to advance to the national semifinals since 2007 in arguably the most dominant run we’ve seen at any level of college sports. The Huskies have won 11 national titles since Auriemma took over way back in 1985.

The Final Four isn’t new territory for Stanford, either. Tata VanDerveer may not get as much attention as Auriemma does, but this is an absolute basketball powerhouse.
Since VanDerveer took the reins for her second stint in Palo Alto back in 1996, the Cardinal have never failed to qualify for the NCAA Tournament. Stanford finally got back over the hump and won their first national title since 1992 just last year. This is also Stanford’s 15th appearance in the Final Four since 1990, and their third straight overall.

Oddsmakers at BetOnline have this one pegged as a tight one. The Cardinal are slight 1.5-point favorites over the Huskies, which amounts to a virtual toss-up.

The national semifinal between Connecticut and Stanford also comes with an over/under of 129 points.

UConn Huskies

Auriemma is a nine-time AP Coach of the Year and an eight-time Naismith Coach of the Year winner. Despite all of his success over the years, the Huskies have endured something of a championship drought over the past half-decade. UConn hasn’t won a national title since 2016, which is a pretty long dry period, by this program’s incredibly high standards.

Weirdly enough, the Huskies are the only team left in the field that didn’t enter this competition as a No. 1 seed. UConn finished the season 29-5. Since taking over back in the ’80s, Auriemma is 1,148-149. The Huskies are also a ridiculous 130-21 in tournament games under their Hall of Fame coach.
This year’s run has been hampered by injuries, however. They’re getting healthy at the right time, though. The Huskies enter the Final Four riding a 14-game winningn streak, including a 30-point throttling of Marquette in the conference championship game.

The Huskies smoked No. 15 Mercer, 83-38, in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Getting past an upstart Central Florida side in the second round was no easy task, however, as UConn won by just five points. The Huskies shot a dismal 29 percent from the field in that one, but forcing UCF into committing 20 turnovers was ultimately the difference in the game.

The Huskies advanced to the Final Four for the 14th consecutive season by beating Indiana and NC State in the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight, respectively.

Sophomore phenom Paige Bueckers is the straw that stirs the Huskies’ drink. The 5’11” guard has been limited to just 15 games all year due to injury, but she looks no worse for the wear now that she’s back to full strength. Bueckers averaged only 14.4 points per game this year after averaging 20 last year as a freshman. She was way too much for the Wolfpack to handle in the Huskies’ double-overtime win in the Elite Eight, scoring a game-high 27 points in a whopping 45 minutes of action.

Obviously, trying to find a way to slow Bueckers will be Stanford’s No. 1 defensive priority in this one.

Whether Bueckers ever leaves the floor will be one storyline worth following. Auriemma kept her out there for all 40 minutes in last year’s Final Four loss to Arizona.

Stanford Cardinal

Stanford is fresh off of an outstanding 32-3 season that culminated in a Pac-12 championship. The Cardinal’s three losses on the year all came against ranked foes in Texas, South Florida, and South Carolina. The most recent defeat came way back on December 21st, so it’s been quite a while since Stanford suffered a loss.

VanDerveer’s team will go into Friday’s clash against UConn riding a massive 24-game winning streak. So far in the NCAA Tournament, however, Stanford has been tested. After easy wins over Montana State and Kansas in the first two rounds, the Cardinal picked up back-to-back single-digit victories over Maryland and Texas. The Cardinal avenged their loss earlier in the year to the Longhorns with a 59-50 triumph in the Elite Eight.

Stanford is led by star sophomore Cameron Brink. The 6’4″ Oregon native is an incredibly difficult matchup for opposing frontcourts. Brink averaged a team-high 13.4 points per game during the regular year, along with 8.1 rebounds and 2.6 blocked shots. Brink has two double-doubles through four tournament games so far this year, and she blocked a game-high six shots in the Cardinal’s last game against Texas.

Stanford didn’t have to go through UConn en route to their national title a year ago. The Huskies fell in the national semis at the hands of Arizona before Stanford won it all with a victory over the Wildcats in the national title game.

Connecticut Huskies vs. Stanford Cardinal Women’s Final Four Game Pick

Stanford averages about 74 points per game so far this season, while UConn yields only 54.6. UConn, meanwhile, averages about 75 points per game for the year, while Stanford allows nearly 56.

Please Note:
Auriemma won his first national championship in this very building back in 1995. UConn won it all that year with a victory over then-powerhouse Tennessee. In the Final Four that year, the Huskies stomped Stanford by 27 points on their way to the national title game.

The recent return of Bueckers makes UConn a formidable foe in this one, but Stanford is a deserving favorite. I have no idea what the Huskies are going to do about the size of Brink. Stanford has been able to consistently get to the free-throw line in this competition. If the Cardinal parade to the charity stripe again on Friday, it could be a long night for Auriemma and the Huskies.

It should be a fantastic matchup between a couple of true women’s basketball bluebloods, but this game is Stanford’s to lose. I like the value on the Cardinal to win this one outright at -130 on the moneyline.

Stanford Cardinal

UConn Huskies vs. Stanford Cardinal Betting Recap

  • Moneyline: UConn Huskies +110, Stanford Cardinal -130
  • Point Spread: UConn Huskies +1.5 (-110), Stanford Cardinal -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 129 points (-110), Under 129 points (-110)
  • Pick: Stanford Cardinal (-130)


Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.

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