Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos Pick – NCAAM January 20, 2021

There are four ranked teams scheduled to play on Wednesday, as Houston, Wisconsin, Creighton, and Clemson are on the slate. We have you covered at the University of Houston with Tulsa in town for a classic battle in the AAC. There isn’t much suspense for that game, but if Houston wants to hold on to their spot in the top-10, then they are going to have to beat Tulsa tonight.

Houston will need to find an offensive surge at the perfect time in March to go deep into the NCAA Tournament. They have one of the better defenses in the NCAA, but some shots will have to drop for Houston to keep up with some of the elite teams in the country. The Fresno State Bulldogs are on the road looking for some traction after a so-so start to their 2020-21 campaign.

Fresno State are coming off two losses against Nevada, 73-57 and 79-65. Instead of showing up for a better performance in the second game, Fresno State just laid down again and had no response. In their last win, the Bulldogs beat up on a very bad San Jose State team on January 10. They pulled away for a convincing 80-65 win over the Spartans. This followed a 79-64 win over San Jose State a couple of days earlier.

What we know about Fresno State through ten games is that they know how to beat San Jose State, but not much else. Boise State have routinely flown beneath the radar this season in the Mountain West Conference. Known for their football, the basketball program at Boise State has been making a mark in the 2020-21 campaign.

The Broncos are on the heels of a 90-70 win on the road at Wyoming. It was their 12th straight win, with their only loss in the season opener against ranked Houston, 68-58. That outing was on the road. Who knows if we’re talking about a perfect 12-0 Broncos squad if Houston had to travel to Idaho. Head below for our free Fresno State vs. Boise State pick on January 20, 2021.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Odds:


  • Fresno St. +15 (-105)
  • Boise St. -15 (-115)

  • Fresno St. OFF
  • Boise St. OFF

  • Over 140 (-110)
  • Under 140 (-110)


Fresno State vs. Boise State Prediction:

Fresno State will have to be much better than they’ve been recently if they are going to pull off an upset in Idaho. There aren’t too many people that enjoy a trip to Idaho, but Fresno State will have to find it in them to have enough motivation to go and play the Broncos tonight. Besides beating a bad 2-10 San Jose State team, Fresno State hasn’t been showing much on the court.

The Bulldogs are 199th in the NCAA with 71.3 points scored per game. Their offense has been hit and miss, and largely hit against weak defenses, and miss otherwise. They’ve looked good against inferior opponents, and laid down for the rest. The Broncos are 28th offensively with an average of 81.8 points scored per game. The only defense that has been able to frustrate Boise State is the second best statistical defense in the NCAA.

Houston is second in the country with less than 60 points allowed per game, so the 68-58 loss doesn’t look so bad for Boise State right about now. Boise State has netted at least 70 points since that game, and an average of 87.3 points per game.

The defense for Boise State is capable of getting after it as well. This isn’t a one-dimensional team that settles for lighting the scoreboard up on the offensive side. The Broncos are 25th in the NCAA with an average of 61.8 conceded per contest. San Jose State, in a sloppy effort by Boise State on the road, is the only team to score more than 70 points against the Broncos’ defense.

At home in Boise, the Broncos have allowed just 56.8 points against per contest. In their last meeting, Boise State mauled Fresno by a score of 87-53 on January 25, 2020. I see Fresno State making it more competitive than that, but a win by more than 15 points looks more than doable for the Broncos. Look for Boise State to win and cover in a 81-60 game on Wednesday night in Idaho.


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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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