Houston Baptist Huskies vs. McNeese State Cowboys Pick – NCAAM February 27, 2021

There is a huge pool of college basketball action on Saturday from mid-major competition to the big boys, including Duke, Michigan, Baylor, Kansas, and Gonzaga. If you prefer to go off the beaten path and look for gems in the rough, then you are free to do that as well. You can also find FCS football if that is your thing. If you really miss football, it’s out there including lines on games.

I’m a FCS fan, but this is a weird season and some teams haven’t played in a long time. I really don’t know what to expect from some teams except North Dakota State, who played in October as what was basically a feature game for quarterback Trey Lance. That win against Central Arkansas counted, and then they went on a monster layoff before beating Youngstown State last weekend.

There are more small ball college basketball on Saturday than football. That includes the Southland Conference, which has five games on Saturday. The Houston Baptist Huskies and McNeese State Cowboys are one of those teams in the Southland. Do you know where McNeese State is? If it wasn’t for college basketball, I wouldn’t, so college sports can be seen as a geography lesson.

Houston Baptist and McNeese State will meet at Burton Coliseum in Lake Charles, Louisiana on Saturday evening. I know Lake Charles for their casinos, so there you go, gambling as a whole is a geography class. Houston Baptist is well out of the Southland Conference race. They head into Lake Charles with a record of 4-15 and 3-8 in the Southland. The Huskies are coming off a 83-68 loss against Nicholls State on the road Wednesday.

They’ve lost three of their last four games, with a 80-75 win over Lamar at home on February 13 their only win during that stretch. Houston Baptist has found just one win on the road this season. That happened back on January 27 against Incarnate Word by a score of 73-57. It’s one of the best wins for the Huskies in the 2020-21 campaign.

McNeese State goes into Saturday night with a record of 9-11 and 3-8 in the Southland Conference. The Cowboys have been struggling along with Houston Baptist, but have at least been a competitive team, including against good teams in the conference. They’ve also had some success at home in Lake Charles. Head below for our free Houston Baptist vs. McNeese State pick on February 27, 2021.

Houston Baptist Huskies vs. McNeese State Cowboys NCAA Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • HBU +3.5 (-110)
  • MSU -3.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • HBU OFF
  • MSU OFF
Total:

  • Over 158 (-110)
  • Under 158 (-110)

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Houston Baptist vs. McNeese State Prediction:

Houston Baptist is looking to finish strong this season, and go into next season with a fresh slate. There have been little positives to find for the Huskies in the Covid season. Their offense has been fairly serviceable, but the defense has gotten punched in the mouth pretty good. Houston Baptist has scored an average of 72.3 points per game for 153rd in the NCAA.

That would be fine if the defense helps out, but they don’t care to get back and play much defense. The Huskies are netting 68.4 points per game on the road this season, so there has been some regression as a visitor. However, they’d still be winning more than one game on the road if they had a defense. Note that the Huskies have conceded 81.5 points per game this season.

That positions Houston Baptist 340th in the NCAA for near the back in the country. Teams have been having a lot of success shooting against the Huskies, with a 46.7% field goal percentage. On the road, Houston Baptist has predictably been worse defensively with 83.5 points against per game. Their defense against McNeese State should be a big mismatch.

If the Cowboys are good at anything, it’s their ability to put the ball through the hoop. Statistically, McNeese State is one of the best in the country, and rank as a top-10 offense with 82.8 points scored per game and a field goal percentage of 50%. They’re also in the top-10 with a three-point percentage of 39.3%. At home, McNeese State has piled on the points for 97.2 points a game, just about getting into the triple digits.

Their defensive intensity changes drastically at home versus on the road. McNeese State has given up an average of 72.7 points per game for 242th. However, in Lake Charles, they improve by nearly 10 points with 63 points conceded per contest. This game will fall under the radar for most bettors on Saturday, but I think this is a spot where oddsmakers are sleeping on the McNeese State Cowboys in the Southland Conference.

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Our Bet
MCNEESE STATE COWBOYS -3.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.