George Mason Patriots at Davidson Wildcats – NCAAM March 5

(6) George Mason (13-8, 8-6) vs. (3) Davidson (12-7, 7-4)

  • Event: Atlantic 10 Tournament Quarterfinals
  • Time: 2:30 PST – 4:30 CST – 5:30 EST
  • Place: Robins Center, Richmond, Va.
  • TV: NBC Sports Network

Opening Tip:

The Wildcats-Patriots matchup will be the last quarterfinal of the afternoon and the second game in the Robins Center in Richmond.

George Mason has won five in a row and has endured four postponements in that string. The Patriots have never played in the A-10 semifinals although their win over George Washington on Thursday gave them a 4-0 record in second round games of this tournament.

Davidson did not play between Jan. 24 and Feb. 19 as the Wildcats had five postponements due to COVID-19. Then, they lost two games to St. Bonaventure before taking a 65-57 win over VCU last weekend. The Wildcats have been a mainstay in this tournament as they have reached the semifinals in all of their previous appearances since starting play in 2014-15.

Vs. The Spread:

George Mason:

  • The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their next 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Patriots’s last 5 games when they play as an underdog
  • GMU is 2-6 SU vs. Davidson

Davidson:

  • To The total has been UNDER in 5 of Davidson’s last 6 games
  • The UNDER has also been the play in the last 5 Wildcats-Patriots contests
  • The Wildcats are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games

Last Time Out:

Jordan Miller picked up a double-double of 19 points and 10 rebounds as George Mason posted a convincing second half in it’s 73-59 win over George Washington. Ronald Polite added 17 for the Patriots, who shot 48.4 percent from the floor and out rebounded the Colonials, 42-33.

Luka Brajkovic scored 15 points and Kellan Grady added 13 as Davidson passed VCU, 65-57. The Wildcats held the Rams to a season-low 27 first half points as VCU was once again playing without Bones Hyland due injury.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
George Mason +5½ (-112) +190 O 131 (-110)
Davidson -5½ (-108) -220 U 131 (-110)

Advantage, George Mason:

The Patriots are playing their best basketball of the season in this five-game winning streak behind the play of Jordan Miller (15.8 ppg) and Javon Greene (11.6 ppg), the team’s two leading scorers from the backcourt. Both of these players get to the line and convert free throws, so they will provide a solid challenge for Davidson. Tyler Kolek will be a solid matchup behind the three-point line as he has 51 makes and shoots 35.7 percent for the season.

Key Patriots Stat:

George Mason converts only 63.5 percent to the free throws on the season as Miller, Greene, and Kolek convert 76.8 percent of their free throws, but the rest of the Patriots team makes only 52.7 percent.

X-Factor:

This could be Ronald Polite who had a career-high 17 points in yesterday’s win. His previous high was six points and he only averages 12.4 minutes per contest.

Advantage, Davidson:

Davidson Wildcats LogoThe Wildcats are fifth in the NCAA in two-point field goals as the shoot 58.2 percent inside the arc. Luka Brajkovic has become an efficient force as he shoots 66.7 percent from the field as he has averaged 11.7 points and 4.0 rebounds in his last three games. Kellan Grady (39.3%-3), Hyungjung Lee (43.6%-3), and Carter Collins (39.5%-3) establish a major presence for coach Bob McKillop. The 127 triples attributed tot this backcourt is more than 90 teams in the country have totaled.

Key Wildcats Stat:

Hyngjung Lee is on pace to shoot at least 50 percent from the floor, 40 percent from three and 90 percent form the line. No Wildcat has pulled this off – not even the great Steph Curry. In fact, only 10 players in college basketball history have accomplished that feat since the 1992-93 season.

X-Factor:

Davidson is 256th in the NCAA in bench minutes and productive minutes will need to improve if the Wildcats can get deep into the weekend. Four players average between 12.5 and 17.1 minutes per game. Michael Jones gets 4.7 points per game and has 13 made threes while Bates Jones takes 2.7 boards.

WINNER: Davidson (-5½) 71, George Mason 65

The Bets
Davidson -5½
-108
OVER 131
-110
Sub Categories:
Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.