Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles Pick – NCAAB January 18, 2022

The Duke Blue Devils and Florida State Seminoles headline the ACC schedule Tuesday night on the college hardwood. This looks like a matchup that should prove to be an entertaining contest in Tallahassee.

Duke was looking like the best team in the country not too long ago, but they’ve slipped to No. 6 in the country. The Blue Devils were top in the nation and looked unbeatable after knocking off the Gonzaga Bulldogs on November 26.

They were unable to follow up at Ohio State, with a 71-66 loss in a letdown spot in Columbus. The Blue Devils were on a five-game winning streak after the loss before the Miami Hurricanes upset Duke on January 8, 76-74.

Since the loss, Duke has a 74-64 win over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and NC State, 88-73. Duke is still good at 14-2 on the season. They’re a contender in what is going to be a wide-open NCAA Tournament.

The No. 1 team in the rankings is currently Gonzaga. The Blue Devils beat Gonzaga, so that goes to show how it’s going to come down to who plays the best basketball in March and April. There is no true top contender right now.

Gonzaga is 14-2, while No. 16 USC is 14-2 as well. This is going to be a wide-open race and going to make seeding tough on the committee if things stay the same.

Florida State is outside of the top-25 with a record of 10-5 and feeling confident with wins in five of their last six attempts. At home as home underdogs, Florida State probably doesn’t feel like a dog tonight.

Head below for our free Duke vs. Florida State prediction on January 18, 2022.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of BetUS:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Duke Blue Devils -5 (-110) -210 Over 145 (-110)
FSU Seminoles +5 (-110) +175 Under 145 (-110)
Team Data Duke Blue Devils FSU Seminoles
Overall Record 14-2 10-5
ATS Record 9-5-2 6-9-0
Away/Home Record 1-1 6-1
ATS Away/Home 1-1-0 3-4-0
Points Per Game 83.1 73.2
Points Against Per Game 65.2 68.1
Field Goal % 49.2 44.8
Three Point % 36.2 34.9

Duke vs. Florida State Prediction:

Duke can play like the best team in the country when everything is working right for them. We saw them keep up with the No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs and win in Las Vegas, 84-81.

They might have fallen back to sixth since that win, but I wouldn’t sleep on Duke going far in the NCAA Tournament. Duke is eighth in the NCAA with an impressive 83.1 points per game.

They can work from the inside or outside, which has helped give the Blue Devils a field goal percentage of 49.2%. They’re one or two good games away from shooting better than 50%.

Duke cut through the NC State defense with Paolo Banchero scoring 21 points and 8 rebounds. Banchero and Wendell Moore are going to be a load to handle for the FSU defense.

Not to mention center Mark Williams is going to give the interior defense of FSU a tough game tonight. Florida State is 172nd with 68.1 points against per game.

They haven’t played an offense like Duke much this season, so I can see them coming through with a standout defensive performance. The Blue Devils should find offense tonight.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends:


  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games as a favorite on the road
  • 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games
  • 5-11 ATS in their previous 16 games on a Tuesday
  • 4-12 ATS in their previous 16 games on the road
  • 1-5 ATS in their previous six games versus Florida State


  • 1-5 ATS in their previous five games after a win
  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games
  • 1-7 ATS in their previous eight games versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 7-3-1 in their previous 11 games versus a team with a winning percentage better than 60%
  • OVER is 11-4 in their previous 15 games

I’m looking at Florida State needing to get their shooting shoes on and hitting at a high clip from the field at home tonight. The Seminoles have been respectable offensively with 73.2 points per game.

They’ve been at their best in Tallahassee, having scored 78 points per game and a 45.1% field goal percentage. Duke has allowed a 46.3% field goal percentage on the road, which is a bit worse than expected.

Off a 76-71 win over Syracuse, expect the guard combo of Caleb Mills and Rayquan Evans to have another productive performance. They should make this one a competitive game.

The best place to look is likely at the total, with the number at 145. I can see a final score of 78-75 or 80-75 to go OVER the total tonight.


Duke vs. FSU Pick
OVER 145
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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