8:30 p.m. ET – Dayton at No. 22 Saint Louis (-10) O/U:134
|Teams||Spread||Money Line||Total Points|
|Dayton||+9 (-105)||+360||O 134 (-110)|
|Saint Louis||-9 (-115)||-450||U 134 (-110)|
The 8-4 Flyers head to St. Louis to take on the 7-1 Billikens, looking to upset the favorite to win the Atlantic 10 this year. Dayton is looking to rebound after getting blown out on Saturday 66-43 at VCU. Saint Louis has had seven consecutive games postponed and is playing for the first time since Dec. 23 when the Billikens defeated the University of Missouri-Kansas City 62-46. As a result this is the first conference tilt of the season for St. Louis, while Dayton is 4-3 in conference.
Dayton has not been the dominant force that they were last season, which was expected following the departure of AP Player of the Year Obi Toppin. But the Flyers are still a strong team, led by guard Jalen Crutcher who stayed behind and is filling in just fine, averaging 18.4 points per game. Saint Louis is led by guard Javonte Perkins who averages 17.8 points per game and Jordan Goodwin who is averaging a double-double. Although Saint Louis has not played a conference game, it did not shy away from the competition in its non-conference schedule. The Billikens picked up wins over LSU and NC State and suffered its lone loss so far to No.21 Minnesota on the road.
Saint Louis is the better basketball team. But are the Billikens 10 points better than the Flyers? This number might have made sense a month ago. But St. Louis had a three-week COVID-19 shutdown, and was only able to resume practicing last Friday. Dayton is a good enough basketball team that they could win this game outright if Saint Louis understandably starts slow. An entire month off in between games needs to be taken into account when handicapping this one. The Billikens could start slow due to rust or just as easily be gassed in the second half due to the lack of conditioning. Take the Flyers to cover the spread in a game that has far too many variables going against the Billikens.