Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals – NCAAM January 18

Florida State (7-2, 3-1) at Louisville (9-2, 4-1)

Time: 4 PST – 6 CST – 7 EST
Place: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Ky.

Cardinals Have Struggled of Late, Lead All-Timed Ledger vs. Seminoles:

Louisville has lost three in a row in this series by an average of 11 points per game. The Cardinals are 4-6 vs. Florida State since joining the ACC in 2014-15. The Cardinals lead the series, 34-14, which dates back to the old Metro Conference where they were so dominant. This is Louisville’s third game in the last six days.

Vs. the Spread:

Florida State:

  • The Seminoles are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games
  • The total is OVER in 4 of FSU’s last 5
  • The total is also OVER in 8 of the Seminoles’ last 11 road games


  • The OVER has been the play in 4 of Louisville’s last 5 games vs. FSU
  • The Cardinals are 10-0 SU in their last 10 at the KFC Yum! Center
  • The Cards are 2-3 ATS as a home favorite
Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Florida State +1.5 (-110) O 141 (-110)
Louisville -1.5 (-110) U 141 (-110)

Last Time Out:

Florida State used a game-high 20 points from M.J. Walker and 19 from Raiquan Gray as the Seminoles won their 20th straight home game, 82-75, over North Carolina on Saturday. FSU was 8-of-16 from three and made 26-of-27 free throws as they snapped North Carolina’s three-game winning streak.

Louisville trailed nearly all the way in Miami as the Hurricanes dealt the Cardinals their first loss of the season on Saturday, 78-72. The Cardinals came out flat and had a tough time keeping Miami out of the paint off the dribble. U of L holds opponents opponents to 39.8 percent from the field, but Miami connected on 49.2 percent of it’s shots. Carlik Jones led Louisville with 25 and Jae’Lyn Withers netted 19.

Seminoles’ Clipboard:

Florida State Seminoles LogoM.J. Walker has been unstoppable since the Seminoles’ 3-game covid pause as he has made 12-of-18 of his shots while netting 7-9 of nine threes. Louisville has to reassert it’s defense after the rough night in Miami to account for not only Walker but a Seminoles’ squad who is averaging a combined 60.2 percent and making an averages of 32.5 shots in the two wins over N.C. State and North Carolina last week. Scottie Barnes missed the win over North Carolina and is questionable vs. Louisville.

Raiquan Gray has brought his game to another level in these last two wins as he has shot 56.9 percent from the floor while averaging 13.0 points. His 19 points against the Tar Heels is a career high and he has made 44 percent of his field goals and 15-of-19 free throws this season.

Cardinals’ Clipboard:

Louisville Cardinals LogoLouisville knows that Florida State is going to want to play at a quicker, faster pace, as FSU averages 16.7 minutes (139th/NCAA)  per offensive possession while the Cardinals force opponents to use 18.5 seconds (338th) of the clock. Whomever wins this possession battle could win this game. Carlik Jones (18.6 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 5.0 apg) is making a serious bid for ACC Player of the Year as he continues to average 37.2 minutes per game. Jae’Lyn Withers is starting to take off as well as he averages 12.7 points and 8.0 boards over his last three games.  The Cardinals do not force many turnovers (11.6 tpg) nor do they accumulate their own errors (12.0). The Seminoles force 14.9 per game, so the dominance of this stat is a must watch.

Please Note:
Louisville’s defense has given up only 39.8 percent from the floor and 31.4 percent from three as Louisville has held six opponents below 40 percent. Walker and Anthony Polite lead a healthy three-point game for the ‘Noles which averages 38.2 percent from three.

Winner: Florida State (+1 1/2) 75, Louisville 72
O/U: Take OVER 141

The Bets
Florida State +1.5
OVER 141
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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